Get started

Crash!!!!!

US's Resilient Economy Attracts European InvestorsHello! Chart Explanation & Indicators EURUSD has been bearish since the weak higher high on 25 September. You find this level in the upper zone. When MACD crossed to the bearish side on 30 September, EUR started a spectacular crash into the bottom zone. EUR pierced the bottom zone and now sits on the trendline. Historically, EUR rallied from this trendline on 27 June and 02 August, as the red circles demonstrate. Rising trendlines, however, tend to break downward eventually. MACD has an active bearish cross and a definite bearish trend. Momentum is growing more hefty to the bearish side. Bears could target the white zone at $1.088 or lower. Technical Zones There are two horizontal, red rectangular zones on the chart. The upper zone and the bottom zone . The bottom zone contained support levels where the EUR could bounce on 16 August and 12 September and hit the resistances of the upper zone. However, the EUR lost the support zone. The bottom zone might have become another resistance. The price sits on a rising, red support trendline now. The next zone that might function as a support is around $1.088. Conclusion The setup suggests a short position. The price resting on a supportive trendline casts a shadow on the suggestion. The signal might be bearish, but the entry doesn't seem ideal. I'll wait for the setup to change for a new assessment or the price action to align with the setup to catch a neat entry. Thankfully to all followers, Ely
Short
by Elysian_Mind
Light Crude Oil Futures: Mid East Tensions Fuel Price Surge!Light Crude Oil Futures (CL): NYMEX:CL1! As mentioned in our morning briefing, oil is currently extremely interesting, partly due to increasing tensions in the Middle East and the destruction of oil reserves there as well as in Russia. Consequently, oil prices have surged significantly. We are currently at a level of $85, but we still consider it quite likely that the Wave Y and the overarching Wave II have not yet concluded. We expect a three-part movement towards Y, with this Y anticipated to be in the range between 127.2% and 161.8% of a Wave C. This would place it between $63.2 and $57.4, nearly forming a double bottom with Wave ((b)) at $63.64. We would invalidate this scenario and consider a bullish outlook if we surpass the $90 mark in Crude Oil Futures. Should the price fall from here, we would then expect a five-wave structure downwards. However, caution is advised with oil due to the significant political and geopolitical influences on its price. The upcoming elections at the end of the year are particularly noteworthy, as a lower gasoline price in America is hugely important for electoral success, ensuring wins. With rising oil prices and the depletion of reserves, with hardly any reserves left in America, it will likely be necessary to purchase a large amount of oil. Considering the current economic stance of America, this task appears challenging. There is only one option if the goal is to lower oil prices for repurchasing. Even a $20 difference is substantial when buying as much oil as a country the size of America needs. Therefore, we still expect prices to fall further before we see a reversal.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by freeguy_by_wmc
The U.S. Markets are likely to have one last push before....The U.S. markets have been inflated to the point of near exhaustion, propped up by nothing more than a money printer that goes brrr... brrrr... brrrrrrrrrrr. However, this seemingly never-ending run is coming to an end. Trump will most likely be elected president again. His first term (45) and his second term (47) will likely mark the greatest market crash of all time—the end of the everything bubble! 4 + 5 = 9; 4 + 7 = 11; 9 + 11 = 20. They will likely prop the market up until his administration takes power, then... Shorting these markets will be the opportunity of a lifetime! Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
SP:SPX
by MetaShackle
CRACKS ARE FORMING IN USDT DOMINANCE! THE END IS NEAR!USDT has completely dominated the stablecoin market for a long time now, but cracks are beginning to form in its foundation that could cause the whole structure to come crashing down. People are losing trust in USDT, even though the vast majority of trading platforms use it as the sole medium of exchange on their platforms. Competitors are turning up the heat in this market, and companies like Circle (USDC), which are fully audited, as well as newcomers like Ripple's RLUSD, could pose a serious challenge to USDT if it doesn't prove its reserves through regular audits and restore investor confidence. I personally believe that USDT is a Ponzi scheme, similar to the Federal Reserve, which continuously counterfeits dollars by minting excess tokens, with nothing but faith backing them. I also believe that the time of USDT's dominance is coming to a swift end. Once RLUSD is released and available for purchase to Wall Street and Main Street, I believe that the majority of stablecoin holders will switch from USDT to RLUSD, as Ripple is one of the most transparent and reputable companies within the crypto space. I am one of these people. Good luck, and don't put all your eggs in one basket!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by MetaShackle
THE PREDECTED 'FLASH-CRASH' WEEK IS UPON US!As I've stated in a previous post, I believe that a massive, market-wide liquidation event is coming within the next trading week (September 9th–15th). This chart pertains to what I believe we will see in XRP during this timeframe. As predicted previously, I believe we will see a drop below $0.3838, between 33% and 50%, but it likely won't last too long before the price recovers and starts the beginning of the next bull run cycle. Many people falsely believe that we are already in the bull run, but that's simply not true. The gains we have seen so far in some cryptos have just been a precursor to what is about to occur over the next 9 to 14 months in the new appreciation cycle. Anyone who says we're already in the bull market is just flat-out wrong. But never fear; it is about to start, though only after a major liquidation event occurs to fill the coffers of the market makers, who will sell all the way up, providing the needed liquidity to drive the price to new all-time highs. Good luck, and enjoy the ride! Becoming a multimillionaire will be the best part. Once you get there, you won't even know what to do with all that money! Hopefully, something good for your community and the people in your life! Always be charitable and create the change that you would like to see in the world; don't wait for it—make it happen!
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by MetaShackle
3
CRYPTO MARKET CRASH COMING THE WEEK OF SEPT. 9TH - 15TH.I believe there is a massive crash coming for the crypto markets during the week of September 9th through the 15th. Don’t ask how I came up with this prediction; it’s too complex to get into. I don’t know if the drop will be a massive red candle in a single day or if it will be a multi-day process to achieve these lows, but I’m predicting that the minimum price drop will be 33%, to 50% in most cryptos (less than two weeks away). This may be the 'Black Swan' that we have been waiting for, and for some, this will be the scariest moment in crypto. For others, it will be the buying opportunity of a lifetime. Key takeaways from this prediction: - The overall crypto market will drop sometime between Sept. 9th through the 15th. - Price drop will be between 33% and 50% in a 7 day timeframe. - Drop may be quick, as in a single day, or it may be a process that takes the full week. Keep some cash on the sidelines to purchase physical coins to add to your long-term crypto stack. This buying opportunity may last only hours, days or could extend to the full week; only time will tell. Let the countdown begin. And yes, I know this is a bold prediction, but I wouldn’t be sharing it if I didn’t believe it was actually going to happen, and yes, I may be wrong. Good luck!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by MetaShackle
1
My Stock Market Crash FantasyOn the left we see 29 trading days from peak. On the right we see 29 trading days from peak before the historical stock market crash of 1987. It is a stock market crash fantasy because huge stock market crashes are very rare events that are most likely not to occur. That being said, IF a crash is going to occur it would more than likely *only* start very soon after an extreme rally up. Secondly, if it is going to occur in a manner similar to the 1987 and 1929 crashes, then there is only a short window of opportunity for it to occur. The time window of 29 days to final peak is now in alignment from 1929, 1987 and 2024. Will it occur? It probably will not occur if we start to rally from this point forward. But if we start right NOW to get some hard down days and stronger lower low and lower high days going into the first week of September, then maybe just maybe the stock market crash fantasy won't be a fantasy anymore. Some technical notes: we continue to have many and plenty of Carl V bearish technical patterns on major indices that points to a test of the August 5 lows. A move down to those lows into the the first week of September would be a very bearish sign for markets, but it is unknown whether such a big decline could happen that fast again.
SP:SPX
by TomNewYork
Federal Reserve is Behind the Curve, Recession is 100% CONFIRMEDHello everyone, The federal reserve has kept interest rates at near zero and printed the MOST money in US history back in 2020 and this has caused one of the worst inflation in 40 years. Jerome Powell decided to fight inflation by giving us the fastest rate raising campaign in history. He has kept rates too high for too long and we are now guaranteed a recession. Jerome Powell will find himself in a position to cut rates very fast due to the cracks in the job market. It is already too late we will be witnessing a huge spike in unemployment. Who knows how high this can go, back in 1929 unemployment hit 24.9%.
FRED:UNRATE
by justaturboman44
BTC/USDT SAME XMN DATA CAN HAVE HUGE EFFECT FOR BTCWe have seen what XMN data have done with the trend of BTC in the past, and in 2024 for the first time the same XMN data shows. The last XMN data did affect BTC from 53K to 16K We are not able to count BTC where its able to go, but there is a high chance for BTC fall trend. XMN data shows sometimes in the full history of BTC, and it's not something that shows in a low time frame. BTC can still make more fake increase trends before the trend starts. Never go on expecting, but follow BTC's low time frame what the data now shows. Also, it means not that it should start today.. but how the data looks something can happen coming time if the data confirms what happened before. BTC can target over 61K, but it will stays risky.
Short
by SatochiTrader
5
US HOUSING MARKET CRASHUS Real Estate Price Index Analysis: The chart illustrates a long-term upward trend in the US real estate market, with prices consistently climbing over the years. However, we are now approaching a critical phase that requires close attention. Pre-Election Period and Mid-2025 Outlook: As we move towards the upcoming elections and into mid-2025, real estate prices in the US are expected to continue their ascent. This trend will be heavily influenced by consumer purchasing power and interest rates on loans, which individuals should monitor separately. The continued growth is driven by demand, but this is likely to face significant headwinds soon. Impending Crisis in 2025: As we enter 2025, the real estate market is on the brink of a major crisis. Prices are predicted to plummet, potentially falling to an average of $380,000 per home. If prices break below this level and sustain, we could see a further drop, possibly revisiting the 2020 price levels where the average home price ranged between $280,000 and $300,000. Market Correction and Future Growth: The market is expected to correct by approximately 30%, after which it should resume its growth trajectory. This correction will be tied to the growing unaffordability of new homes for the average family, as credit interest rates rise to levels beyond the reach of many. Consequently, more people will opt to rent rather than buy, leading to an oversupply in the market as homeowners struggle to keep up with mortgage payments. With the increasing number of properties flooding the market and demand not keeping pace, the imbalance will push prices down. Additionally, global military conflicts and the policies of the Democratic Party, should they win the election again, will likely lead to a prolonged two-year recession from early 2025 to the end of 2026. Real estate will be one of the last sectors to recover from this crisis. Strategic Buying Opportunity: Given this outlook, I anticipate a market bottom by the end of 2026, making early 2027 the optimal time to purchase real estate in the US. This period should offer the best prices before the market stabilizes and begins its next growth phase.
ECONOMICS:USSFHPShort
by trushkovskiy
Walmart’s (WMT) Earnings Could Signal Economic TrendsAt first glance, Walmart's earnings might not seem critical, but they provide key insights into consumer behavior and could serve as an indicator for future retail sales. If Walmart reports disappointing earnings, it could signal broader economic concerns. As one of the largest retailers in the U.S., a decline in Walmart's customer base may indicate that consumers are tightening their belts, which is never a good sign for the economy. This is why we're closely monitoring Walmart. Sometimes, stocks can act as a barometer for the market. While we’re hopeful for a strong earnings report, we're also anticipating a potential price dip into the $43 to $36 range. Whether this occurs immediately or in the coming weeks is uncertain, but we believe it’s a likely scenario. If Walmart’s price drops into this range, it could present a compelling buying opportunity. The golden pocket Fibonacci retracement aligns with this area, and there’s also a significant, yet untagged, liquidation level at $40 that we're keeping an eye on. We’ll be closely watching Walmart’s earnings and price movements. If we see a negative earnings report and a subsequent drop in price, we’ll provide updates and discuss potential strategies. 🤝
NYSE:WMTShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
ETh → a high timeframe analysishello guys! the news forced the price dump! 1. Double Top Completion: - Description: The double top pattern projected a target of $2,100, which the price has successfully reached. This indicates that the bearish move triggered by this pattern has played out. - Outcome: Since the target has been met, the selling pressure may decrease, and we could see consolidation or a potential reversal. 2. Current Support Zone: - Description: The price is now hovering slightly above $2,100, at around $2,280. This area could act as a new support zone, especially since it aligns with the long-term upward trendline. - Outcome: If this support holds, the market may enter a consolidation phase, with potential for a bullish reversal if buying pressure increases. 3. Next Potential Move: - Bullish Scenario: If the price continues to hold above the $2,100-$2,280 support range, and if it breaks above the nearby resistance zone ($2,500-$2,700), it could signal the start of a new upward move, potentially targeting higher levels like $3,000 or beyond. - Bearish Scenario: If the support around $2,100 breaks, the price might test lower levels. The next significant support could be around $1,800, which was previously highlighted as a strong support zone. Summary: - Completion of Bearish Move: The target of $2,100 being hit marks the completion of the double top pattern's bearish move. - Critical Support Level: The $2,100-$2,280 zone is now a critical support area to watch. - Market Direction: The next direction will likely depend on whether the price can hold this support and break above resistance, or if it will fail and move lower. Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the market's next move. ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Long
by melikatrader94
7
Bitcoin Down 14% from Halving Event: What Happens from HereThree posts ago, we discussed the intricate relationship between Bitcoin’s halving events and broader economic conditions. The recent market developments have indeed proven this connection, as Bitcoin has experienced a significant 14% drop since the halving event on April 20th 2024. Context of the Recent Market Crash Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent decline: 1. Macro-Economic Conditions : The Bank of Japan's rate hike on July 31, 2024, significantly impacted global markets. This move made borrowing more expensive, disrupting the carry trade involving the yen and causing a ripple effect across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. 2. Market Sentiment and Sell-offs : The anticipation of Mt. Gox creditor repayments, releasing around $8 billion worth of Bitcoin into the market, created fear among investors, prompting a sell-off that drove prices down to as low as $53,600. 3. Broader Equity Market Decline : Global equity markets have also been under pressure, with major indices experiencing significant losses. This broader market downturn has influenced Bitcoin's price, as investors often sell off riskier assets during periods of economic uncertainty It's Not All Doom and Gloom Over the long term, Bitcoin has always shown resilience and growth, particularly in the years following a halving event. Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to experience significant increases 6-12 months after each halving. This pattern has been consistent across the previous three halving events: 2012 Halving: Bitcoin surged from around $12 to over $1,000 within a year. 2016 Halving: Bitcoin climbed from approximately $650 to nearly $20,000 within 18 months. 2020 Halving: Bitcoin soared from $8,000 to over $60,000 in the following year. These historical trends indicate that despite short-term volatility and market downturns, Bitcoin has a strong track record of long-term growth. This resilience is driven by the fundamental principle of reduced supply through halvings, which creates scarcity and can drive demand. Position Update from Our Trend Model The Model had gone cash one day prior to the sell-off, resulting in a small loss of 6% from the long entry price back in July, the model was however able to avoid what was to come after that, which was a 20% drawdown within 72 hours. The model remains bearish for the medium term and we'll update in another post when the time comes. As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider both macroeconomic factors and market sentiment when making investment decisions. Stay tuned for more updates and insights as we continue to monitor the evolving market conditions and their impact on primarily crypto 🚀.
by AlgoAlpha
1