AUDUSD Medium-term Sell OpportunityThe AUDUSD pair followed our previous signal with great precision (March 19, see chart below), hitting the 0.63750 Target:
Following that, the price rebounded and has so far been rejected yet again on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the strongest medium-term Resistance and a symmetrical sell level where the similar sequence of June - July 2023 Double Topped and got rejected even below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we take a similar bearish stance and take this opportunity to sell again and target 0.63450 (1.235 Fib ext).
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D-AUD
Could price reverse from here?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 102.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 103.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 101.84
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103.64
1st Support: 102.36
1st Resistance: 104.52
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially fall to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6622
1st Support: 0.6586
1st Resistance: 0.6643
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell GBPAUD UK Interest Ratethe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant pattern.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.9000 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
1.8871: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
1.8807: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 1.9042. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
AUDCAD - Already Over-Bought 📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDCAD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in red.
At present, AUDCAD is approaching the upper bound of the wedge pattern acting as an over-bought zone.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.65800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPAUD forming a bottom?GBPAUD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.8925 (stop at 1.8875)
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.8925.
Our profit targets will be 1.9045 and 1.9075
Resistance: 1.8985 / 1.9050 / 1.9110
Support: 1.8925 / 1.8895 / 1.8835
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD to find buyers at previous resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
Bespoke support is located at 0.6575.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 0.6575 (stop at 0.6549)
Our profit targets will be 0.6640 and 0.6650
Resistance: 0.6635 / 0.6665 / 0.6700
Support: 0.6575 / 0.6545 / 0.6515
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Trading Signal For AUDUSD Trading Setup:
There is a Trading Signal to Sell in AUDUSD Currency Pair.
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 0.6634
⭕️SL@ 0.6681
🔵TP1@ 0.6551
🔵TP2@ 0.6466
🔵TP3@ 0.6281
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Buy AUD/USD Bullish PennantThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This breakout suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the pennant, ideally around 0.6630 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the pennant and recent price movement:
0.6694: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial uptrend before the pennant) and adding that distance to the breakout price.
0.6734: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the pennant, ideally around 0.6600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising toward a resistance level, which acts as a pullback resistance aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop toward our take profit target.
Entry: 101.961
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 102.878
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 99.954
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Forecast: Balancing Economic Realities with Market ExpectIn anticipation of the forthcoming FOMC meeting, the AUDUSD currency pair is demonstrating a notable increase in value, defying the backdrop of data indicating a prevailing contraction in private business activity across Australia during March. Despite these domestic economic challenges, market attention remains focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) upcoming meeting scheduled for the following week, widely expected to maintain interest rates at their current level of 4.35%.
Against this backdrop, analysts and traders are closely monitoring the unfolding dynamics surrounding the FOMC meeting today. There is a prevailing sentiment within the trading community anticipating a potential bullish impulse in the market. Specifically, there are expectations that the price of the AUDUSD pair may experience a rebound from the significant Fibonacci retracement levels of 50% to 61.8%. Furthermore, there's speculation that this upward movement could bring the price back around the FVG area, signifying a possible uptrend in the market. This anticipated price action suggests the potential for a definitive pullback in the price, presenting traders with opportunities for strategic positioning and profit-taking.
AUD/CAD 0.90000! its going to drop (5/3/2024)AUD/CAD FX:AUDCAD has reached the 0.9000 psychological level.
Also, we can see the price is completing an ABC correction.
So today, the CAD data will determine the next move.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.
GBPAUD remains mixed and volatile.GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.9250.
We look to Sell at 1.9220 (stop at 1.9270)
Our profit targets will be 1.9100 and 1.9070
Resistance: 1.9150 / 1.9250 / 1.9310
Support: 1.9090 / 1.9060 / 1.9000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD Breakout and potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65900 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 065900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could AUD/USD reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.65493
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.65866
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 0.64829
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same?
The US Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range as anticipated. Notably, Fed Chair Powell, in the press conference, expressed that while the central bank remains vigilant about inflation risks, a hike is "unlikely" for the next move.
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) echo a similar stance when it announces its interest rate decision next week?
Although there were hopeful indications that inflation in Australia was trending in the right direction, these were dashed recently by a stronger-than-expected reading for the March quarter.
With hopes for a rate cut dashed, speculation now centers around the possibility of another increase before 2024 concludes. Bloomberg reports a shift in expectations from rate cuts to a potential rise by year-end. Market sentiment has transitioned from a 70% likelihood of an interest rate cut in August to a 50% probability of a 0.25% rate hike, which is a huge shift in sentiment.
If indeed an interest rate hike materializes, it would place Australia in stark contrast to other central banks.
Presently, the RBA's cash rate stands at 4.35%. None of the major four banks anticipate the RBA's next move to be an increase, with all still projecting a rate cut by Christmas. However, these forecasts remain subject to change in the lead-up to the RBA's decision.