DLTR Dollar Tree Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DLTR Dollar Tree prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $5.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Dollartree
Dollar Tree | DLTR | Long at $67.00Dollar Tree NASDAQ:DLTR has taken a massive hit to its stock price as low-income spenders are cutting back (recession red flag, anyone?). It recently touched my selected "crash" simple moving average area (white lines on the chart) and may take many years before true recovery occurs. However, the Director recently bought $150k+ in shares after this recent drop, showing confidence in the company as a whole. I don't think we'll see all-time highs again for some time, but I believe at $67.00 there is a longer-term opportunity into 2026 and beyond. This does not mean I feel the bottom has occurred yet. I wouldn't be surprised if it hits around the $50.00 mark with more bad economic news. No one truly knows. But, I personally choose to position build over time while using charts and fundamental information. At $67.00, NASDAQ:DLTR is in a personal buy zone. If it drops further and fundamentals don't nosedive, more shares will likely be added.
Target #1 = $81.00
Target #2 = $88.00
Target #3 = $94.00
Dollar Tree Stock Tumbles 18.9%: What's Behind the Plunge?Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DLTR ) shares plummeted by nearly 19% recently, reflecting the immense pressures the discount retailer faces in today’s challenging economic environment. The company’s Q2 earnings report not only missed analysts' expectations but also highlighted broader concerns about the financial strain on American consumers.
Earnings Miss and Lowered Outlook
Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DLTR ) reported a disappointing Q2 earnings of $132.4 million, a steep drop from $200.4 million in the same period last year. Revenue grew slightly to $7.38 billion but still fell short of market expectations. As a result, the company has slashed its full-year revenue outlook to $30.6 billion to $30.9 billion from a previous range of $31.0 billion to $32.0 billion, with adjusted EPS now expected to be between $5.20 and $5.60, down from $6.50 to $7.00.
Rick Dreiling, CEO of Dollar Tree, acknowledged the pressures from a challenging macroeconomic environment, mirroring sentiments expressed by other discount retailers like Dollar General, which also cited a "financially constrained" consumer base. The latest earnings mark the third consecutive quarter that Dollar Tree has failed to meet Wall Street’s expectations.
Economic Pressures and Shifting Consumer Behavior
The outlook revision comes at a time when Dollar Tree and other retailers are grappling with an increasingly tight consumer market. The company’s core shoppers—middle- and lower-income households—are feeling the pinch from rising prices, making difficult choices about spending on essentials versus discretionary items.
Jeff Davis, Dollar Tree’s CFO, noted that the “increasing effect of macro pressures” has notably impacted purchasing behavior, especially among the retailer’s middle- and higher-income customers. This is a stark shift from past quarters, where the company primarily served lower-income households. The pressure on these customers has now extended to Dollar Tree’s aisles, signaling broader economic distress.
Store Closures, Brand Struggles, and Legal Woes
The retailer’s troubles aren’t just external. Dollar Tree has also been dealing with internal challenges, including the underperformance of Family Dollar, which it acquired in 2015 for nearly $9 billion. The company announced plans to close about 1,000 Family Dollar stores this year, citing market conditions and poor store performance. Furthermore, Dollar Tree is contemplating strategic alternatives, including the potential sale of Family Dollar, as it struggles to turn the brand around.
The retailer is also contending with rising liability claims related to customer accidents and incidents at its stores. According to Davis, these claims have developed unfavorably due to the increased cost of litigation, settlements, and reimbursements, exacerbated by a volatile insurance environment. These challenges have weighed heavily on Dollar Tree’s financial performance, further contributing to the stock’s decline.
A Bleak Outlook
From a technical perspective, Dollar Tree’s stock is showing signs of significant weakness. The stock hit a 52-week low, closing at $81.65, and has lost nearly 43% of its value year-to-date. With the stock’s relative strength index (RSI) reflecting bearish momentum, and continued negative sentiment surrounding its earnings and operational challenges, the near-term outlook remains bleak.
Investors have grown increasingly wary of the retailer’s ability to navigate this turbulent period, as Dollar Tree’s aggressive cost-cutting measures and strategic pivots seem to be doing little to stem the bleeding. The persistent macroeconomic pressures and the ongoing issues within its operations could result in continued volatility for the stock in the coming months.
Can Dollar Tree Bounce Back?
Despite the recent setbacks, Dollar Tree’s management remains committed to turning the tide. The company is actively working on enhancing its product offerings, optimizing store operations, and exploring strategic options to strengthen its core business. However, the road to recovery will be challenging, as economic pressures are expected to persist, and the retailer must carefully navigate both external and internal headwinds.
In conclusion, Dollar Tree’s recent stock slump underscores the retailer’s struggles amid a tough economic landscape and operational hurdles. While the discount giant has been a staple for cost-conscious consumers, its ability to adapt to the evolving market conditions will be critical to regaining investor confidence and achieving long-term growth. For now, the company finds itself at a crossroads, where strategic decisions made today could define its future trajectory.
Dollar Tree ($DLTR) Faces Headwinds Despite Revenue GrowthDollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) encountered a tumultuous start to the year as it grappled with missed earnings estimates and recorded significant charges, signaling challenges in its store closure plan. While the discount retail giant reported revenue growth, uncertainties loom amidst liabilities and a cautious outlook. Let's delve deeper into the implications of Dollar Tree's recent performance and what lies ahead.
Earnings Performance:
Despite a 25% increase in earnings to $2.55 per share and an 11.9% surge in revenue to $8.63 billion, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) fell short of analysts' expectations. Market projections anticipated earnings to reach $2.66 per share and revenue to hit $8.67 billion. Same-store sales across the business rose by 3%, primarily fueled by a robust 6.3% increase in comparable sales at Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) outlets. However, this growth was tempered by a 1.2% decline in same-store sales at Family Dollar stores.
Store Closure Plan and Charges:
Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) unveiled plans to close approximately 600 Family Dollar stores in the first half of 2024 as part of its portfolio optimization strategy. Additionally, it aims to shutter 370 Family Dollar locations and 30 Dollar Tree stores over the coming years. However, this restructuring incurred hefty charges, including a $594.4 million impairment charge linked to the store review, alongside significant goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges. These charges resulted in a substantial loss of $7.85 per share for the quarter, a stark contrast to the previous year's earnings of $2.04 per share.
Guidance and Outlook:
Looking ahead, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) provided guidance for fiscal 2024, projecting earnings between $6.70 to $7.30 per share, compared to the adjusted earnings of $5.89 per share in 2023. The retailer anticipates consolidated revenues to marginally increase to a range of $31 billion to $32 billion. Despite challenges in the first half of the year attributed to shrink and mix levels, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) remains optimistic about favorable freight rates and reduced SNAP benefits providing a boost throughout the year.
Technical Analysis
With a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63, ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) is poised to maintain its bullish momentum trading above the 200-day Moving Average indicates ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) is in a continual trend.
Market Response and Conclusion:
NASDAQ:DLTR stock witnessed a sharp decline of 7.8% following the earnings report, reflecting investor concerns over the company's performance and outlook. Despite this setback, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) had shown resilience earlier in the year, with a 5.4% gain through Tuesday's close, and a 0.46% gain in Wednesday's premarket trading.
Dollar 🌲Tree🌲 Analyze!!!Dollar Tree is an American multi-price-point chain of discount variety stores. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, it is a Fortune 500 company and operates 15,115 stores throughout the 48 contiguous U.S. states and Canada. Its stores are supported by a nationwide logistics network of 24 distribution centers.
Dollar Tree made a symmetrical triangle near the trend line, and it lost the lower line of the triangle. I expect Dollar Tree to lose at least 10% of its value.
Dollar Tree Analyze (DLTRUSD), Timeframe 1H (Log Scale /Heikin Ashi)⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
7/10/22 DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.( NASDAQ:DLTR )
Sector: Retail Trade (Discount Stores)
Market Capitalization: $37.582B
Current Price: $167.36
Breakout price: $174.25
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $160.30-$130.35
Price Target: $207.00-$209.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 359-370d
Contract of Interest: $DLTR 1/20/23 175c
Trade price as of publish date: $16.40/contract
Still behind pandemic gains!35% increase from pre pandemic has not priced in the growth and expansion thats coming DOL's way for sure and that along inflation and belt tightening times and 5$ prices can easily push DOL past the 80$ mark , on technical side a long time channel has been broken upwards signaling a new lower and upper bands
Expect better from Dollar Tree $DLTRFor the last few years we have seen DLTR stuck in a range between 67-115 (smaller range from 88-115). For this stock to continue and not offer some kind of dividend (I believe we are out of the growth phase) is unheard of.
If you compare the growth in retail at the moment between say TGT and BBBY, I know it's a stretch but this pricing needs to be adjusted somehow. ATM we are neutral to negative on DLTR looking for some kind of direction out of this range. Pick a side, either you are growth or you are looking to pay a divdend, we don't believe either at the moment.
DLTR shakeout last week before push higher?!DLTR possible shakeout last week before push higher. I was part of that shakeout :). But still looks good with an entry over 117 now that there is a nice doji buy back candle on Friday.
This is a big macro level that was tested in Jan 2018 and October 2019. Very bullish chart!
Dollar Tree
Our Mission
Dollar Tree, Inc. is a customer-oriented, value-driven variety store operating at a one dollar price point. We will operate profitably, empower our associates to share in its opportunities, rewards and successes; and deal with others in an honest and considerate way. The company's mission will be consistent with measured and profitable growth.
My name is Ski Mask and I've been making bad decisions all my life...
Strike Price: $106.23
Reasons:
1. “Inspiring the creativity of our customers is at the core of Dollar Tree and we are thrilled to provide an even broader assortment of art and craft supplies at tremendous values,” stated Mike Witynski, President and Chief Executive Officer. “With our $1 fixed price point and more than 7,500 convenient U.S. store locations, Crafter’s Square gives our customers unlimited solutions for the current learn-from-home and work-from-home environment. Additionally, there are terrific opportunities for DIY home projects and décor, crafts for the whole family, seasonal decorations, and handmade gifts for both friends and family.”
The expanded Crafter’s Square offering, which ranges from four to 12 additional feet in each store, includes wood crafts and picture frames, art paper, staple-backed canvases, acrylic paints and brushes, glitter, colored pencils and crayons, markers, jewels and beads, make-your-own wreath supplies, ribbons and yarn, scrapbooking stickers, seasonal items and much more, all priced at $1.
I mean it's Dollar Tree how you can hype up Dollar Tree to make it sound good lol just get the option call and call it a day lol
*Not investing advice
My name is Ski Mask and I've been making bad decisions all my life.....
Strike Price: $106.23
**DLTR** I feel like Charlie from Its Always SunnyBut in all seriousness this chart looks really good, and It it follows these resistances and supports it could lead up to ATH. The Pivots line up perfect with the convergence of the lines. If the EMAS cross the 200 EMA then I will enter a Long position
NASDAQ:Dollar Tree DLTRThe market is extremely volatile right now. Shorts are getting higher. It's not easy to find a good business with a good technical setup right now. However, NASDAQ:DLTR Dollar Tree looks promising. The breakout last week might give us a shot at $99 conservatively. However, we are treading on ice right now and anything might go south, so keep a lookout and keep your stop-loss tight.
Anything below $76 invalidates this outlook.
NEXT WEEK IMPORTANT MOVE - DOLLAR TREE INC - 240MN - MY IDEAThank you for your likes! Well appreciated support! Please share to benefit the community. Thanks and enjoy!
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We observed that the DOLLAR TREE INC price have been going up but ranging between two very important lines.
The support blue line and the top resistance which has been at a higher level in the past.
This pressurized the price which try to get out of triangle range . Several pullbacks confirms our idea.
This has illustrated a very high pressure zone in which the market will be evolving from next week.
Next week is crucial!
We can't at the moment confirm at 100% a certain direction but the probability of seeing the market opting for the short side is higher because of the presence of a SUPER resistance above.
We can stay ready to enter :
- When one of the blue lines will be broken
- When a large candlestick will be formed .
Possibilities:
-The market could retest the support line to get some power on super pullback up, strong enough to break the resistance.
-The market could again test the resistance and break the support line . This would be the best for all traders as that support line is easier to break and is more likely to create opportunities for large profits.
Will Dollar Tree pickup volume to break Fibo resistances?Dollar Tree has been in a downward spiral for quite some time... Huge (down) gap after Earnings... Coronavirus might hurt its Supply-chain short-term... but if volume picks up and it breaks the Fibo line, it might rebound and try to close the gap left behind. What do you think?
Wall Street Surprised by Dollar Tree NewsOn Tuesday, the news thundered, which surprised everyone, who has at least something to do with Wall Street. Dollar Tree stocks are falling.
At the moment, shares have fallen by 13%, which is an unprecedented loss for the company. Forecasts for the near future are the most disappointing. Nevertheless, the level of the falling is kept at the indicated level, which gives hope for an improvement of the situation, but will this hope be justified?
Today you can buy a share of this company for $1.08, which is a very low price. It was expected that in the same period, the value of the share will be at least $1.13. But the forecast wasn’t destined to come true.
An interesting fact is that both company networks (Dollar Tree and Family Dollar) increased sales by as much as 2%. But despite the joyful indicator, the situation is not so unambiguous, because in Family Dollar the margin fell. The products of these networks have some differences. For example, Family Dollar also sells goods at lower prices, which accounts for a significant share of the presented products. But be that as it may, the total net income decreased by 1.7% year on year, which makes us think.
Despite the fact that Dollar Trey isn’t so lucky this period, the revenue amounted to approximately $5.74 billion. At the same time, the expected revenue at better indicators should have amounted to $5.75 billion, which in fact isn’t such a big difference.
Recently, distribution costs have increased. Following the direct, obvious logic, we can understand that it was the increase in transportation prices that caused an increase in prices for goods. For the same reason, sales of goods that have lower margins have increased in order to patch up financial holes in other areas.
There have also been personnel shifts. The staff has been reduced, which isn’t a good sign. The company is forced to take drastic measures to stay in difficult times. However, in order to minimize financial losses and quickly return to the previous level, the company has everything that is needed.
But if we look at the Dollar Tree and its successes over the past year, then we will see that the company is developing quite rapidly. This year its shares rose 24%. There is a pretty good result. But how did they do it? The secret is very simple.
Dollar Tree investors supported all sorts of aggressive steps by the company, in order to maintain and increase the profit of the Family Dollar. Surprisingly, the aggressive strategy worked more than successfully, thanks to which we can observe tremendous growth in the company's shares. Some shops had to be closed, and some were rebranded, which benefited them. How did it happen? It attracted new customers and formed a new circle of interests that led to an increase in profits.
At the end of this quartile, the company has more than 7.800 locations. This number does not allow full rebranding, but the process is already running. The first steps definitely brought excellent results, so the company further plans to adhere to this strategy, hoping for improvements in its own position. And the company has every chance to achieve its goal, despite the recent fall in stocks, which was also caused by the aggressive policy of the company.
Surprisingly, the same strategy, under different circumstances, can lead to different results. It’s important to remember this when working on your own strategy. Nevertheless, it’s very difficult to predict the exact outcome in the modern market with its wars, because sometimes the income depends on factors that can hardly be predicted, so every businessman needs to be extremely vigilant. But all of us know that sometimes it’s impossible.
A quarterly forecast from the company has recently been released. This forecast can be called very optimistic because an increase in the value of the share is expected from $1.70 to $1.80. And yet, Wall Street had expected stock prices to be significantly higher. According to their forecasts, the share price should be $2.02. As it turns out, it will become known very soon, and therefore you just need to be patient and wait for the opportunity, because the current situation was very ambiguous, which means it is too early to draw conclusions.
And yet, in the fourth quarter of this year, an increase in the value of goods sold by $19 million is expected, which equals $0.06 per share.
And yet the main event happened today at 8:46 a.m. at the premarket. It was at this moment that the shares of the company fell by 13%.
Will the company continue to pursue the aggression strategy and will it help overcome difficulties? Will it continue to fall, and can one find profit in this fall? It’ll become obvious for most businessmen very soon. But while all this is only in the process, the most astute take risks and win, while others read about how others have achieved success.
EUR/USD daily overviewThe European Single Currency passed through the support level of the dominant pattern line at 1.3106. Moreover, the rate passed through the other two technical indicators to trade at the the1.2600 mark.
In regards to the near-term future, most likely, the European Single Currency will continue depreciating against the US Dollar to the weekly S2 at 1.1229.
Meanwhile, the 55-hour and the 100-hour simple moving averages will try to catch up the rate during the day.