SPY: Bounce to $430 then Dump to $400SPY appears to be barreling towards the completion of a rug-pull event that kicked off back in March of this year. The downside target for this event is $399.88.
Although we ultimately place SPY hitting $399 in the near future as a high probability, we do see yet another rug-pull event that has taken place at the $429 price target on a smaller timeframe:
This is confluent with a weak bullish divergence that is appearing on the Daily chart. This supports the thesis that a bounce to the $430 area will occur before we ultimately sell-off down to $400.
Ultimately we see many bearish factors as we enter what is traditionally a bullish time of the year. See our related idea that dives into what we can expect from the VIX in the coming weeks:
Disclaimer:
Any information contained within this post does not constitute any financial, investment, or trading advice. Trade or invest at your own risk.
Diverg
EUR.USD Daily Short then Long. 13 CCI divergence, fib targetsCCI divergence favors some move down in price. 38.2% retracement of upmove Nov 11 - Dec 3-4 is at ~~ 1.201, which may be a good first target. But if price demands also want a small wave 5 up, where small wave 1 began early Nov., and if little w5 up is at least as big as w1, another good target could be ~~~ 1.24 (fib > 224%) or a fib 314% target ~~ 1.26
Political and monetary decisions this week should reduce uncertainty but we'll have to stay current reading our charts. Posted chart is what looks OK now, so I have nimble short EU in preparation for a possible later move to new highs for 2020
BTC/USD, XBT/USD - NEUTRAL, SHORTWhats up Guys,
Happy Saturday. The chart is neutral, and I am NOT in a trade.
Relevant information and analysis is contained on the chart, but let me know if you have questions - I will update all if I enter / leave a trade.
Ten Likes and I will update the chart
Intelligent disagreement welcome
Good Luck - See you on the trading floors
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-Nix