Last Thursday I suggested that EEM may be about to fall but wait for sign of reversal. Friday's down action wiped out all the gains in EEM for the week producing a nice shooting star weekly candle. After a large rise this is often a sign of reversal. Some authors suggest that one way to trade this is to short with a stop on any close > than the high (in this...
After the big pop in asset-prices in 2007, the Hang Seng Index seems to having broke out of its years long consolidation pattern (ABC-Structure) this month, and now is to continue its decades-long bull market. Very strong fundamentals such as a low P/E-Ratio and a good GDP-Growth support the trend. China has a very good chance to lead the emerging markets performance-wise.
I see 2 possibilities,1) a retracement into the box area, testing the neckline, and then a trust higher.2) Or a larger inverse Head and shoulder formation , which would be a stronger reversal pattern. I like the latin america over india because of a bullish MACD divergence on LBJ/ILF. I think Inverse H&S would create some fakeout for the bulls, before actually...