XAUUSD - Gold 3Month (quarterly)Overview:
Gold and silver have performed remarkablely in 2024, emerging as the two best-performing assets of the year. Precious metals often serve as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty, and this year has proven no exception. Investors have flocked to them as hedges against inflation and market volatility, helping to drive their values upward.
By the end of October, silver had surged by 42.4 percent, a dramatic increase that reflects growing demand and limited supply. Gold, similarly, has gained 33.7 percent, solidifying its role as a reliable store of value. These gains in the precious metals market outpaced other commodities and most traditional financial assets.
For comparison, the NASDAQ—the best-performing stock index—has gained 24 percent over the same period. This robust performance in the NASDAQ reflects strength in technology stocks, yet it still falls short of the exceptional growth observed in gold and silver. Such trends highlight the unique appeal of precious metals, especially during periods of market turbulence and geopolitical tension.
Watch the RSI as another blue candle will indicate a Q4 bullish momentum that may continue into the New Year. As for a Red Q4 Candle... This may push the RSI below the 80, creating a bearish Divergence in the LONG term. This Pullback may even look like a trend reversal. Keep in mind a healthy market needs to retrace.
Key Levels:
2450
2315
2235
(Support)
F-XAU
XAUUSD, WEEKLY CHART... here's how it looks.I've been trying some custom approach / experiment on detecting reversal play in advance stages -- and my current case study is XAUUSD. Here's how it looks. Based on weekly data, we got a thinning price line with a shifting inverted support lines (bottom lines). A good confirmation Identifier would be a complete horizontal inverted support line shift.
1950 (completed support line) would be the key price point for that level.
Touch it, and we got a BUY SIGNAL. Non-confirmatory (risky) would be 1940 level.
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
Bullish bounce?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,714.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 2,685.84
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,759.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Could the Gold bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance level.
Pivot: 2,722.29
1st Support: 2,685.29
1st Resistance: 2,758.83
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GOLD /Bearish Momentum StrengthensTechnical Analysis
The price has declined and stabilized within a bearish zone after breaking a strong support level at 2,758.
Today, it's possible to see a retest around 2749, followed by a potential bearish trend toward 2712.
Bearish Scenario: The price appears set to retest 2749 before resuming a bearish trend toward 2721 and 2,712.
Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a 4-hour candle close above 2,758 would signal a potential bullish move, with targets at 2,775 and 2,788.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2745
Resistance Levels: 2758, 2764, 2775
Support Levels: 2731, 2712, 2695
Trend Outlook:
Above 2758: Uptrend
Under 2758: Downtrend
previous idea:
XAUEUR_4Hhello
Analysis of gold against the euro Analysis based on Elliott waves The market is in a downward correction and this correction is the bottom of wave 4 in the long term, for which we are buying the market for the long term. But in the 4-hour and weekly time, the resistance is 2545.5, and by maintaining this resistance, we will fall towards 2440.0
XAUUSD 3/11/24We have a short bias on gold this week, mainly to establish a better price level in case the market decides to move higher again, based on the daily timeframe gap. This is the first bearish gap in over a month, which indicates a strong chance for a possible sell-off.
We’ve marked the lows, and currently, there are no unmitigated areas of demand. Given our bearish bias, this is expected, as previous areas of demand or support are likely to be broken, allowing the price to reach a more favorable level for future buying opportunities. There’s also an area of supply marked above, which could push the price lower. However, we're primarily looking for a short-term sell-off, with a longer-term expectation of reaching all-time highs again, driven by strong fundamentals supporting gold.
This pullback is likely a temporary correction in the overall uptrend. Since we haven’t seen a pullback in a while, a correction is ultimately inevitable. Where it will end and turn bullish again is uncertain.
This week, our focus is on the liquidity levels marked for potential reactions. Trade based on current price action and follow your plan. Stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and consider the supply area as a possible point for selling into the lows.
Follow your plan and stick to your risk.
Gold Trade Alert: Targeting $2,765 with 2:1 RRTrade Setup for Gold (XAU/USD):
Entry Point: $2,753
Stop Loss: $2,747
Target: $2,765
I'm looking at a short-term entry at $2,753, aiming for a quick move up to $2,765. With a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, this trade has a tight stop, making it a calculated play. Watch out for momentum around the entry level, and manage risk carefully. Let's see how the market responds!
GOLD - Price can little correct and then bounce up to $2825Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Not long ago, price bounced from $2665 support level and fell below it, after which it started to grow inside rising channel.
In channel, Gold broke $2665 level one more time and later rose to resistance line of channel, after which made little move down.
Then Gold rose to $2755 level, after which bounced down to support line of channel and then continued to grow.
Later price made a gap, after which fell back to support line and then bounced up, breaking $2755 level.
Price a little rose, after which it started to decline, so, in my opinion, Gold can little decline.
After this movement, price can turn around one more time and then start to grow to $2825 resistance line of channel.
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HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you XAUUSD analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price broke this level and then continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points, after which it turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line. When Gold reached this line, the price broke it and dropped to support 2, but soon turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line and even made a gap. Then price some time traded near the trend line and later broke it. After which Gold reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, broke it, and rose even higher in this area. But sometimes, the price fell to the support zone, and now it rising. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make small correction and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2775 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold can grow a little and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart we can see how the price declined to trend line and then started to grow inside pennant. In this pattern, price some time rising near trend line and later rebounded to the support zone, which coincided with the support 2. Then price made correction, after which continued to move up and soon broke the support 2, after which rose until to resistance line of the pennant. Then Gold turned around and started to decline and quickly fell to the support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then rebounded. Price made a gap and then exited from the pennant, after which continued to move up to the support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Soon, Gold broke this level, rose a little and made retest, after a breakout. After this movement, price rebounded and continued to move up, and now trades close 2790 points. So, in my mind, XAUUSD will reach 2795 and then start to decline to 2715 support level, which I set my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD Trading Setup - Gold : Triangle Pattern ?Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD Currency Pair.
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️ Buy Now or buy on 2739.0
⭕️SL @ 2723.0
🔵TP1 @ 2784.0
🔵TP2 @ 2799.9
🔵TP3 @ 2840.0
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
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XAU Long Term Analysis (Everyone Should Be Careful)Now that we have so much data available, it looks like we have a large diametric on the chart.
We are now at the end of wave E. You should be careful of emotional buys.
It is expected that by hitting the supply, the price will enter the correction phase for more than 1 year.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAU/USD: Final NFP before Election Americans continue to rank the economy as their top issue, and the final Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before voting day, offers a crucial signal this coming Friday.
September saw a gain of 254,000 jobs, but forecasts point to a marked slowdown, with expectations hovering just above the 100,000 mark. The expected downturn stems from several factors, including back-to-back hurricanes disrupting the Southeast of the country.
For now, gold is trading below Friday’s close (but for how much longer?) as markets react to limited Israeli action against Iran. Tehran has indicated it won’t retaliate, easing geopolitical tension and potentially reducing demand for the haven asset.
Gold continues to show impressive resilience near recent highs
As the threat of a resurgence in inflation with the reckless fiscal policies that are likely to follow the presidential election loom, gold is firmly holding its ground around its historical high. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with soaring demand in China and India, are driving up gold prices. Furthermore, the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election is boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. UBS has reported that global central banks has acquired 483 tons of gold in 1H2024 and forecasted that gold prices could soar to 3,000 USD per troy ounce next year.
XAUUSD sustained strength throughout the week within the 2720-2750 range. The price maintains a solid uptrend within the ascending channel, while EMA21 shows bullish momentum, widening the gap with EMA78. If XAUUSD breaches the resistance at 2750 and the ascending channel's upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum toward a new high of 2850. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks the support at 2680, coinciding with EMA21, the price may fall below the channel's lower bound and decline further to the support at 2520.
XAUUSD 27/10/24Continuing from last week's analysis on gold, we are again anticipating higher prices as we enter this trading week. We don’t expect the trend to change unless there's a clear reason, such as breaking below key lows and staying bearish for an extended period, which could signal the start of potential sell-offs. However, for now, we're not considering this scenario. We have three key reference points: the primary target is another all-time high this week. Watch for price to dip below lows that hold liquidity, and then aim for the target at the all-time high. Follow the upward trend of large bank orders and look for a good entry if we see a pullback.
Trade safely and stick to your risk management.