WHY GBPAUD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISGBPAUD is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 2H timeframe, a structure widely recognized for its bullish implications. After an aggressive bullish impulse at the start of April, the pair entered a consolidation phase marked by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent breakout above wedge resistance signals a potential continuation of the prior bullish trend. This clean technical breakout, combined with tight consolidation, suggests a build-up of bullish pressure likely to push the pair toward the 2.1300–2.1600 zone.
From a technical standpoint, the falling wedge pattern acted as a corrective structure following strong bullish momentum. The breakout confirms buyers stepping back in, with a solid support base forming around 2.0800. As long as GBPAUD holds above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact. Volume has also started to increase post-breakout, which typically reinforces the validity of the move.
On the fundamental side, the British pound is gaining traction amid optimistic UK economic indicators and renewed hawkish undertones from the Bank of England. Traders are pricing in a more cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, which gives GBP an edge. On the other hand, the Australian dollar is under pressure due to weak employment data and China-related risk sentiment, both of which are weighing on AUD. This divergence creates a favorable macro backdrop for GBPAUD bulls.
This setup is gaining attention among traders on TradingView due to its clear structure and the alignment between technicals and fundamentals. With a bullish breakout confirmed, I'm expecting follow-through momentum in the sessions ahead. Watching for intraday retests near 2.0850 for possible re-entries, with a medium-term upside target near the 2.1500 zone.
