TAP flushed on a good earnings beat into support LONGTAP appears to to have fallen into support on a good earnigns beat Perhaps traders were
expecting a better beat. It is now 15% below the resistance zone where shorts will take
positions and longs will sell- off. TAP has sales and consumer loyalty in its brands. It is
free of the controversies that had bogged BUD down. I see this as an opportunity to get a
decent stock at a discount. My target is 62 at the half way point has designated by the fib tool.
Dropthenpop
Bitcoin does a drop then pop LONGBTCUSD three days ago did a drop to take out stop losses and get shorts to take profit. Since
then it reversed climbing over a price of 45.4 K. The MACD lines are under the histogram which
just flipped negative to positive indicating the beginning or recycling of bullish momentum.
The RSI indicators are not at all in overbought territory no matter then run up over the
following three days. Relative Volumes are about 3X the running average. CLSK Clearspark
reported today and surged. Anyone who played my options idea for it, saw a 300% return
overnight. HUT likewise. Although I did not post an idea, BTBT got even more altitude and
got over its past year high while still only 20% of its all-time high, Is this with the crypto
resurgence at its onset predicted by both pundits and fortunetellers? Maybe or maybe not.
But what it might be is an opening to get into your favorite crypto play while the momentum
continues. I would seem that the most aggressive is near-term options on equities approaching
earnings. MSTR is a megacap slow moving and it got 25% in the past five days on the share price.
The small caps are moving much more than that. If you have cash in reverse this might be a
to deploy it judiciously here in some of the crypto action, in my opinion.
ROKU- Bearish Divergence gives guidance LONGROKU sold off after okay not great earnings- obviously a large number of market participants
took their money off the table and moved it elsewhere. There was a typical or excessive price
run-up in the pre-earnings period. This chart set in a 15-minute time frame as well as 15
minute time frame on the RSI laid onto the main chart shows bullish divergence which
otherwise might be subtle. It is the key to the trade entry. It is saying get on the train before
it leaves the station. Chasing the train is a futile endeavor fraught with failure and
frustration. ( Yes, the hot tip is boldfaced for emphasis) Price is sideways at this time. The
relative volume indicator shows a huge 4X surge in volumes at the consolidated bottom verifying
it as such. This is Wychoff's theory in action for sure.
I am now part of that volume. I am an avid bottom buyer like many others. I take great
pains to analyse for the bottom, unlike some others who run on gut or sentiment.
I hope you find this analysis helpful. If you do, please give me a thumbs up. Once you have,
feel free to ask as to the specifics of my trading plan now implimented.
SMA- earnings play- a beat with a drop for a pop LONGSMA reported today with about a 2% drop - while traders responded with a 8% drop. Everybody
especially auto mechanics love their stuff. So were they looking for more? It is hard to say.
Idea is on the chart. I am looking for a recovery in a reversion to the mean. It looks like
it's underway. For those familiar with volume profile analysis and trading the best buy short
was upon the drop out of the high volume area ( lower zagged blue line at 9:45 AM EST) and
the best exit was the transient cross over and above the Hull 35 moving average at 12:15.
This would have been a monster trade of about 600% if the strike 280 expiring 2/16 was taken
about 9:45 AM and closed at 12:!5 PM; the price of about $150 for the single contract would
have yielded $1300 and netted $1150 for those 2.5 hours for an hourly rate of over $400.
Enough said about the short, this idea is about the backside. The stock shares trade is what is
is. The options trade in my opinion only is a call contract striking $ 270 just under the 0.5 fib
retracement is currently priced at about $530. If price gets above $270 or even gets over the
$280 fib level line in the next week, the return again would be 300-600%. I am taking this call
options trade, I will enter on a pivot low of the day on the share price chart. I'll set a stop loss
of 20% meaning about $100 is at risk. 3X the premium is about $ 1600 so the reward to risk
is 16. Managing with TradingViews handy alerts on the stock chart for moving average
inflections and cross-overs as well as MACD line and signal intersections should take about
one hour of combined time in a week. I consider the potential gain to be
excellent for the anticipated expense of time.