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GBP-EUR

EURGBP - How will BOE decisions affect the pound?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to the meeting of the Central Bank of England today, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with appropriate risk reward. Breaking the specified support range will pave the way for this currency pair to continue its decline Britain’s Treasury Secretary, Reeves, stated that it is still too early to make changes to economic forecasts following the U.S. election. He also expressed confidence that trade flows between the UK and the U.S. will continue under Trump’s presidency, noting that during Trump’s previous term, the two nations had a strong and constructive relationship. Reeves showed optimism about Britain’s role in shaping the global economic agenda. Meanwhile, the risk of a German government collapse appears more serious than ever. The German government has entered a new phase of political crisis that could potentially lead to the final breakdown of the ruling coalition. Last Friday, a document from Germany’s Finance Minister, Christian Lindner, was leaked, outlining his plans for economic reform in Germany. This document analyzes the economic challenges facing the country and offers proposals, such as corporate tax cuts and increased working hours. With internal tensions peaking, the likelihood of government collapse has risen. ECB Vice President De Guindos stated that the European Central Bank is committed to a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting approach and is increasingly confident in achieving the 2% inflation target. Goldman Sachs, in its latest report, has lowered its GDP growth forecast for the Eurozone in 2025 to 0.8%, down from the previous forecast of 1.1%. This revision was attributed to potential threats stemming from Trump’s tariff policies following his reelection.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.84078 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 0.8382 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.8454 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which lines up9 with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURGBP: Testing the 1D MA100 inside diverging Channels.EURGBP hit today the 1D MA100 but so far has failed to cross over it. This is keeping the 1D technical outlook neutral (RSI = 45.430, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 43.111) which is usual after a rebound at the bottom of a Channel. On this particular occasion, it is a Channel Up, rebounding after the 1D RSI turned oversold. However since July 20th, the 1D MA100 got tested four times as Resistance and it rejected the price three. Only then it closed a 1D candle over it, did the trend manage to continue rising past it. Consequently, if it closes a candle over the 1D MA50, we will go long and target the R1 level (TP = 0.87650). If rejected, we can see a Channel Down emerging much like last May-July. In that case, we will short and target the S2 level (TP = 0.85000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
Eurgbp, more downside to come,*Fire in the Hole*! **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Interested in following me and getting daily updated analysis? Like and follow me on Tradingview for fast updates! Thank you! ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
GBPEUR, Massive DOUBLE-Top, Final Breakout-Setup Emerging!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of GBPEUR. Since GBPEUR formed the major top last month August 2023 it heavily emerged with bearish momentum towards the bearish direction and has not yet recovered since this battered price-action inclinement. Now a big consideration is if GBPEUR finally develops a crucial continuation formation and if the bearish momentum is going to accelerate so heavily that a massive bearish momentum spike moves into the target zones. Because of the significance of this determination, I have analyzed GBPEUR in the analytics backend and detected major signs to not underestimate when considering the bearish inclined price-action GBPEUR has shown up with. Formational Determination: When looking at my chart now with the recent bearish momentum price-action GBPEUR moved on to test the major price-action zone at 1.1495 which has been tested already before as GBPEUR formed the first top within the whole formation, the more often the zone is tested the higher and more volatile the breakout develops once it has emerged. Now, with this second test, GBPEUR is about to complete a major paramount decisive double top formation which is the most prevalent formation here that is likely to validate a major bearish continuation once it has been completed. Such a double top formation in almost all cases is the origin of high bearish pressures once completed. Upcoming Perspective: Now, once GBPEUR has formed the breakouts below the 1.1495 level it is going to set up a confirmational formation as seen in my chart which is likely a bear flag formation setting up the wave C, and simultaneously the whole completion of the bearish formation. Once the confirmational bear flag formation has been completed it will be the origin of the next bearish wave C extension towards the downside and from there on GBPEUR is going to continue till the final double-top targets have been reached as marked in my chart. What has to be mentioned here as well is that the completion of the bearish double-top formation is also going to activate the bearish EMA crossover that is going to accelerate the bearish dynamics. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of ORCL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
by VincePrince
14
Analyzing 8 Currencies: A Weekly Forex Breakdown & InsightIn my trading strategy, I analyze eight custom currency indexes on the 30-minute time frame to capture short-term market movements. I utilize pivot points, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and various technical analysis techniques to develop a bullish or bearish bias for each currency. By examining the interactions between these indicators and price action, I can better understand the direction of the market and identify high-probability trading opportunities that align with the prevailing market sentiment. By focusing on the strength and weakness of major currencies and aligning our trades with the overall market mood, we aim to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of forex. Here's how I use these charts! Custom Currency Indexes: I've created custom indexes for eight major currencies: USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD, NZD, and CAD. These indexes help me monitor the strength and weakness of each currency relative to the others, giving me valuable insights for my forex trades. Market Sentiment: I also pay attention to the overall market sentiment, which is generally considered "risk-on" when AUD, NZD, and CAD are showing strength, and USD, CHF, and JPY are showing weakness. This risk-on mood indicates that traders are more willing to take on risk, favoring higher-yielding currencies like the AUD, NZD, and CAD. Analyzing Currency Pairs: When looking for trading opportunities, I analyze both the relevant currency indexes and the market sentiment. For example, if I'm considering a trade on the AUD/USD pair, I would look at the AUD index and the USD index to gauge the strength and weakness of the currencies. Matching Up with Market Sentiment: If the strength and weakness of the currencies in the pair align with the overall market sentiment (e.g., AUD is strong and USD is weak in a risk-on environment), it may be a good time to take the trade. If the currency strength and weakness do not match up with the market sentiment, it might be better to stay out of the trade. In summary, my forex trading strategy combines custom currency indexes, market sentiment, and analysis of individual currency pairs. By considering these factors together, I aim to identify favorable trading opportunities in line with the prevailing market conditions. __________________________________________ My current bias for each currency on the 30 minute chart. May 7, 2023 USD: The USD is clearly experiencing a downward trend. Recently, there has been a significant refusal to breach a resistance zone, causing it to fall below all of my EMAs. I believe the downward momentum is likely to persist. GBP: Recently, the pound has gained considerable upward momentum and appears to be preparing for a sustained movement in the same direction. EUR: The EUR has lately broken through long-term trends and support levels, indicating a potential continued decline. While I maintain a bearish outlook, I am closely monitoring price movements. I have observed an RSI divergence on the 30-minute chart, which I consider a warning to be wary of additional declines until a substantial pullback occurs. JPY: Recently, the JPY has broken a short-term trend and a head & shoulders pattern. The price is now below all of my EMAs and is moving in accordance with the longer-term downward trend. CHF: The CHF has recently broken a long-term trend and support level. Currently, the price is retesting the previous support as potential resistance. Based on this price behavior, I anticipate further declines. AUD: While the AUD is experiencing an upward trend, it is encountering notable resistance levels that could exert downward pressure. Nevertheless, I will maintain my bullish stance until evidence suggests otherwise. NZD: The NZD has recently displayed strong bullish momentum, and my inclination is towards an upward direction. However, exercise caution as the price action has formed a bullish continuation pattern, but there are indications of decelerating momentum, suggesting a possible pullback in the near future. CAD: The CAD has experienced a substantial upward surge lately. Although I am currently bullish, the price appears somewhat extended and is approaching a recent high, which could lead to some selling pressure.
by natron
2
EURGBP H4 | Potential Bullish Looking at the H4 chart, Price is approaching to our buy entry at 0.8836 which is an overlap support. Stop loss will at 0.8766 and take profit will be at 0.8924 which is next resistance level. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
by Genesiv