AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.89300 zone, AUDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
D-AUD
EURAUD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Daily To M30Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #EURAUD .
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDCHF: Trend-Following Opportunity 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a bearish trend.
After a strong selling wave, the pair was consolidating for 2 weeks
within a narrow range on a daily.
Yesterday, the support of the range was broken.
We see its retest now.
I expect a bearish movement lower.
At least to 0.5636 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game:
Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates.
Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now.
Thank you
Examining Inflation Trends for AUDUSD Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66800 support and resistance area.
Let's delve into the fundamental landscape, specifically examining the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI figures released on December 12, 2023, showed a 3.1% change, matching the previous month's figure and slightly below the forecasted 3.2%. This indicates a relatively stable inflationary environment in the Australian economy.
Comparing this with the preceding months' CPI data, we observe a consistent trend. The October 2023 data showed a 3.7% inflation rate, slightly higher than September's 3.6% and in line with expectations. However, in August 2023, there was a slight decrease, with inflation recorded at 3.2%, compared to the previous month's 3.3%.
The most recent CPI data at 3.4% suggests a mild deceleration in inflation, aligning closely with market expectations. This information provides valuable insights for traders considering a selling opportunity in AUDUSD, as stable or slightly decreasing inflation may influence market sentiment and potential currency movements.
Trade safe.
Joe
EURAUD Potential continuation to upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a buying opportunity around 1.63800 zone, EURAUD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.63800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY - Keep It Simple 👌Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 AUDJPY has demonstrated an overall bullish trend, trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, AUDJPY is sitting around the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the 96.5 serves as a robust demand zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted blue circle signifies a significant zone to consider for potential buy setups . This area is noteworthy as it marks the convergence of the green demand and the lower blue trendline, acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 In accordance with my trading style:
As AUDJPY is sitting around the blue circle zone, I will actively search for bullish reversal setups to capitalize on the anticipated next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUDJPY to find buyers at market?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
Reverse trend line support comes in at 97.00.
Further upside is expected.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
A move through 97.25 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 98.00.
We look to Buy at 97.00 (stop at 96.60)
Our profit targets will be 98.00 and 98.50
Resistance: 97.50 / 98.00 / 98.50
Support: 97.00 / 96.75 / 96.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.06500 zone, AUDNZD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.06500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPAUD:Bearish stocks and potential AUD weaknessHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPAUD for a buying opportunity around 1.89900 zone, GBPAUD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.89900 zone.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures could play a pivotal role in the market dynamics. Notably, the strong CPI could lead to a strengthening of the US dollar. While a robust dollar might be viewed positively in some contexts, in the realm of stocks, it could have adverse effects. A strong dollar is generally perceived as negative for stocks, as it can impact corporate profits, leading to a potential bearish sentiment in equities.
Traders should be vigilant about these interconnected factors, understanding the broader market dynamics and the implications of fundamental releases on correlated assets. As always, trade safe and stay informed about the evolving market conditions.
Remember I mentioned about GbpAud last week, now what?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Last week I was mentioning that I was looking at GbpAud since its at a key area of resistance...I mentioned in my video to be open to it breaking up as well..So it did, so far, pullbacks should be to enter on long.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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AUD/USD: Navigating Market Swings Amidst Economic IndicatorsAUD/USD: Navigating Market Swings Amidst Economic Indicators
The Australian Dollar (AUD) has showcased its strength in the aftermath of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. Despite an initial dip yesterday, the AUD demonstrated a robust recovery, maintaining its position within the 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci area. Supported by the 200 Moving Average and the dynamic trendline of a bullish channel, the technical analysis indicates a stable situation, fostering a modest upward movement. As the AUD/USD pair approaches the psychological level at 0.6700, market speculation on potential rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in March and May continues to provide support.
Economic Landscape:
Australia's Monthly Consumer Price Index for October and November revealed a marginal decrease, suggesting that Q4 2023 headline inflation may fall below the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) annual forecast of 4.5%. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) job vacancies data, reflecting a decline for six consecutive quarters, aligns with the labor market's easing pressures. These factors indicate that the RBA might refrain from further interest rate hikes in February.
Contrasting signals emerge from Australia's economic indicators, with Retail Sales increasing in November and December's Trade Surplus widening. While positive, these signals may not be sufficient to prompt the RBA to implement monetary policy easing, especially given the subdued inflation data.
Forecast:
Amidst these economic dynamics, our forecast maintains a positive outlook for the AUD/USD pair. The technical stability, coupled with market speculation favoring the Australian Dollar, suggests a potential growth in its value. Traders and investors will be keenly observing how the RBA responds to the contrasting economic indicators and whether the central bank decides to adjust its monetary policy stance in the coming months.
Conclusion:
The Australian Dollar's resilience in the face of market fluctuations and economic indicators is noteworthy. While inflationary concerns persist globally, Australia's economic data presents a nuanced picture. The AUD/USD pair's journey toward the 0.6700 level is an intriguing development, and its future trajectory will be shaped by a delicate balance between domestic economic factors and global market sentiment.
Our preference
Looking for a Long positions with target at 0.6940
EURAUD to continue in the upward move?EURAUD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
The RSI is trending higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.6450 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 1.6410 (stop at 1.6370)
Our profit targets will be 1.6510 and 1.6535
Resistance: 1.6450 / 1.6490 / 1.6500
Support: 1.6425 / 1.6415 / 1.6400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUD/USD Strives for Heights Amid Dollar's ResurgenceAUD/USD Strives for Heights Amid Dollar's Resurgence: Navigating Market Dynamics
The AUD/USD experienced a notable surge, reaching a fresh five-month high at 0.6870 before encountering a shift in momentum. During the American session, the pair saw a reversal, dipping below 0.6850 as the US Dollar staged a recovery, fueled by an uptick in Treasury yields.
Market Response to US Data:
Despite noteworthy data releases from the US on Thursday, including an unexpected increase in Initial Jobless Claims to 218,000, market participants seemed largely indifferent. The week ending December 23 also witnessed Pending Home Sales holding flat in November, falling short of the anticipated 1% increase. The resilience of the AUD/USD in the face of these figures suggests the pair's sensitivity to broader market dynamics.
Upcoming Events and Data Focus:
As we move into Friday's trading, Australia is void of scheduled data releases, placing the spotlight on the US with the release of the Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). However, the real anticipation is directed towards next week's US employment data, featuring crucial indicators such as ADP, JOLTS, jobless claims, and Nonfarm payrolls.
Technical Analysis and Bullish Outlook:
Our analysis maintains a bullish stance, tracking the AUD/USD's price movements. Notably, the pair exhibited resilience with two rebounds on the dynamic trendline within Fibonacci areas. The upcoming Fibonacci zone, ranging between 38.3% and 50%, emerges as a potential trigger for another bullish impulse, following a swing-style pattern.
Conclusion:
The AUD/USD's journey to a five-month high showcases its inherent strength, even amid a resurging US Dollar. The market's reaction to US data and the upcoming focus on employment figures sets the stage for continued volatility. With our bullish outlook guided by technical analysis, the AUD/USD's ability to navigate Fibonacci zones suggests potential opportunities for traders in the evolving market landscape. As the pair readies for the next leg of its journey, investors are poised for strategic moves aligned with the dynamic interplay of global economic forces.
Our preference
Looking for a Long positions with target at 0.6940
AUD rally stalls ahead of key US PCE inflation reportThe Australian dollar’s rally has met its match around a key resistance area, which includes the January trendline and Q3 open price. A 2-bar reversal formed on Wednesday, following RSI reaching overbought the day prior. And as the US dollar has weakened on bets on Fed cuts ahead of a key PCE inflation report, I suspect there may be some disappointment and the potential for a USD dollar bounce.
This is why we’re looking for some mean reversion and towards the 0.6570 at a minimum (near its 200-day EMA) or support around 65c.
Bears could seek to fade into low volatility retracements within Wednesday’s range, while prices remain beneath Wednesday’s high.
GBPAUD 115 pips short+
1.) weekly structure bearish
2.) daily major trendline
3.) daily divergence
4.) no bullish momentum on daily tf
5.) daily fib. level (0.618)
6.) changed 4h orderflow bearish
7.) building 4h liq.
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1.) 4h divergence against us
2.) gbp news 15:15 BOE (in 2hours)
overall a good solid trade but with news it can be tricky