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Economic Cycles

Election Year Cycle & Stock Market Returns - VisualisedIn this chart, we're analysing the open value of the week the US election took place and comparing it to the open of the following election, showing the gain (or loss) in value between each election cycle. Historically we can see prices in the Dow Jones Industrials Index tend to appreciate the week the election is held. Only twice has the return between the cycles produced a negative return. Buying stocks on election day, 8 out of 10 times has yielded a profitable return between the election cycles. 80% of the time in the past 40 years returning a profit, has so far been a good strategy to take. The typical cycle starts with the election results, an immediate positive movement and continued growth before finishing positive. The Outliers 2000-2004 was the only year which ended negative without prices going higher than the election day. 2004-2008 increased 41.84% before ending negative. 2008-2012 began the cycle falling 30.62% before finishing positive. The names of presidents who won their respective elections is to visualise who had the presidential term during that specific cycle.
TVC:DJIEducation
by Mt.BFX
Comprehensive analysis of FLR Cycles HWC = falling trend MWC = downtrend with weakness LWC= no trend Because our MWC is weak, we can look for a long position And since our HWC is bearish, we can also look for short positions lWC has no effect either Only our risk management and the way we set stop loss should be different We are in the box in the one-hour time frame So we can take our position with the failure of support and resistance For long position:📈 Breaking the trend line = entering earlier and riskier Resistance break = 0.1319 risky Resistance break = 0.1347 = later but safer You can choose according to your personality and strategy For shorts position:📉 failure 0.01298 I don't see any more entries If you want me to analyze a coin, tell me in the comment🫡 ⚠️ Do capital management to survive ⚠️
by parsa_xa
ETH through prism of Fib and Elliot wave theoryHello everyone. Today I will talk about ETH, the one ALT to rule them all. It is best if we look at the big picture and forget about day-to-day movements, news and all the other noise. Let us just look at the chart through basic Fibonacci levels paired with Elliot Wave Theory. First lets go through Elliot waves. Wave 1 started in 2017, first bull run. Wave 2 was in 2018, bear market. Wave 3 2019-2022, bull run. Wave 4 was short bear market in first half of 2022. We are currently in Wave 5. I have added to this chart Trend-based Fib extensions to help predict the possible top. Wave 3 ended just below 3.618 Fib extension. I like to be more on the conservative side so I will be looking for this run to end at max 2.618 Fib extension, which currently projects a price of 13k USD per ETH, making it a potential 4x profit. Remember, this is not a financial advice. This is just my thinking, shared with you. If you like my work, give it a boost and check my other ideas. If you find value in them, subscribe. Good luck!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by carefulCheese32259
Doge SellAhmadarz analysis based on the DOGEUSD chart: Chart Analysis: Resistance Zone (Sell Zone): Around the $0.22–$0.23 range, there's a visible resistance level where sellers could potentially take control. The price has approached this upper zone but appears to lack momentum for a breakout. This level is marked in red on the chart and labeled as the "Best zone for Sell." Support Zone (Buy Zone): The support zone lies closer to $0.115, with the area marked in green as the "Best zone for Buy." If the price falls to this level, it might attract buyers, providing a good potential entry point for a rebound. Current Price Action: The price recently made an upward push but faced rejection near the resistance zone, suggesting a potential trend reversal or correction. The price is in a consolidation phase, bouncing around near the resistance line. A drop could lead the price back down toward the buy zone. Trading Signals 📉📈 Sell Signal: If DOGE/USD continues to face resistance around the $0.22–$0.23 level, consider a sell entry in this range. Confirmation with candlestick patterns like bearish engulfing or a clear rejection might add more strength to the signal. 🎯 Target for this position could be near the next support zone around $0.15. Buy Signal: If DOGE/USD declines towards the $0.115–$0.12 support level, this could offer a buying opportunity for a rebound. Buyers should watch for a bounce or bullish patterns near this level. 📈 Set a target around $0.15–$0.17 for potential gains. Risk Management ⚖️ Stop-Loss for Sell: If entering a sell position near $0.22, a stop-loss around $0.23 would limit potential loss if price breaks out of the resistance zone. Stop-Loss for Buy: For buy entries near $0.115, a stop-loss below $0.11 would be a protective measure if the price continues down. Sell Signal 📉 Entry: $0.22 - $0.23 StopLoss: $0.235 Targets: TP 1: $0.20 TP 2: $0.18 TP 3: $0.15 TP 4: $0.12 Conclusion 📝 This chart suggests a range-bound scenario with key levels to watch. Traders could look for sell opportunities near resistance and buy opportunities at support.
COINBASE:DOGEUSDShort
by ahmadarz
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value. Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart. #US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
TVC:US10Y
by AFCapital21
FILECOIN LONG-SWING TRADINGI’m starting to go long on altcoins, beginning with Filecoin. I see a realistic target before the weekend, ahead of a potential breakout. BINANCE:FILUSDT This is a swing trade setup, with the plan to close it by the weekend or on Sunday at the latest. Entry Strategy: OTE (0.705) + FVA + FVG + Overlapping Defense Trade Management: Consider taking the first profit at the 1.62 Fibonacci level. However, with altseason on the horizon, I'm aiming higher—targeting the 2.62 level to close the trade if all goes as expected. Altseason is approaching. Stay calm; there’s still time to position yourself for solid entries at good prices before December.
Long
by Jaytradermb
Bullish time in CORN ahead \o/You can see here the CBOT:ZC1! price displayed in a line chart. After reaching its high in early 2022, the bears took control, driving the price down significantly until now. The factors in play are as following: Seasonality: Corn prices have historically shown strength from December through March, aligning with planting and crop cycles. This seasonal trend could provide a solid backdrop for a potential price recovery. (highlighted in green on the chart) Interest Rates: We’ve reached a pivotal moment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle. The rate hikes that began in March 2022 coincided with the start of the bearish trend, while recent rate cuts in September 2024 may support a rebound in commodity prices, including corn. This shift in monetary policy could act as a bullish catalyst for corn and other commodities. (highlighted in orange on this chart) Technical Indicators: For additional confirmation, one could wait for a bullish crossover of the moving averages (a golden cross). Such a cross would reinforce the technical setup and definitively signal the onset of a new bull market in corn. With these factors in play, corn could be setting up for a strong rally in the months ahead.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by p4917
GOLD | Preparing for Short OpportunityI am looking to short gold by comparing and simulating the previous impulsive trend, expecting a similar price and time structure. Price is approaching key Fibonacci levels between 2815 and 2830, which coincide with a potential reversal zone from the recent bullish leg. Before entering the trade, it's crucial to wait for clear confirmation, such as a strong bearish candlestick pattern or momentum shift with a bearish divergence on the MACD.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SRA_Trades
🔍 Bitcoin Halving 2024: Unraveling the Next Big Rally🔥CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD Hello dear traders. With only 17 days left until the monumental #Halving2024 event ⏳, the anticipation within the crypto community is palpable. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the trailblazer of cryptocurrencies, is already trading above its All-Time High (ATH), signaling a market that is ripe with optimism. But the real spectacle? It's just on the horizon. 65K is my ideal support for further corrections. Follow me for more insights ... 🚀🌕 📈 What to Expect? Historically, Bitcoin undergoes a halving event every four years, a process that cuts the mining reward in half. This deflationary mechanism reduces the new supply of Bitcoin, potentially leading to an uptick in price as demand continues to rise against a limited supply. The aftermath of past halvings has witnessed substantial rallies, and the question now is, not if, but how high will CRYPTOCAP:BTC soar post-Halving2024? 🔑 Key Insights: Our analysis delves deep into the historical data, comparing pre and post-halving market behavior. The patterns observed suggest a 'wild mode' activation for Bitcoin, often kickstarting a major bull run. But what makes this halving event different? With CRYPTOCAP:BTC already above its ATH, the stage is set for unprecedented growth. 💹 🧐 The Break Point: The Halving Event is often regarded as a Break Point for Bitcoin, a transformative phase that catapults it into a new valuation territory. Our projections, rooted in sophisticated economic models and historical trend analysis, point towards a bullish explosion that could redefine market expectations. 🌐 📊 Strategy for Investors: The countdown to the halving is a critical period for investors. Being early in accumulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC and altcoins could position you advantageously for the impending rally. Our advice? Don't wait for the market to move post-halving. The opportunity is now. Accumulate, diversify, and prepare for the ride of a lifetime. 📈 💥Be Part of the Revolution: #Bitcoin's halving is not just an event; it's a testament to the resilience and revolutionary nature of cryptocurrencies. Join us as we navigate through these exciting times, armed with data-driven insights and a community of passionate investors. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the crypto space, now is the time to be part of something extraordinary. Let's embrace the future, together. 🚀🌕 #Halving2024 | #BTC | #CryptoRally
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by CrazyS
2
Catch the Wave - "1986 Coca-Cola Slogan"Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈KO has been overall bullish, trading above the red trendline. Moreover, it is approaching a demand zone marked in red. 🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #KO approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:KOLong
by TheSignalyst
1