D-GBP
Decoding GBPNZD: CPI Trends Point to Potential NZD WeaknessIn today's trading session, our focus is on GBPNZD, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 2.08000 zone. GBPNZD is currently traversing an ascending channel and is in a correction phase, approaching the channel support at 2.08000.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicates a trend of softening inflation in New Zealand. Looking at the previous CPI figures, we observe a declining pattern from 2.2% in October 2022 to 1.8% in October 2023. The expected CPI on January 23rd is 0.5%, signaling a potential continuation of subdued inflationary pressures.
This soft print in CPI may impact the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), as a lower-than-expected inflation rate could prompt concerns about economic growth and lead to a dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Traders should factor in the possibility of NZD weakness in their decision-making process.
Turning to technicals, GBPNZD's ascending channel provides a clear structure, with the correction approaching the channel support at 2.08000. Considering the channel's historical behavior, a potential target could be the channel resistance at 2.10.
As traders navigate this opportunity, a comprehensive analysis that combines both technical and fundamental factors is crucial. This dual perspective enables a more informed approach to trading decisions.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Top Down Analysis January 23, 2024Top-down Analysis.
In this video, we take a close look at the GBPUSD to find out where it is going. Using a top-down analysis, we have examined all possible directions of price movement in the short term and long term, respectively.
We are expecting to catch a down move that will give us a potential of 147 pips in profit if it goes our way.
GBPUSD to find buyers at market?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff has posted a correction count on the daily chart.
A move lower faces tough support and we remain cautious on downside potential.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
The preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 1.2725 (stop at 1.2693)
Our profit targets will be 1.2805 and 1.2825
Resistance: 1.2785 / 1.2825 / 1.2870
Support: 1.2725 / 1.2700 / 1.2655
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GBPCAD BUYConsider selling GBPCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
GBPJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-BOJToday's focus:
Pattern – Continuation, resistance test.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 187.63 - 184.35
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Our focus today is on the GBPJPY pre-Bank of Japan. Looking at price, we can see it continues to trade on fast trends higher but has stalled at resistance.
The market could now be waiting to see what's next from the Bank of Japan. Will they tweak their bond-buying program? We have seen some solid volatility from past meetings. Could this be another?
We have run over two scenarios in today's video, and we will look to see what happens next for the JPY after tomorrow's BOJ meeting. Rates are expected to remain on hold, and the statement and outlook report are expected between 11:30 am and 4 pm on Tuesday this week.
Good trading.
GBPUSD1H - On the hourly timeframe, we are currently in a long context, with the nearest target being the Friday High. After updating that level, I plan to revise the idea based on the price reaction to the Friday maximum.
GBPUSD4H - After the removal of the SSL (Sell Stop Level) on Wednesday, the price established a weekly low and experienced a reversal, breaking the structure and continuing the upward movement on Friday after entering the FVG (Fractal Volume Gap). After receiving a reaction at the nearest fractal minimum, the price continued the upward movement. I consider 1.276 as the first local target.
GBPUSD1D - On the daily timeframe, we continue to be in a long context. Throughout the week, we sustained the movement from highly liquid zones. After Friday's close below the previous fractal, the price initiated a short movement towards the nearest fractal minimum (as mentioned in last week's review, the decision to leave equal lows around 1.26 seems justified). Due to the significant amount of news this week, I expect a breakout from the sideways movement.
BUY GBPCADConsider selling GBPCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
GBPAUD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPAUD for a buying opportunity around 1.91800 zone, GBPAUD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.91800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.