Trying to target USOIL. Sooner or later the trade must end, trying to determine a top is tough. I see 2 scenarios. On the attached chart. EW 1-5 is clear with a target of $53.43. Also, I can see a smaller 12345 within current wave 3 (green dotted lines) which would have a top at $49.11. I'm leaning for both to be correct. a pullback shortly wiithin the red...
Looking at the charts for USOIL, all I can see is a Harmonic patter forming. The Bullish, Bat pattern will typically retrace to 88.6% of the previous XA run up. This would put USOIL at $37 a barrel. I won't short this, but if it gets to $37 I will go long in energy.
UPDATE ON LAST RELATED IDEA; XLE/ENERGY STOCKS/OIL/CANADIAN DOLLAR PLEASE NOTE TIMING FOR OIL'S POTENTIAL BOTTOM/TRAJECTORY
USOIL is suffering a severe pullback. Dropping form a high at $51.43 its now at $46.43. I had originally had the 12345 going up to $60. I am now thinking we had the 12345 complete at $51.43 and are now going through a ABC correction. If A and C are equal we could go as low as $44.57. If we get a double bottom here it could be over.
LGCY looks to be completing an AB=CD pattern. Already past the 61.8% Fibo retracement. RSI is oversold and moving higher. IF CD=AB we could get to $4.50 from here which is greater than 100% return. With OIL moving higher this stocks downside looks minimal barring some FA issue.
USOIL hit my $50 target last week and appears to be rolling over after hitting the resistance area in the blue box. The EW pattern is complete at $50 so an ABC correction is expected. RSI and %R are both overbought. volume dropping off. I'm taking a small trade in ERY here near a double bottom.