XAUUSD H12 Idea BULLISH 2500 PotentiallyGold Prices — Anticipation of U.S. Inflation Data and Geopolitical Tensions
- Gold prices edged higher on Monday, driven by anticipation of U.S. inflation data and the potential for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Investors are closely watching the upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports, which are expected to show modest increases in wholesale prices and a continued decline in consumer inflation.
- The data will be crucial in shaping the Fed's monetary policy decisions, with market sentiment currently suggesting a nearly 50% chance of a 50 basis points rate cut in September.
- Geopolitical tensions, particularly near Ukraine's border and in the Middle East, are also supporting gold prices, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset. U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly on Monday as the market braces for the impact of the inflation data, which could signal the Fed's next move on interest rates.
Technical View
- From a technical perspective, gold is solidifying above the support level at $2,440, with major support at the 50-day moving average of $2,373.23. The daily chart suggests that the market could soon test resistance at $2,483 and $2,490. However, if the 50-day moving average fails to hold, a significant price drop of up to $100 could occur. The overall outlook remains bullish, with the potential for gold to challenge previous record highs if inflation data aligns with market expectations.
