Possible XAUUSD movementEnglish
I´m going to make an analysis on a monthly timeframe looking for our market structure, we have all the HH and HL with at least 50% of our fibo retrament.
We take a look at the fibo retracement to see where could I take profits when the price breaks the last H and we found two interesting zones (-10% and -27%),
that is a rare way to use the fibo retracement, but it really works.
Then, I checked if the price let any debt to look after it and I found one in the 100% price of our fibo extension, the price is going to be there (close to the price 1406)
in some time (weeks, years or even decades), when? We have to take a look at it then. In that price we could star buying.
On a weekly time frame there is a kind of bearish structure, not too clear, but on a daily and 4hrs time frame look better, it is making LL and LH and
if nothing happen in the conflict in the middle east, could look for prices right down.
*THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE*
Español
Voy a analizar el mercado en temporalidad mensual para identificar nuestra estructura de mercado, tenemos altos más altos y bajos más altos con al menos un 50% de
retroceso de Fibonacci.
Echamos un vistazo a nuestro retroceso de Fibonacci para identificar donde podríamos tomar profits cuando el precio rompa ese último máximo y encontramos dos zonas interesantes
(-10% y -27%), esa es una rara manera de usar el retroceso de Fibonacci, pero realmente funciona.
Luego, verifiqué si el precio dejo alguna deuda para tener en cuenta y encontré una en el 100% del precio en la extensión del fibonacci, el precio llegará allí (cerca del precio 1406)
in algún momento, (semanas, años o incluso decadas), ¿cuándo? Tenemos que ver con el tiempo, pero en ese precio podemos comenzar a comprar.
En temporalidad semanal hay un tipo de estructura bajista, no tan clara, pero en diario y 4Hrs se ve mucho mejor, está dando bajs más bajos y altos más bajos y si nada
sucede en el conflicto en medio oriente, podríamos buscar precios abajo.
*ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
Debt
Possible movement US30English
First of all, I looked at the market structure, we have a pretty clear bullish structure, the first HH and HL were OK in its structure without any debt.
Then, looking at the next HH and HL, we noticed that the price didn`t cover at least the 50% of our Fibo, so we still have a nice zone to keep an eye on it
for future bullish movements.
I used the fibo expansion to see if we have any debt in the first movement from the last HL and I noticed a debt in the 78% of it, a nice zone for a
possible bullish movement in the future after a financial crash or something really strong like a recesion. All of this on a daily time frame.
Looking at the other structure from the last HL, I noticed a bearish structure, but in the last days the price broke the last H, so we could expect for possible
higher prices, but it would be good for the price to have a retracement before to do it and possible, give us another HH and HL.
We have to be carefull because we now are on a zone where the markets doesn`t give us HH or LL or anything like that, we need to wait for the price to break
that structure for further movements.
*THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE*
Español
Primero que todo, mirè la estructura de mercado, tenemos una estructura alcista muy clara, en el primer alto màs alto y bajo más alto su estructura notiene ninguna deuda.
Luego, mirando el próximo altomás alto y bao más alto, notamos que el precio o fue hasta el 50% del Fibo, por lo que tenemos una zona interesante a ver en el futuro para futuros movimientos al alza.
Usé la expansión de Fibo para ver si tenemos alguna deuda en su primer movimiento desde su último bajo más alto y noté una deuda en el 78% del mismo, una buena zona para posibles futuras compras,
esperando una futura recesión o algún crash financiero. Todo esto en temporalidad diaria.
Mirando la esturctura desde el último bajo más alto, notamos una estructura bajista, pero en los últimos días el precio rompió el último alto, por lo que podemos esperar precios más altos,
pero sería bueno para el precio tener un retroces antes de hacerlo y posteriormente darnos otro alto más alto y bajo más alto.
Tenemos que ser cuidadosos porque ahora estamos en una zona donde el mercado no me ha dado ni altos más altos o bajos más bajos, tenemos que esperar a que el precio rompa su estructura para ver futuros movimientos.
*ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
Possible GBPUSD movementsEnglish
First of all, I looked at the market structure, we have a very clear bearish structure since the 70´s and I looked at the last fractal to see the possible movements and debts the price may cover in his path.
I saw the last movements during (The LL and LH) that last bearish movement that the price didn´t get at least the 50% Fibo´s, it happened with the two bearish movements.
I took a look as well at the possible debts and I used the Fibo extension and noticed a debt in the level 1 (100), so we still have a zone to cover right down (A possible LL).
So, we have two possible movements and two debts that we need to pay attention, one in the 1.86648 price to look for bearish movement and another one waiting for the price to go down and get the debt in the 1 (100) zone of our Fibo extension in the price 0.95397.
Let´s see what the market does to "refresh" my analysis.
*THIS IT NOT INVEStMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE*
Español
Primero que todo, miramos la estructura de mercado, tenemos una estructura claramente bajista desde los 70s y me enfoqué en su último fractal bajista para identificar posibles movimientos y deudas del precio en su camino.
Vi los últimos movimientos (alto más bajo y bajos más bajos) en su último movimiento a la baja e identifiqué que el precio no cubrió en ninguno de sus retrocesos al menos el 50% del Fibo, por lo que tenemos vacios donde el precio tiene que subir en algún momento.
También vi lo que serían posibles deudas en la zona baja e identifiué una deuda en la zona del 1 (100), justo por debajo del último precio a la baja, por lo que tenemos un posible bajo más bajo que cubrir.
Por lo tanto, tenemos dos posibles movimientos y dos deudas a las que debemos prestarle atención, uno en el precio 1.86648 para buscar posibles ventas y otra esperando un nuevo movimiento a la baja hasta el precio 0.95397 buscando posibles compras.
Ya veremos qué hace el mercado para actualizar nuestro análisis.
*ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
Unleashing the Potential of Defensive Market Sectors for a 10x RIn these unpredictable times, it is crucial to strategize and safeguard our investments against market volatility. While some may shy away from uncertainty, smart traders like yourself recognize the immense opportunities that lie within. By focusing on defensive market sectors, we can position ourselves for success, even in the face of adversity.
So, what are these hidden gems, you ask? Let me enlighten you! Our thorough analysis and expert insights have highlighted three subdued ETF sectors that hold tremendous potential for exponential growth. By going long on these stocks, you can seize the opportunity to maximize your returns and secure a bright future for your portfolio.
How to keep your wealth and profit from the Debt Ceiling RisingMore debt leads to more devaluation. Its math.
Thats why prices rise. Thats the magic trick we never learned in school.
The game is designed this way. The machine harvests energy and keeps running.
Debt is created by gov and spent into economy. Banks generate loans. Asset prices rise. Taxes are generated. Those who dont play the game find their purchasing power devalued.
Currency isnt real, theyre accounting units. Dont work for it. It will own you if so.
Create value, help people, create assets. The more you help the more value you create.
Dont chase the paper only to spend it as soon as you get. The machine wants this.
Why Price Matters - SPX to $4200The SPX reversal to $4,200 provides an opportunity to learn from the pros and get back to the basics of trading. This means understanding the numbers and being able to buy things wholesale and sell them at a retail price. With this knowledge, you can be a successful trader.
Evergrande Explained: What Does It All Mean For Markets?Evergrande is something that most of you will have heard about lately, and if you haven’t… you should get the know about it.
This has been one of the main causes of the latest sell off in markets. Its affecting all financial markets from the stock market to the crypto market right now.
I want to explain why that’s the case and what impact it might have going forward…
What is Evergrande?
For anyone who has never heard of Evergrande or maybe has heard it but isn’t sure what it is…
Evergrande is Chinas 2nd largest Real Estate developer and 122nd largest company in the world.
They employ over 120,000 people.
They have over 1,300 building projects in China.
And importantly, they also have some of the largest company debt in the world…
They owe approximately 300 BILLION dollars.
And can’t afford to pay it back…
So What Does It All Mean & Why Is This Important?
Evergrande defaulting on its debt payments has shaken confidence in Chinese real estate markets and caused investors to “de-risk” their portfolios…
Its caused volatility and market sell offs in the stock market as investors or lender to Evergrande are no doubt selling assets to cover some the capital now at risk of default with Evergrande.
Its also made investors worry about a wider spread debt crisis or “contagion” event in markets where lenders or debtors to Evergrande are then also at risk if those debts are not paid back.
So Whats Going To Happen?
So while we outline what this does mean for markets its important to also outline what it doesn’t mean… There are fears that this could be a similar event to the real estate crisis in the US around 2008 where Lehman Brothers defaulted on their debts… and we all know how that ended right?
Well I don’t think this is the same… and more importantly I don’t think that the Chinese authorities would allow that to happen.
This event in some ways has been caused by the Chinese authorities trying to calm the excesses they knew about in the Chinese real estate market…
So I believe this is somewhat a controlled explosion by authorities in China that are looking to deleverage their market excesses.
If that is the case then the fear in the market currently of contagion risks and full blown market crisis is over exaggerated. That means there’s a real possibility that this COULD offer an opportunity to get a good entry into the market during this pullback.
The American dream is a nightmare - Trump cool aid running out.In this screencast I review briefly some headline issues that point to deep troubles affecting the American economy. I look at the Dow Transportation Index which appears to be leading Wall Street in a southward direction.
My list of troubles for America is not exhaustive - so I may well have missed something of greater importance. Do share other facts if you know more.
If others know of reasons for optimism on the US Economy I would be willing to learn more. So far, I've not been able to find anything of true substance to support optimism.
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