Egldusdsignals
EGLDUSD hit the 1W MA50 for the first time in 1 year!Elrond (EGLDUSD) hit today its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 2022. If it manages to close a 1W candle above it, it will be a major buy signal. On top of that, the long-term pattern appears to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which technically is a formation that emerges on market bottoms. As a result, if we get that 1W candle close above the 1W MA50, we will buy and our technical target will be the 2.0 Fibonacci level at 93.00.
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EGLDUSD between the 1D MA50 and 200 waiting for a break-out!Elrond (EGLDUSD) is rebounding since yesterday after coming very close to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting since the January 13 bullish break-out. Practically after the February 08 rejection, it has been ranging within the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) waiting for a break-out to gain volume.
With the 1D RSI on a Channel Down (i.e. Bearish Divergence) similar to October 04 - November 03, we may see a strong correction towards the market bottom if the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50. On the other hand, since the longer term pattern has been a Channel Up since the June 13 Low, a closing above the 1D MA200, will be a bullish break-out for us, targeting the top of the Channel Down.
A pattern that may have gone unnoticed and could be the one that will influence the price the most, is the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that started forming after the November 09 drop of the FTX crash. Its 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels are the Support Zone so far, its 1.5 Fibonacci extension can coincide with a Lower High on the Channel Down, and if broken, our ultimate target will be the 2.0 Fib extension.
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EGLDUSD Critical Lower High testElrond (EGLDUSD) is having a strong 1D green candle currently but it remains under the selling pressure of a Lower Highs trend-line since the March 28 High. That price action in fact resembles the selling pattern of December 2021 - early January 2022. The price continuously failed to break above the Lower Highs and as a result dipped another -37% to price the January 22 Low.
A -37% from yesterday's lowis around the $65.45 mark. If the 2021 fractal is however counted from the November 23 High (with the 1D RSI agreeing to this), then a 1.382 Fibonacci extension would be more accurate for the next Low in case of a rejection, which is currently around $79.30.
If however the Lower Highs trend-line breaks, we expect aggregated buying towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as in the case of the February 11 High.
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EGLDUSD is holding its 1W MA50. Bottom formation possible.Elrond, a crowd favorite among crypto traders, hit last week its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and so far on the current 1W candle is holding it. This makes it a Support, in fact it has been the long-term Support since the May - June 2020 bullish break-out.
As you see on this weekly time-frame, using the help of the Sine Waves to better illustrate EGLD's cyclical phases, when the price hits the 1W MA50 it forms a Support, consolidates for around a month and then starts a strong parabolic rally. The previous corrections have both been around -80% and even though the current is just short of -70%, we have to watch the 1W MA50 closely for a potential bottom formation this month into February.
Our next Target is the 5.0 Fibonacci extension level at $765.00. A break above the Higher Highs trend-line during the next rally phase, would place the target even higher within Fib 5.0 and Fib 6.0.
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