DAX Buy opportunity on the 1D MA200 and bottom of Channel Up.DAX is on the 3rd straight green 1D candle after it almost hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) last Friday, which is intact since November 10 2022. This rebound comes as a natural reaction to the long-term Support dynamic of the 1D MA200 as well as the presence of Support 1 from the July 07 Low.
As long as it holds, we will take it as a buy opportunity and target 16700 (Internal Higher Highs trend-line). If it closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will take the small loss and open a sell targeting Support 2 at 14470.
Notice how even the 1D RSI almost hit the 34.70 Support and is rebounding, which is an additional buy signal. Don't neglect also the fact that Friday's low was formed at the bottom of the 7-month Channel Up pattern.
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D-DAX
DAX to turnaround?GER40 - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action continues to trade around significant highs.
A move through bespoke resistance at 15800 and we look for extended gains.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
We look to Buy a break of 15821 (stop at 15721)
Our profit targets will be 16071 and 16131
Resistance: 15800 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15700 / 15600 / 15500
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (20/08/2023)In the higher timeframe, the higher level wave ((1)) is probably finished. There is also an alternative scenario where we can make one more high to finish wave ((1)). This wave ((1)) should be followed by a wave ((2)) to the downside which is an interesting buying opportunity for investors.
U.S Dollar Fundamental Analysis for Fri Aug 18th, 2023The dollar index eased to around 103.2 on Friday but was still on track to advance for the fifth straight week, as minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting showed that policymakers stressed that upside risks to inflation remain, leaving the door open to further policy tightening. However, some participants flagged the economic risks of pushing rates too far, emphasizing that future rate decisions would depend on incoming data. The latest data also showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to continued tightness in the labor market. The dollar is set to gain against most major currencies this week but remains down against sterling as key measures of price growth monitored by the Bank of England failed to ease in July. The yield on the 10-year Treasury slid to 4.22% on Friday after rising to as high as 4.328% in the previous session, the highest since October 2022 and just a tad below its highest level since 2007. The fluctuation is due to investor concerns about the economic impact of high interest rates. The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes from July highlighted that there are still risks of higher inflation, suggesting the possibility of more tightening of monetary policy. Despite recent data indicating a decrease in inflationary pressures, a strong US economy and a robust job market are reasons supporting the continuation of high interest rates. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage jumped by 13 basis points from the previous week to 7.09%, the highest since 2002, as the hawkish outlook for the Federal Reserve underpinned expensive mortgage rates for American consumers. A year ago, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 5.13%. "The economy continues to do better than expected, and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved up, causing mortgage rates to climb," said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. "The last time the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage exceeded seven percent was last November. Demand has been impacted by affordability headwinds, but low inventory remains the root cause of stalling home sales." Source: Freddie Mac
17082023 - #DAXYesterday, market rallied as per my level to the exact resistance () and held there for like hours before it finally faltered. TBH when US indices made a dip and rallied, DAX was rather strong and thus was expecting a possible move to the upside. But instead it just ranged and eventually faltered on FOMC meeting minutes.
With yesterday's down move, price is overextended, in terms of price action. and there is a bullish divergence on H4. IMO, bearish as it is, it is possible to try another long if market reclaims 15685 (support but now as resistance). Will be watching that level for a possible move to BZ and maximum yesterday's high near 15801 and possibly that is all for the safe upside for a possible down to 15589 next.
If market just continue to go down, 15517 is good for a long. And just to say here, yesterday's SPY option point to a possible close of SPY at 445 or even higher but we got the sell. Could w really close at 445? It all depends on today.
DAX 40 TRADE IDEADAX40 is forming a bearish trend, DAX40 close yesterday's session with less than -0.8%. We should expect more bearish movements at the open of the New York and FOMC statement.
DAX Found Support on the Megaphone's Higher Lows.DAX is on the 8th straight sideways 1D candle as it found Support on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the short-term Resistance while the price is trading around the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as pivot.
We are bullish, targeting the Internal Higher Highs trend-line at 17000, as long as the Megaphone's bottom holds. The bullish extension may be even higher considering the fact that the medium-term pattern could be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 17400.
If however the price breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line, we will short-term sell targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) where a 1D candle close below it, would justify a bearish extension to Support 2 at 14470.
For now the trend remains bullish, as illustrated by the 1D RSI also which is on an 8-month Support Zone.
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Stock Index Review...Key Levels you need to watch!!We take a look at the Daily charts and price action on our Key Indexes.
It is important to have a longer term view of the price action and risk levels on the key markets so we will discuss our major markets and what we are looking for in the video.
We take a look at the following Key Indexes:-
Nasdaq, DOW, DAX, FTSE, ASX200, Hang Seng and the Nikkei.
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