HAL
$HAL - Upside breakout potential PT @ $55 + Fundamentals/OilFibonacci Retracements point to a continued rally for HAL given the recent uptick in commodity prices.
I'm looking for a breakout to $52 (38.2 Fib Retracement), pullback to $48 (23.6 Fib Retracement), at which point i'm buying with a price target of $55 (50% Fib Retracement).
Could go higher, but the upside will be relatively capped given the level of the current US fracklog . Once prices justify completing and turning on these backlogged wells, it will cause the E&Ps to turn on the spigot, again pushing supply to a point where prices will have to react . (There is headline risk given potential Iran deal and capacity issues at cushing)
On a fundamental level, the recent divestiture of assets in concert with the baker hughes merger should be a long term positive for the company. I'd also look for them to further consolidate once the deal goes through as some smaller oil/gas service companies will start to feel the financial stress of the downturn during this time. Many of them operate in the more marginal areas of the shales/basins resulting in a higher breakeven cost given an expected return of about 10%. I'd also look for
SLB- Another Bull Channel Building3-5 And here we are today with yet another
energy stock building a Bull channel in green.
What do I need to see to make me get long?
An upside crossover of the green line that's what.
THEN one could place a stop on any break below
the blue line of line of one's choosing. The top blue line
is a tighter stop and IF IF IF an issue is going to go
after breaking out of channel it won't come back-that's
what you want to see anyway after an upside breakout.
As usual this is all strictly for informational and educational purposes only.
Trade at your own risk
Stable Oil Prices Sets Up Well For Halliburton Near-TermThe stabilization in energy prices lately has meant relief in some oil & gas stocks. Halliburton shares have been one of them, putting in a series of higher lows since mid-January. The pullback in the previous two weeks sets up for a low risk buying opportunity (stop loss under $41.90). HAL is now poised to fill the gap from November ($46.70-$47.50 range) in the coming months with near-term resistance at $45.
Options Trade Idea : Sell the Mar 20 $41/$42 bull put spread for a $0.23 credit or better (still using the $41.90 level as a stop loss reference to minimize risks). Look to take profits at $0.05 credit and/or a move to $45 in the stock.
Transoceans Timewindow.The stock is certainly in a longer downtrend. A Turnaround is to early to tell - Even though, it can be time to start looking at a longer term Long position in the stock. Looking at the timecycles "Low to Low" from 2004 - present, It seems to come in a cycle Low every 76 to 81 weekly bars or every 500 to 550 days. We might now be at week 77 from an earlier Low. The chart shows the different Low points.
The RSI indicator is presently seldom this extremely low at 7.5. Low RSI readings in December of 2008, June of 2010, December 2011 sparked impressive advances. Time will show if this instance comes in to play again with a low around x-mas time of 2014 or maybe aleady in place 2 days ago..
HAL Back to $70Bullish Piercing Candle at support on above average volume at channel support with momentum divergence. We had a higher low recorded on the MACD histogram as well. I am looking for HAL to retest its next resistance level at $70. With stop losses below the low of Friday the trade gives you a 1.5R.