AUDNZD: Important Breakout & Bearish Outlook 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD broke and closed below a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a resistance now.
The market will most likely keep falling.
Next goal - major weekly rising trend line.
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D-AUD
EURAUD - Looking For Sell Setups Already!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis, we were looking for buy setups around the lower bound of red and orange channels.
Now EURAUD is approaching the upper bound of the red channel.
Moreover, the zone 1.665 is a strong resistance.
🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance support and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
As per my trading style:
As EURAUD approaches the upper red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
The sell bias would be invalidated if the bulls manage to break above the blue resistance.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURAUD possible retestBefore price broke structure to the downside, it formed liquidity and a massive imbalance right under an established supply zone. It preceded to break structure with momentum and has currently retraced back towards the supply zone. Price could now use this supply and liquidity to fuel its move down to take out the weak low.
JPYAUD, Next Crucial Fractal-Setup, BEAR-Wave Accelerations!Hello There!
Within the forex market, I have spotted important bearish setups within the current market developments. One of them is JPYAUD because this pair remained in a steady downtrend for a very long period of time. Such long-lasting downtrends are not trends that reverse from one day to the other. Also, I have spotted the underlying fractal formations, bearish formations, and upcoming bearish determinations that are preeminently important for JPYAUD.
As when looking at my chart now JPYAUD has formed this enormous gigantic bearish descending channel formation in which it has the main upper resistance channel from where it already pulled back off the upper boundary and especially within the past pullback JPYAUD formed a main fractal from A to D before this pullback increased with the severe bearish momentum accelerations towards the downside. Exactly, the same fractal is completed again.
With the breakout below the fractal channel boundary and the pullbacks off the EMAs JPYAUD has formed severe resistance levels within the range from where further pullbacks are more than not unlikely. This means that the path for JPYAUD is towards the bearish directions with an elevated determined bearish pace as JPYAUD already activated the bearish target zones. Also, JPYAUD with the breakout and pullback in the range is now forming the main wave C downtrend extension.
Below these main resistance levels, JPYAUD is now forming this bearish flag continuation setup that is actually setting up the next bearish wave momentum to accelerate in the near term. The first target of the currently preceeding bear breakout is within the 0.0101 level and once this level has been reached the next target is within the 0.0098 level. Especially, once this final target zone has been reached the momentum needs to be measured as JPYAUD may just continue with the bearish acceleration below the target zones.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about JPYAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
"For those properly prepared, the bear market is not only a calamity but an opportunity."
VP
EURAUD: Possibilities on a well known pattern.The EURAUD pair is on a breadih 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.370, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 32.977) as the price remains under the 1D MA100 after breaking the bottom of the dotted Channel Up on Friday.
If it doesn't cross above the LH trendline (notice the similar pattern in the previous correction waves), it will likely test the 1D MA200 and S1, which can match the bottom of a diverging Channel Up. If it holds, the target will be the R1 level (TP = 1.70650) as in the event of a LH breakout. A closing under the dashed line (bottom of diverging Channel Up), will be a bearish signal targeting the previous Support (TP = 1.58500).
If on any given time the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross, consider it an additional buy signal.
Prior idea:
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EURAUD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a selling opportunity around 1.65200 zone, EURAUD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.65200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64500 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.64500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURAUD, Huge Formation, WEDGE to Setup BEARISH BREAKOUT!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of EURAUD from the 4-hour timeframe perspective. In recent times the EXY, European Currency Index has shown up with crucial bearish inclinations which are pointing to a bearish market sentiment especially with massive inflation spreading like wildfire seemingly not reacting to exponential rate hikes pulled out by the ECB. Such developments could point to a major bearish setup emerging for the EURAUD also. Besides that, there are important formational structures that need to be considered here. In this case, it is necessary to determine the final completions and changes within the market before rushing to anything else.
Formational Developments, Resistance, Bearish Momentum, and Setup:
When looking at my chart now EURAUD continued to form this preceding huge bearish descending channel trend in which it already pulled back several times bearishly off the upper boundary increasing the high possibility likelihood of such pullbacks to holding on and printing the next bearish waves with continued lower lows to be determined. Especially as EURAUD already pulled back several times from the 65-EMA in red as well as the 35-EMA in grey these EMAs are substantial resistances from where continued pullbacks are more likely than anything else. Currently, EURAUD is approaching the EMAs together with the upper boundary resistance of the channel once again which is pointing to the next bearish wave to set up from here on.
Upcoming Determinations, Bearish Breakout, Target Activation, and Underlying Drivers:
Furthermore, what is the most important formation in my whole chart is this crucial descending wedge formation. Such a formation is pointing to an increased continuation toward the bearish direction in almost all of the cases. This formation will be completed with a final breakout below the lower boundary as it is marked within my chart and as EURAUD already completed the wave-count within the formation this final breakout is likely to emerge within the near future. Once the breakout has shown up as it is marked this is going to be the origin of the wave C extension and bearish momentum acceleration as it is marked. Once this wave C acceleration and bearish wave has shown up it is going to activate the final target zone as marked.
Once this final target zone has been reached further assumptions need to be made. The pair is on my watchlist to determine important changes once they have shown up here, especially with the target projections and bearish developments to be expected. Especially, a massive inflation increase together with failed monetary policies are going to fuel a bearish momentum inclination here therefore these underlying factors also need to be considered then.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
CHFAUD, This Major Formation to ALTER the Current Trend-Dynamic!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest idea about CHFAUD. In my recent analysis, conduction, and chart price-action I have detected important underlying trend dynamics and price action dynamics that are likely to alter the whole CHFAUD price action and trend that is currently ongoing. Currently, it is highly necessary conduction to consider if the CHFAUD current trend dynamics are going to hold on or if a massive reversal is going to convert the whole price action into a different market.
Within my analysis chart, I am considering the massive ascending triangle formation CHFAUD is likely to complete within the next times as it is going to approach this massive supply zone between the 1.8 and 1.87 level from where it already pulled back several times in the past increasing the possibility for a major pullback into the other trend direction.
Especially, within this whole price-action the most important parts are the 25-EMA, the 50-EMA, and the ascending trend line which hold the current trend, and if they are broken towards the other trend direction it is going to indicate the massive trend reversal and is going to activate the next continuations till either the bearish momentum is going to accelerate so heavily below the supports or a potential for a reversal within the supports is indicated.
When considering the whole dynamic here the major ascending triangle formation forming here is a formation that is indicating a reversal in almost all of the cases. The most important conduction once it has been completed will be on how the price action approaches the target zones because it is going to complete a much larger wave count from A to E with the finalization of the wave E. A bounce in this area is going to confirm a potential reversal otherwise a continuation is going to accelerate the bearishness to even further target zones.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
AUDUSD Sell due to rejection on Channel TopAUDUSD got rejection at the top of the medium term Channel Down and closed on the MA50 (4h) on Friday.
This is negating a Golden Cross on the (4h) time frame.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the opening market price.
Targets:
1. 0.63300 (Support 1).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) is on the verge of a Sell Cross, the same kind after the previous two Lower Highs on the Channel.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
GBPAUD: Oversold and in need of a reaction.GBPAUD turned briefly oversold on the 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 30.322, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 62.269) while pricing a LLL at the bottom of the Channel Down and the S1 level. The latter in particular can attract considerable buying power to push it for a 1D MA50 and R1 Zone test. This will determine the trend onwards but on the short term following 6 weeks of downtrend, a reaction should be expected. TP = 1.93000.
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EURAUD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD broke and closed below a support of a horizontal trading range on a daily.
Taking into consideration the fact that the pair is trading in a minor bearish trend
since the middle of August, such a violation may signify the remaining strength
of the sellers.
I expect a bearish continuation to 1.6275
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AUDUSD to stall at previous swing high?AUDUSD - Intraday
Buying pressure from 0.6331 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Previous resistance located at 0.6510.
We look to Sell at 0.6510 (stop at 0.6540)
Our profit targets will be 0.6435 and 0.6315
Resistance: 0.6550 / 0.6625 / 0.6680
Support: 0.6340 / 0.6275 / 0.6185
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AUDUSD Very strong buy on 1 month stretchAUDUSD has held the bottom of the 2+ year Channel Down for 7 weeks straight.
With the exception of September 2022 (fundamentals) such trading action initiated a rebound to the 1week MA50 at least.
This is therefore a very strong buy opportunity to target the 1week 50. If it closes a week over it, you can extend buying to a little under the 1week MA100.
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AUDUSD - Long Trade IdeaIf price doesn't reach the final 30m Sibi, I would like to see a possible long entry form. I am anticipating the annotated 30m Bisi (R2F) to be a POI for an entry, but if the current candle doesn't break its low, then a new potential area would have formed. This is a counter-trend trade, so swings are not recommended until further confirmation.
For better RR, wait for more confluence on the lower timeframes for stoploss placement.
AUDNZD: These Support levels favor a rebound.AUDNZD is almost oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 32.701, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 44.479) hitting yesterday the July 14th Low. The long term pattern started as a Channel Up but recently has switched to a Rectangle. The 1D RSI has been a Rectangle through the whole year and being on its bottom currently, calls for a buy. We are long, targeting the LH trendline (TP = 1.10000).
Prior idea:
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AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.86400 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCHF Hit our bullish target. Now time to sell the Channel DownThe AUDCHF pair has hit the 0.58200 target (0.382 Fibonacci level) we set on our last buy call (see idea below) and is resting today at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern since the January 27 2023 High:
The price price is now on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. There is also a chance that the dotted Channel Down will be materialized, so the technical Lower High max extension is a little higher. The sell confirmation typically comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. Our target is a potential -9.10% extension at 0.54000.
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EURAUD Close to hitting our target. Reverse to buy.The EURAUD pair is close to hitting the Target we set a month ago (see chart below) on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern since mid-September 2022:
Since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) has held as Support for 9 straight sessions, the market may consider it as the new bottom. It would be best to take the good profit made throughout this month now and turn bullish. As you can see, it is potentially the new Higher Low on the dotted Channel Up. The blue Channel Up has always made its bottom just below the 1D MA100, which is why initially we selected that as the sell target.
If you don't want to buy now, you may enter upon confirmation, which comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. In either case, our target is 1.75000 (less than +7.90% from the bottom).
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AUDUSD, Massive BROADENING-WEDGE, Bearish Indications Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about AUDUSD on several timeframe perspectives. The AUDUSD continued with continuational bearish price-action as it pulled back from several levels to continue forming lower lows. Now a major consideration here is if this trend into the bearish direction is holding on and in my chart I detected major signs that such a continuation is highly likely as there are huge formations forming that are setting up the massive volatility waves to emerge.
As when considering the local timeframe perspective AUDUSD is forming this initial broadening-wedge-formation here which is going to activate targets below the 0.616 level. Once they are reached this will be even a part of a much larger formation which is actually a major broadening-wedge-formation, the fact that the price-action will also have formed a breakout below the preceeding trend-line that had the origins within the 2020 corona supply-shock bear-market breakdown lows.
The fact that AUDUSD is going to form the breakout below the lower boundary of the gigantic large global broadening-wedge-formation as well as below the preceeding massive corona-lows trendline based in 2020 will be the contribution to a much larger bearish trend-dynamic. Furthermore, a continued high inflation within the AUD area is going to raise the interest rates for this area which is likely to put more bearishness on AUD in combination with the strong DXY this is a combination from where bearishness is elevated.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP