Quantitative Tightening Effects on the Markets This video tutorial discussion:
• What is QE and QT?
• Each impact to the stock market
• The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024?
Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation
E-mini Dow Jones Futures
1.0 index point = $5.00
Code: YM
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures
1.0 index point = $0.50
Code: MYM
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Cmefutures
Why Russell Index the most Reflective for Bank Run Crisis?Russell represents the true economy of United States.
There are 2,000 medium size companies with each value between $300m to $2b. The index includes a diverse range of companies from various sectors, including financials, healthcare, consumer goods, industrials, and technology. In my opinion Russell represents the true economy of united states.
If the bank run crisis deepens, it is possible that 2,000 companies will not hold up well. The reasons for this are stated in the video. This could affect the other major indices, with the Russell 2000 potentially leading the pack. The Russell 2000 is considered more reflective of the US economy compared to the other major indices with big names like Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft.
E-mini Russell 2000 Index Futures & Option
Outright:
0.10 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Russell 2000 Index Futures
Outright:
0.10 index points = $0.50
Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures & Option
Outright:
0.25 index points = $1.25
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Index Futures & Option
Outright:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures
Outright:
1.0 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Short-term trading beat long-termWhy short-term trading into the US market beats the long-term investing in the year 2023?
As much as the Fed wanted to dial down the interest hike for the rest of the coming meetings, but they have limited control. It all depends on the forthcoming data, especially the CPI and the employment numbers.
If these data continue to have a higher number, the Fed may not have a choice, but to resume back to its massive rate hike.
There are 4 types of investor or traders, they are:
1. Long term investor
2. Short term investor
3. Short term trader
4. Intra-day trader
Greater volatility is expected in 2023 and why the 2,3, and 4 may works better in 2023.
This is what we will be discussing today:
Content:
• Investing types & its time-frame
• Short-term trading strategy
CME Micro E-Mini S&P Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 point = $1.25
1 point = $5
10 points = $50
100 points = $100
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Where are commodities heading to? Beyond 2022Where are the meat or commodity prices heading?
Meat prices have been rising at a rate of about 3% per annual over the last 40 years.
Meat is what I classified as an edible commodity, so is corn, wheat and rice. And as these commodities start picking up in prices, they are the one that will give the central banks a huge headache and to consider to hike its interest rates than the other commodities in the CPI basket.
Why is this so?
In short, people can still live with some inconvenience without cars or petrol, but not without food. Therefore, there is an urgency for the policy makers to first take care of the basic needs of the people.
Content:
. Long-term direction of Live Cattle
. Trading ideas
. Investing ideas
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
A little hack here to project the coming CPI data and also to know how aggressive the Fed will be with interest rate hike - you may consider to track the development of these edible commodity prices, if it is still trending up, we should be expecting a higher CPI and interest rates.
Example on Live Cattle Futures:
0.025cts = US$10
0.10cts = US$40
145.00 = 1450 x US$40 = US$58,000
From 144 to 145 = US$400
Specific Trendline to Determine the Direction of any MarketHow to identify the specific points for trendline to determine the direction of the market? In this example, I am using the Nasdaq index.
You can use this trendline technique to any markets because its principles in this tutorial are applicable throughout whether to an individual stock, indices or even commodities.
I am going to introduce the primary and secondary trendlines, I hope after this tutorial, it will bring greater clarity in how you can deploy them.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
This method I just shared, it can be applied to any market and any timeframe, be it the minute chart or the weekly chart.
Micro E-Mini Nasdaq
0.25 = US$0.50
1.00 = US$2
Bitcoin - For Trading Not for InvestingWhen Bitcoin was trading at around 60,000 level in late 2021 and before that year, whenever friends, acquaintance and participants asked my opinion about investing into cryptocurrency, immediately I knew they may not know much about cryptocurrency.
To clarify, I am not an expert in cryptocurrency, but I know its intrinsic value could not be calculated then and even today, therefore it is an instrument not for investing but for trading.
Let me elaborate, as long as we cannot define its intrinsic value to any so-call an asset, it is not an asset, but an instrument for trading.
When we get into trading, meaning, we have to acknowledge the getting in and out, out also represent to exit the market with either a profit or a loss, it is part of the deal in trading – we have to be quick when we make a wrong decision.
However, if you position yourself as an investor in crypto, you will either always perceive it will break new high or hope that it will someday go back to its former glory.
Throughout the whole tutorial, I will do a recap on how I have spotted this top here in November 2021. I have done this in another personal forum I have back then.
I will go through that and it may seem like a hindsight view, but I will apply the same strategy to the current market using just trendline and divergence.
Bitcoin Futures
Minimum Tick:
$5.00 = US$25
or $1.00 = US$5
Contract Value:
20,000 x US$5 = US$100,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Using S&P to Identify RecessionInstead of waiting for NBER to officially declare the confirmation of recession, an alternative way to identify is using the U.S. indices quarterly chart, especially the S&P.
Typically, economists call a recession when GDP has declined for two consecutive quarters.
A committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is responsible for officially declaring when recessions start and end.
Why I favour S&P over Dow Jones and Nasdaq?
It has 500 companies from the largest to the smallest and from various industries. It is commonly use to benchmark for stock portfolio performance in America, a much wider and broader measurement. Whereas Nasdaq is Tech heavy and Dow Jones with too limited stocks of 30.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
4 Reasons why the BTC Bottom could be CloseINDEX:BTCUSD
In today's video I look at 4 reasons why I think we are close to the bottom:
1. 200 week MA - historically the 200 week MA has indicated the bottom
2. Fibonacci golden pocket retracement - a fib pulled from the very start of bitcoin in July 2010 to the all time high, show a zone for the possible low
3. Weekly RSI - historically we have never gone below a certain level and we are nearing that level
4. CME Gaps waiting to be filled - there is a gap that is about to be filled
These four factors are aligning very well with weekly and daily support levels that BTC is nearing.
Could this be the bottom or close to it?
Have a look at the video and let me know in the comments what you think.
Not financial advice. DYOR. Papertrade before using real money.
If you liked this idea, please give a thumbs up and follow.
Safe trading.
Shawn
Urgent Bitcoin Update! Be aware of the following indicators!Guys,
I took the time to put out a special update this morning because of this! Please pay attention to what our charts are showing. I am not attempting to persuade you to any particular bias or sentiment. I simply want you to be aware of what I am seeing on the charts so that your can trade accordingly. Let's take a peek.
- Stew