SPX500: Price discussion pre-US CPI dataToday's focus: SPX500
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 5211
Resistance – 5267
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at SPX500 on its daily chart.
Today, we wonder if the SPX500 can maintain its current bullish bias and possibly test or break all-time highs. Yesterday, buyers fought back after the PPI data, helped by comments from Fed Chair Powell.
Will we see retail sales and US CPI match or drop below data that is mainly expected to come in lower? Will this back up comments that maintained buyer hopes yesterday?
On the other side of the coin, if data comes in higher, could this set off some sharp selling as buyers may find themselves in a bull trap?
It could be an interesting CPI data today.
Good trading.
Cfdtrading
Gold: Lower high confirming? Today's focus: Gold
Pattern – Lower High swing point
Support – 2290.50 to 2315
Resistance – 2338.40
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Gold on its daily chart.
Do we have a new swing lower in play after sellers formed a lower high? This could be the case, but we still need some confirmation. In today's video, we have run over our thoughts on the price and possibilities we are looking at.
Currently, the USD does not influence Gold too much, but we have the FOMC and NFP this week. Keep an on these releases.
Good trading.
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Correctional phase.
Support –
Resistance – $2394
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Gold on the daily chart.
We have reviewed recent price actions and our thoughts on what we are seeing and looking for moving forward. Is this just a bout of profit-taking that will kick off a new trend?
The next rally is key for us and could give us signs depending on what we see from price.
Good trading.
Bitcoin: is price set to get cheaper or.....?Today's focus: BTCUSD
Pattern – Range, seller test.
Support – 62,000 area
Resistance – 73,000 area
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at BTC on the daily.
With sellers continuing to check buyers, it continues to look like we could see a new move at support. But for now, buyers continue to hold firm from around the 62,000 area.
We have run over a few scenarios. Could we see a move-through support to test the next lower Fibb point? Or will we see support contnue to hold the current range pattern?
Good trading.
Oil: Thoughts and analysis Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Continuation?
Support – 85.38
Resistance – 87.37
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at oil on the daily.
After a surge from the USD caught a lot of attention yesterday, we are watching oil after it rejected a push lower by sellers and continues to hold in a potential continuation type set-up.
Do you think that price is showing signs of a continuation? Could a close above yesterday's high signal a new move higher that could test resistance at 87.37?
Watch out for a new move lower that tests the 85.50 area, as that could be a sign that sellers have more numbers than first thought.
Good trading.
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Price Breakdown Pre-CPI
Today's focus: Nasdaq
Pattern – Range
Support – 17,832
Resistance – 18,355
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the Nasdaq daily.
Price remains range-bound. Do traders feel today's CPI will be bearish or bullish?
Yesterday, buyers showed some strength, stopping a bear move and reversing losses. Could good news on the CPI and minutes front maintain buyer control?
We have run over the primary levels and are currently holding the price. Depending on what we see from the CPI, could we see a new break that is lower or higher? Traders also have to be aware of false breakouts.
Good trading.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation range
Support – 38,550
Resistance – 39,165
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 daily.
Yesterday's CPI didn't cause any serious moves but did show that inflation remains stubborn. Today, we have run over what we are watching on the US30 and the current main levels that are forming a price pattern.
Will we see a new test and break of resistance, or could we be in for further consolidation?
Good trading.
BTC EFT Update and US30 Analysis. Today's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation / ascending triangle pattern.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 37,770
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Crypto had a mainly higher but, in some cases, muted response to news that BTC ETFs will become a reality. We have run over some of the news and moves since yesterday.
The US30 is today's chart, and we are seeing a similar situation to what we discussed in yesterday's ETH update. ETH was one of the better-performing majors after the news hit yesterday.
The US30 sits in a continuation pattern that's inside a consolidation pattern. Buyer momentum remains firm today after yesterday's rally, and we are looking at tonight's CPI data. If CPI remains unchanged or surprises the downside, we will look for further upside on the US30. If it comes in hotter than expected, this could turn the price lower from resistance or above, depending on where price is later tonight.
US CPI data is due at 12:30 am ADET Friday.
Good trading.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-FOMCToday's focus: US30
Pattern – N/A
Support – 36,280
Resistance – 36,900
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at US30 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if US30 will continue to track higher despite being well off its moving average. This can be a warning if you believe in mean revision. The other point we are looking at in today's report is whether we will see a stall at resistance and previous highs if the price continues to increase.
A key driver could be tomorrow's FOMC; traders will be looking to see if rates remain on hold as expected and what we will hear from the FED in the statement and projections. Ideas are that we could see an end to aggressive rate policy, and what could be coming next?
If it's dovish, we will look for stocks to rally; if it's hawkish, we will look for stocks to decline. Expectations are already in for May rate cuts to be priced in. Will we hear anything from the Fed to substantiate this?
The FOMC will be held at 6:00 am AEDT, and the FOMC press conference will be held at 6:30 am Thursday.
Good trading.
NDX100: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: NDX100 (NASDAQ)
Pattern – Continuation.
Support – 15,765
Resistance – 16,115, 16,085
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at NDX100 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if NDX100 will continue to move higher after starting to break out of a range consolidation pattern. When these patterns are seen in uptrends, we tend to look at them as continuation patterns with a new breakout higher confirming the pattern.
We have run over what we are watching and things we want to see to confirm a new leg higher or things that could set some alarm bells for a potential fail or continued consolidation.
After Friday's higher-than-expected jobs data, the NDX100 started to confirm a breakout. Price is close but hasn't yet broken out, and resistance remains in play.
Will buyers shake off a weaker start to the week and push the price into a new up leg?
Good trading.
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Breakout, Continuation.
Support – 1988, 1937.60
Resistance – 2018.50, 2050.45
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at Gold on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if Gold will contnue to move higher after yesterday's breakout. We have run over all the signals we see confirming the possibility of higher prices. We have also broken down higher resistance levels that we would like to see tested to maintain our thoughts and things to watch out for in case we see a new pullback from weekly highs.
What do you think? Could we see a new test of 2050 if the USD continues to trade lower?
Good trading.
ASX200: Thoughts and AnalysisPattern – Continuation HL
Support – 7035
Resistance – 7100
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at ASX200 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if the ASX200 will confirm a continuation price pattern we are watching develop on the daily price chart. Buyers look okay after holding support and forming a bullish bar in today's session. The worry is the fade we are seeing. If the price fails to hold above yesterday's open, that's also a worry.
Other than that, we have the MA pointing up with an LH and a support hold after the new leg higher breakout, all showing buyer support. Let's see if we can see a confirmation bar on Monday if we get a trigger bar today.
Good trading.
UK100: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: UK100
Pattern – LH decline
Support – 7375 - 7250
Resistance – 7466 - 7710
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the UK100 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if the UK100 will continue to move lower after setting up a few beach technical signs. What do you think about the reasons presented in today's video update? Are the lower highs after the trend break and failed rally yesterday a new momentum shift to sellers in the short term?
We continue to look at major index influences and watch today's UK GDP. If buyers are able to reverse today's selling and break the 7466 resistance, this will cancel out this sell idea.
Good trading.
GER30: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GER30
Pattern – LH - Lower support test
Support – 15,055 - 15,015
Resistance – 15,287 - 15,504
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GER30 daily is today's focus. Due to the tragic events over the weekend, we have seen stock futures trading lower into the new week. The GER30 is testing Friday's firm finish and could be forming a new lower high. The key here will be if sellers can be price back down to test 15,055 - 15,015 support. A break set up a continuation of the med-term downtrend.
If buyers can reject today's selling and break back above Friday's high, this could suggest a new higher leg and a possible test of 15,504.
Good trading.
ASX200: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: ASX200
Pattern – Support/ Regular Divergence
Support – 6885
Resistance – 7000 - 7070
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over ASX200, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
Interest today starts from the support hold we are watching from 6885. This lines up with the bottom of the overall range. We can also see regular divergence forming with price holding at this support point. This could set off a new rally that could get back up to test 7000.
If this level of support breaks and price closes below, this could break the range and set off a new overall downtrend. Are stocks a bit oversold at this point? Keep in mind we have US employment data due out this Friday.
Have a great day and good trading.
UK100: Continuation watchToday's focus: UK100 Index
Pattern – Continuation Pattern
Support – 7629 - 7588
Resistance – 7720, 7916
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over UK100, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The primary focus of today's look at the UK100 is the current uptrend, forming a new higher low in today's session. This continues to push the case for a new leg high from buyers. Resistance at 7720 is the first big test, and if we can see a new move up, this level needs to be cleared to break the current range.
If today's fightback from 7629 support fails, we could see a move that may try to retest the range base. We will be watching Price and mainly Buyers over the next several sessions to see if we get a breakout.
Good trading.
US2000: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: US2000
Pattern – Descending Triangle Pattern
Support – 1840
Resistance – 1870
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over US2000, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The Russel isn’t a market I normally watch or trade, but the descending triangle pattern did catch my eye today. Overall price sits in a range, but it has broken a trend on the inside and set up a LH. These patterns are normally seen as bearish after a trend break, but support looks rather firm at this stage.
With the FOMC coming up later this week, watch out for a false breakout lower that closes higher. This could set up a higher breakout. If sellers continue to push at support, look for a solid close-through support with a new failed rally that sets a new weekly low.
It’s going to be interesting to see which side gets the win here.
Have a great day and good trading.
NDQ100: Thoughts and analysisToday's focus: NDX100 Nasdaq
Pattern – Higher lower support point (LH Inc)
Support – 15,320 - 14,690
Resistance – 15,520 – 15,822
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over the NDX100 on the daily chart. We have started with the overall picture and worked our way into the current short-term perspective with things we are watching and levels we view as important.
Over the subsequent few sessions, we feel that 15,520 support is key for buyers, and we would like to see them not only hold that area but form a rally that can retest 15,320 resistance. A break could get the short-term trend back up and running, but a good close below that support level could suggest the up trend could be in danger, and we may even see a new move back down to test 14,690 if sellers can really get going.
Have a great day and good trading.
Nasdaq: support bounce to feed new continuation?Today's focus: NASDAQ (NDQ100)
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 15,015
Resistance – 15,435
• The Nasdaq led US indices on Monday, adding 1.05%
• Could this be the start of a new continuation higher?
Hi, and thanks for checking out today’s analysis. Today, our focus is on the NDQ100 index, and we are watching to see if yesterday’s rally and support hold could be the beginning of a new continuation pattern. In our last report, we discussed whether price could return to the main trendline after breaking its fast trend.
From here, we want to see buyers continue to push forward. Today’s retail sales at 8:30 could be a factor, and we feel that overly strong data could hurt stock indexes. A move back to support would be a worry and could show that buyer strength is not that strong currently. If we we see price continue to rally, 15,435 could be a first test.
Another news item to watch this week will be the FOMC meeting minutes. Buyers will be looking for a dovish tone from the Fed to help support upward momentum.
Have a great day and good trading.
Nasdaq: Price levels and price pattern analysis Today's focus: Nasdaq /NDX100
Pattern – Ascending Triangle
Possible targets – 15,600, 16,500
Support – 15,000
Resistance – 15,220, 15,250
Today we are looking at the Nasdaq/NDX100 as price sits in a continuation pattern just below key resistance. This is an interesting set-up as we have key US inflation data coming out today, and interest rates remain a hottish topic. We have broken down the price action and pattern in today’s video and how this connects to the CPI data.
There’s no guarantee that a drop will drive buyers onward, but it could also be a driver that continues buyer momentum and could set up a new test and break of the pattern. We will be watching the core figure as it’s been the most stubborn of the three. Y/Y is expected to drop to 3.1% and the Core to 0.3%.
The CPI data is due at 8:30 am ET / 10:30 pm AEST.
Have a great day and good trading.
Platinum, could this be a new swing higher?Today's focus: Platinum
Pattern – Support hold, trend break
Possible targets – 1070
Support – 993
Resistance – 1035, 1070
Today’s update is on Platinum. We have run over our thoughts and levels we are watching. Yesterday’s solid rally has held support and has started to test support after breaking the current downtrend. Will we see buyers clear resistance and confirm the trend break?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
USD buyers ready to test resistance again?Today's focus: USD Index
Pattern – Continuation
Possible targets – 105.60
Support – 103.40
Resistance – 104.20
Today’s update is on the USD index. Do we have a new uptrend? For us, we want to see resistance beaten. If we can see a break, this could set up a new move to 105.60 and a break of that level take price out of its consolidation range and gets an uptrend going. For now, we have a short-term up trend, but buyers have more work to do to confirm it overall.
If we see a new retracement, we want to see support hold. A move back to 102.70 is a worry if you’re on the short-term bull side. With momentum back in the buyer’s court, will we see a break of resistance?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
US30 Analysis, can support hold for buyers?Today's focus: US30
Pattern – Support point, descending triangle.
Possible targets – Downside 31,840 Upside 31,160
Support – 33,033
Resistance – 33,705
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today’s analysis is over the US30 daily as price sits around support in a descending triangle pattern. Yesterday price broke lower after buyers failed to beat Monday’s high. The debt ceiling issue continues to look like the key issue, with price reacting negatively after no ground was made on Tuesday.
This could continue to drive momentum, and bad news could equal downside risk, while a deal could give buyers plenty of drive. This week’s meeting minutes are another factor; traders will be looking for more clues on rates and how the Fed is seeing inflation atm. We are also hoping to hear more about how the banking issues are factoring into the Fed’s view.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.