R2F Weekly Analysis - 1st June 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss as you will miss how I analyse the market:
We are at a new month, the month of June. I am still monitoring how the DXY acts this month to validate the monthly SIBI I've been talking about to turn into an iFVG. However, on the lower timeframes it looks very much like lower prices are in the making, which would be bullish for XXXUSD pairs and vice versa for USDXXX pairs.
- R2F
F-XAU
GOLD (To 2369$) Fed's Inflation Measure Up 0.2% in AprilFed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Rises 0.2% in April, as Expected
According to a closely watched measure released Friday by the Federal Reserve, inflation rose as expected in April, with markets anxious about when interest rates might begin to decline.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy costs, increased by 0.2% for the period, matching the Dow Jones estimate.
On an annual basis, core PCE rose by 2.8%, 0.1 percentage points higher than the estimate.
Including the volatile food and energy categories, PCE inflation was 2.7% annually and 0.3% from the previous month. These figures were also in line with forecasts.
Technical Analysis of Gold
The price has stabilized in the bullish zone, particularly after the PCE result came in at 0.2%.
The first bullish targets are 2364 and 2369. After reaching these levels, the price is expected to move between 2369 and 2354 until a breakout occurs.
Volatility is expected to remain high until the market closes.
Pivot Price: 2347
Resistance Levels: 2369, 2388, 2397
Support Levels: 2327, 2318, 2304
Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2335 and the resistance level at 2397
Gold is heading to 2260$ zone(3/31/2024)After reaching the 2450$ zone, xauusd OANDA:XAUUSD faced a huge sell pressure that led the gold price to fall into the 2326 zone sharply.
We believe the price has more room to fall more until it reaches the 2250-2260$ zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Gold has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,360.43
1st Support: 2,325.31
1st Resistance: 2,373.40
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - 1H Buy SetupXAUUSD has broken the downtrend line and successfully crossed it, followed by a perfect pullback. This suggests potential bullish momentum.
Now, the price is poised to rise towards the resistance zone around $2365.
For a sustained upward movement, we need to analyze the price response at the resistance zone. If it breaks above this resistance convincingly, it could indicate further bullish trends.
GOLD (Summary + GDP result) Technical Analysis of Gold
The price is expected to consolidate between 2327 and 2344 until a breakout occurs. Today, the GDP report will impact the market, with expectations being negative for the U.S. dollar. Depending on the results, the price may initially push up before starting to drop. However, if the GDP exceeds 1.2%, this outcome will likely be negative for gold.
In summary, stability below 2327 will lead to a drop towards 2303, while stability above 2344 will support a rise towards 2354 and 2369.
Pivot Price: 2344
Resistance Levels: 2354, 2369, 2388
Support Levels:** 2327, 2318, 2304
Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2302 and the resistance level at 2369.
GOLD - Price can bounce down from resistance line to $2275Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from the support level, which coincided with the support area, and rose to the resistance area.
Also then, Gold started to decline inside wedge, where it fell until to support line of this pattern, breaking $2310 level.
Then price made a strong upward impulse to $2425 level, breaking $2310 level again, and exited from wedge too.
Next, price made fake breakout of $2425 level and started to decline near resistance line to almost support level.
At the moment, price continue to decline and I think that Gold can reach resistance line and then bounce down.
After this, XAU can fall to support level, break it, and continue to decline to $2275
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XAUUSD - Gold 4hr Simple Trading - Head and shoulders
It doesn't get more simple than this. Pay attention to the pattern. With a Strong USD, Gold can finally take a break, make some moves to the downside, and retest some support zones. Gold is about to make a HUGE move to the downside if the price can not hold above 2325.
Look to SELL NOW! Price is at the bottom of the horizontal support line. Look to place another buy once the price breaks below the slanted white neckline of the pattern.
Target is 2280, if the price breaks below sell to 2220
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
Heading into overlap resistance, could it reverse from here?XAU/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,373.83
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,396.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which is slightly below the 81.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,328.59
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
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GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle.
How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse.
What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated!
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
XAUUSD (GOLD): Was it a Fakeout?We're currently back inside the dynamic rising trendline, I'm expecting a further push up and then a retest and then I'm getting back in.
I'll set TP's at:
2405 - resistance
2445 - just below previous high
2500 - 41% Fib Extension / Good target number
Not sure what's going on with USD ATM as per my earlier post, however geo-political tensions are growing significantly so I'm expecting more speculation on gold.
GOLD New Outlook (still bearish or reversed!)Technical Analysis of Gold:
The price reached our previous target of 2327 and then reversed.
Closing a 4-hour candle above 2344 suggests it will likely reach 2354, with the potential to touch 2369 as well. However, if the price remains below 2344, it indicates a drop back to 2327 as the first target.
Pivot Price: 2344
Resistance Levels: 2354, 2369, 2388
Support Levels: 2327, 2318, 2302
Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2305 and the resistance level at 2369.
previous idea:
GOLD (Toward 2369 and then !!!)Technical Analysis of Gold
The price of gold has stabilized above 2354, suggesting it will likely reach 2369. A break above 2369 is needed to continue the bullish trend toward 2388. However, if the price remains below 2369, it may consolidate between 2369 and 2354. Should the price break below 2354 and stabilize, it is expected to drop to 2344.
Pivot Price: 2369
Resistance Levels: 2378, 2388, 2397
Support Levels: 2354, 2344, 2328
Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2344 and the resistance level at 2388.
previous idea:
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,372.52
1st Support: 2,325.45
1st Resistance: 2,397.30
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - 1H Continuation of FallStops and liquidity have been hunted above the resistance zone, suggesting that gold (XAUUSD) can continue its downward trajectory towards the $2315 level.
The chart shows a bullish trendline, and a break below this trendline will serve as a confirmation for initiating sell positions. This break would indicate a shift in market sentiment, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Traders should watch for this trendline crossing as a key signal for entering short trades, targeting the identified support level at $2315.
Additionally, the previous three bullish legs used the $2310 zone as the base, adding further significance to this support area.