DAX is topping short term. Fast profit opportunity.DAX trade excatly as expected last time (chart at the bottom) making a new Low in the established Channel Down.
The price reached the 0.5 Fibonnaci level today, a reading which formed the August 31st Lower High on the other -6.50% bearish leg.
Sell now and target 15150 (Rising Support) but close if it reaches first the 1day MA50 as the MACD Buy Cross can completely reverse it long term.
Previous chart:
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D-DAX
Porsche Holding: Bottom formation 🔄The Porsche Holding share price is approaching the 78.60% retracement of the magenta target zone between €56.44 and €36.61. Here, we expect the low of the magenta wave 2, which has been dragging on since 2021. With the low formed, a reversal should then take place, and the price should rise well above the resistance at 60.18€.
DAX: Already done? 📌🤔Since last Wednesday, the German stock index DAX has been rising again. In theory, the low of the turquoise wave alt.4 could already be in place. However, this scenario would require a rise above the resistance at 15 647, which we consider to be 33% probable. Until then, we maintain our primary expectation that the turquoise target zone between 14 866 and 14 555 points should be targeted for the low.
DAX has started the new Channel Down bullish legDAX hit last week the bottom (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down that started after the July 31 High. Technically that is a short-term buy signal, aimed at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the top of the Channel Down. Our current target is 15500 (also on a +3.70% symmetry with the previous bullish leg of the Channel).
A 1D candle close above the Channel Up will be a bullish break-out signal targeting 15920 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level). But until it does, the trend will remain bearish within the Channel Down, targeting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at 14750.
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GER30: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GER30
Pattern – LH - Lower support test
Support – 15,055 - 15,015
Resistance – 15,287 - 15,504
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GER30 daily is today's focus. Due to the tragic events over the weekend, we have seen stock futures trading lower into the new week. The GER30 is testing Friday's firm finish and could be forming a new lower high. The key here will be if sellers can be price back down to test 15,055 - 15,015 support. A break set up a continuation of the med-term downtrend.
If buyers can reject today's selling and break back above Friday's high, this could suggest a new higher leg and a possible test of 15,504.
Good trading.
Rheinmetall: Locked and Loaded 💥After briefly dipping below the turquoise target range of €245.60 to €228.40, Rheinmetall's stock price has rebounded into this zone. We now believe it has set the low for the magenta wave (iv at this point. Consequently, a substantial increase to €320 is anticipated.
05102023 - #DAXMarket made a nice bullish reversal candle yesterday when all are bearish, and this was as per plan ().
IMO, price action is bullish vs price is still below the DBZ. But I would go for the move higher from here. Looking for PZ to hold and a move to target 15320. I will not discount the possibility of price reacting against the DBZ and a down move first (to 15002) but overall, looking for a move to 15236 minimally and 15320 likely, before any strong reaction from sellers.
DAX: Channel Down bottom buy to 15,500.DAX touched the bottom of the Channel Down today and immediately reacted positively. The 1D timeframe is bearish technically (RSI = 33.050, MACD = -53.850, ADX = 44.059) but the RSI double bottomed inside a Zone same way it did on the August 18th LL. We are long, aiming at a +3.73% rise (same as August) as so far the bearish legs at least have been symmetrical. We may see a 1D MA50 test there (TP = 15,500).
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 04/10/2023As expected we are seeing further downside as a wave ((v)). There are some signs in favor of a reversal which means that the corrective WXY structure down can be finished. However, at this moment, we are still bearish in the daily and the weekly timeframe.
03102023 - #DAXI was bearish DAX yesterday () despite the opening gap up and it played out well; market played out almost as per the path, coming down to bottom of PZ, rallied up to above double resistance before a sell down. Probably, what is somewhat surprising is that, despite the up move in SPX (led by NDX, DJIA was weak) DAX was much weak too.
Overall, I would say that DAX is weak. And if we are looking at price action, what happened is, price sold off rather deeply, hit the bottom of the Bollinger Band for days, then found support, rallied for 1-2 days, found sellers and sold back down, with space now for further down side.
But again, I would say that the speed of the sell down is a bit too steep; yesterday's down move brought price directly back to the bottom of the Bollinger Band again, in which, having another bounce is not surprising. And also, one thing to note is, sellers have yet been able to bring DAX below last week's low though.
For today, if following the trend, I would say to continue to look for downside with bearish price action and the zones above as resistance. 15282 should be a good max level to look for short for a move to 14986 strong support and 14900. If 14900 trades, will be glad to look for longs for a good bounce.
DAX TRADING OPPORTUNITY Following the Downtrend on the DAX, price made a lower high and lower low creating a new Market Structure. Digging into the volume-candle analysis the upward move from Wednesday to Friday last week, created under light volume and small range candles. Showing the potential downtrend continuation.
Price rejection on Friday below the 50% fib reveals the strength of the bears in the DAX.
considering the LHLL and the RSI below 50, both indicated bearishness. On this time frame.
If price continues moving lower there is a key level of Support S1 found around 15143 and if price continues lower the next Key Support found at S2 around 15022. Pay attention to this , it is just above the round number 15000.
In case the price continues moving upwards, there is a strong Resistance found at R2 that is in between the 50% and 61.8% fib level and this can cause the market to move lower
Happy Trading guys
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 02/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)For traders (lower timeframe)
The higher degree correction in the DAX can be finished as we took out the wave (W) low. However, the main expectation is that we see some further downside as a wave ((v)).
For investors (higher timeframe):
In the higher timeframe, the higher level wave ((1)) is probably finished. There is also an alternative scenario where we can make one more high to finish wave ((1)). This wave ((1)) should be followed by a wave ((2)) to the downside which is an interesting buying opportunity for investors.
DAX Rejection on the MA50 (4h).DAX remains inside a Channel Down pattern. The price just got rejected on the MA50 (4h).
The pattern so far matches exactly the first bearish sequence of the pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price and keep as long as the price trades under it.
Targets:
1. 14950 (-3.75%, symmetry with August).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) is on the exact same level as the August 11th rejection on the MA50 (4h).
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Notes:
Past trading plan: