Dxyshort!!!!!!!!!!!!!
DXY- FED has spoken, now what?DXY is in an uptrend in the long term, and this is clear. However, in the short term looks tired and in the need of a correction.
December rise is anemic and overlapping and this correction could happen soon.
As we see the posted chart, 97 acted as a strong ceiling and at this moment we have 2 support levels to keep in mind.
The first one is the ascending trend line and the second is the horizontal support from 75.80. Once the second support is broken we can also have a confirmation for a deeper correction and the index can drop of around 1 point to very important support at 95.50.
This drop of more than 1.5% can translate into a rise in pairs like EurUsd, GbpUsd, AudUsd and NzdUsd of 200 pips or so.
I will look to buy dips for these pairs
DXY bearish December outlook The DXY has recently had a good few weeks with a massive incline through November however the run has started to taper off with a Bearish Rounded top pattern being formed in early December and a strong resistance zone being met.
This implies further downfall for the DXY index throughout the winter months following through into q1 of 2022 which aligns for a bullish run up for crypto from late December - early Q1. While im not overly confident in a fully bearish DXY , i do believe a downfall of 1-2% is to be expected simply due to the pace this bullish period took over amidst a mass of inflation fud.
I will ensure to update this chart should any more inflationary news or dollar related news takes place however for now this is the general idea im going with as this supports my bullish view on crypto as a whole !
-Oz
DXY still hanging on.The dollar index is consolidating at the top of the channel. The price movements are becoming smaller and the breakout will come soon. This breakout can come to the upside or downside and we are favouring the upside. However, there is a chance that a fakeout back into the channel will come before the upmove comes.
BULL CASE
A break out of the range immediately next week and we see price hit our target of 97.5
BEAR CASE
A break down first 95.5 before the up move comes. If this happens we will need to check the price action after the fed announcements of their taper plans. The announcement may be super bullish for risk on assets.
DXY chart held on critical situation.....
07 DECEMBER 2021
DOLLAR INDEX MY VIEW-
N.B-This week DXY chart held critical situation.
If DXY chart breakout 96.600 resistance level then market goes up to
96.870 & 97.294 resistance level.
If break out 96.00 support level then market goes down to 95.700 & 95.00
support level.
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Dollar Index (DXY) | Analysis of the dollar index for 2022🔥Hello traders, Dollar Index (DXY) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
Based on the analysis, we are inside wave 4 and consider wave 4 as a triangle.
From this triangle, waves a , b and c are formed and now we are inside wave d .
Wave d is most likely zigzagged, and from this zigzag the structures of wave a are formed.
Wave a Waves 1 and 2 are over and it can be said that Wave 3 is at the end of its trend, which we have targeted in the analysis.
Wave 4 will probably move to the end of wave 1, in which wave 5 will start and move around 98000.
And after the completion of wave a , wave b is formed as a flat and wave c moves to the upper side of this triangle.
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It's not over: It has only just began - XRP Bullish, DXY CrashesFundamentals of a dollar decline are intact, albeit temporary strength has been breathed into the DXY by other collapsing currencies such as the Lira. However, the continued printing of fiat will certainly lead to its diminished value against stores of value such as crypto and gold. On the macro level, crypto continues to act as a dollar fiat hedge. While earlier projections assumed a three legged down trend in the dollar, only the first leg has appeared thus far with a strong bounce. This bounce, however, is certain to fade into oblivion as the tens of trillions of dollars of printing continue to deprecate the dollars purchasing power (US Debt will have tripled by the end of this macro cycle).
Many cryptocurrencies, such as XRP are still young in their growth phase. Bitcoin, for example, had 2 Million users during the 2015 bullrun (now 100mln). XRP on the other hand is currently where bitcoin was in 2015 - at the cusp of adoption (refer the JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley articles claiming XRP will be widely adopted after the lawsuit is over).
This fact combined with the continued runaway fiat cash printing train will propel XRP beyond most people's anticipated price targets. Even without a win in the lawsuit, nothing can deter XRP from gaining strength against fiat. It's a self-fulfilling prophecy. The FED and other world governments continue to print and spend, strengthening crypto, which attracts long term wealth, which further debases fiat as people flee from holding fiat in favor of crypto. This vicious cycle cannot be stopped by any regulation and thus while XRP could be deemed illegal in the USA, it certainly will not stop growing in market capitalization.
The things to look for in the upcoming months are a dollar reversal with a second leg down. The March 2020 Dollar selloff was a precursor of what will come. The recent gains in the dollar are short lived as other currencies collapse. But in the long run, the Dollar Bear has not even begun to hibernate. It's waiting in the woods to mall dollar and fiat bulls.
Note:
This article is being published at what we believe is an inflection reversal point IE, we believe this is the zone that crypto finds its strength and the DXY continues its crash.
Not financial advice. All views are opinions. Analysis is our own.
DXY tethering in the balance. We favour the upsideThe dollar index is holding the top of the channel and could break to the upside anytime from here. If in the off case, the macro sentiment changes, the price could break back down into the channel.
BULL CASE
Our price targets last week of 97.5 stands, price looks good at these levels if you can enter once market opens next week.
BEAR CASE
If there macro situation clears up and there is clarity on when the fed will raise rates, we should see price drop to 94.2. I'm less in favour of the bear case.