DOTUSD Broke above the 2 year Falling Wedge!Polkadot (DOTUSD) just broke above the Falling Wedge pattern that was in effect since early 2021. This 2-year pattern has been basically dictating the pace of the current Bear Cycle but as you see on this 1W chart, it eventually ran out of room, was trading tightly within its top (Lower Highs trend-line) and bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) in the past 2 months and eventually broke to the upside.
This alone is a major bullish development but we would like to see a closing above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) in order to confirm the end of the Bear Cycle. If broken, it will be the first time the price is above the 1D MA200 in more than a year (since January 05 2022). In that case, the Fibonacci retracement levels can be targeted in succession, with the 0.5 (Fib) at 15.50 estimated to get reached by August 2023.
A strong sign that shows that the market has priced its bottom is the 1W RSI, which has been flat on its Support since June 2022 and also broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that started all the way back to the February 2021 High.
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Dotsignals
DOTUSD forming key Bullish Crosses. Start of major rally?Polkadot (DOTUSD) is currently testing both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance levels. Even a modest push upwards will be enough to cause a Bullish Cross formation between the two trend-lines. Last time we saw this pattern was on August 30 2021, which was half-way through the last major rally that formed the All Time High (ATH).
Interestingly enough, even DOT's first 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross on December 05 2020 was enough to kick start the massive rally of the early 2021. What is even more interesting is that the MACD Bullish Cross formations on the 1W time-frame perfectly coincide with the 1D MA50/100 Bullish Crosses. Right now the 1W MACD is about to pring that formation the same time the 1D MA50/100 makes the new Bullish Cross.
This is strong evidence that DOT is ahead of a major rally. Our first long-term target will be the 50.500 - 55.000 Resistance Zone of the prior All Time Highs. If broken with a 1M candle closing, then we expect the Cycle to peak around the 0.618 Fib of the Channel Up and the 6.0 Fibonacci extension. The reason is that the last two Highs within the Channel took place on the Fib 1.0 and Fib 0.786, so if that's a sequence then every High is one Fib retracement level lower. Also the 5.0 Fib extension (orange) marked both of those highs so if broken, technically the 6.0 Fib ext is next.
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DOTUSD needs to break the 1D MA50 asap. More downside if not.Polkadot had a brutal rejection yesterday just below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Being on a corrective wave since the November (All Time) High, the price needs to reclaim that trend-line as failure to so has brought in the past a Lower Low. The obvious comparison is May-June-July 2021. On June 03 the price failed to break above the 1D MA50 and that resulted in two Lower Lows until July 30 when it finally broke above it and started a rally until November.
Being on the Channel's Buy Zone (green area), DOT is even now a solid long-term buy though, and also there is a hidden RSI pattern (dashed lines) that shows that we may actually be on a July 26-like rejection and not June 03. We will soon find out but one thing seems for certain, a break above the 1D MA50 is a bullish break-out signal.
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