CADJPY: Accumulating under the 1W MA50. Low risk buy.CADJPY is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.003, MACD = 0.700, ADX = 25.174) as it hit this week the 1W MA50 for the first time in 3 months. Rejection or not, historical price action shows that every time it tests it coming from a bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, the price breaks it and goes for a HH. The 1W MACD just made this week the new Bullish Cross and the last time it did so on such a low level, it was on April 3rd 2023, exactly at the start of the previous bullish wave. We expect initiallt the price to approach the R1 level, which is our Target (TP = 118.000), like the price did on June 26 2023.
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CADJPY: Follow the breakout or rejection. Low risk trades.CADJPY is just above the bullish barrier on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.297, MACD = 0.230, ADX = 26.548) despite the fact that it is near the HH trendline of the Ascending Triangle and supported at the same time by the 1D MA50. Technically this calls for a decline and the minimum inside this pattern is the 1D MA200 (TP = 109.350). If it crosses over the HH trendline and closes a 1D candle over it, we will go long, aiming at the top of the Channel Up that will prevail (TP = 115.500).
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CADJPY: Sell this consolidation.CADJPY is testing the 1D MA50 in the form of support on bearish 1D technicals (RSI = 42.279, MACD = -0.050, ADX = 56.167). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50 signifies a validation of selling extension as after the rejection on R1, the long term support of the HL trendline broke.
We will sell this week's consolidation, which isn't just taking on the 1D MA50 but the S1 (104.120) as well, targeting initially the S2 (TP1 = 102.245) and then the S3 (TP2 = 99.350) assuming the 1D MA200 breaks.
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CADJPY: Ideal sell entry now.CADJPY hit today the top of the HH trendline that started the Channel Up at the start of the year. 1D is naturally on firm green level technically (RSI = 64.634, MACD = 1.030, ADX = 45.677) but the RSI has been trading on a flat Rectangle since May 18th. It is the same pattern that led to the February 18th High. Our trigger level to sell is the crossing under the dotted Channel Up. Our target will be the 1W MA100 and bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 98.500).
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