BITCOIN: BTCUSD Short set-up hereBitcoin: BTCUSD For what it's worth right now, and looking at the bigger picture and pattern developing in first moment of calm since rising from bed, believe that Bitcoin is most likely to bottom at 5098 - a long way down from here - that view will only change if Bitcoin continues to hold up around current values and then turns up and breaks through parallel as described earlier...unless and until we see that Bitcoin is still very vulnerable - don't look to play this long unless 6515 is broken on upside - look for shirting opportunities and use stops to stay safe....can you see the stop? is it close by ? then trade for small loss if wrong.
Here
S&P 500 Short set-up from hereS&P 500 Index SPX500
The last short got stopped out at even - right idea, wrong
double top. Now it's fallen below the parallel that's been
guiding this impulse wave since summer lows...it's trying to
make a feeble counter-rally back to kiss the underside of the
lower parallel before it falls away again to 2566-2564 range
where it should make a rally attempt to form the right
shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern now forming here.
Sell from 2580 or as close to as possible with stop above 2583
for 3 point loss if wrong...once 2564 breaks after a first
bounce from there of up to 11 points back to 2573-2577 range
it should fall again at least back to 2564 and then when that
fails to 2541. Two short trades here worth following
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Trying to double bottom here at 7077Bitcoin: BTCUSD Update
Over the last 12 hours or so Bitcoin has formed a continuation
channel , dropping out of the lower parallel as London opened
and falling away, making a bounce from support line centred
around 7150 and then rallying up to the next listed old
support/new resistance line at 7250-7274 where it fell away
again under the heavy weight of all that structure recently
built directly above it. This is perfect price action for
plugged-in day-traders working with the smallest spreads -
which brings us back to Goldmans and Co. It would be so
educational to watch their Bitcoin desk for a day. It should be
a prize in a trading competition.
Right now, Bitcoin is retesting the lows at 7077 again, and
flipping between here and the next old support/new
resistance line on chart at 7150. we know that 7077 was the
original start point of yesterday's big rally - so Goldmans etc
will try to push it down below here to take out stops
underneath and then if it doesn't start to rally from 7077,
where they want it to, as per shape of this decline so far, and
price gets stuck under 7077, they'll start to unload again and
look to pick it up again at 6960-6930 key support.
So it's a speccy buy at 7077 but with a tight stop at 7050
because if it breaks here it will come back to major support
at 6960-6930 where it's another buy with stops under 6900.
So there are two points of interest for buyers today: 7077
with stop under 7050 or 6960-60930 with stop under 6900 if
the first shot fails. We were looking for a potential double
bottom to form...it should do it here or from the next line of
support at 6940 if it's going to do it at all.
At all costs, 6900 must hold up to all bear raids today - any
failure to do so would tip Bitcoin into serious bear territory,
signalling further intense selling pressure back to 6312 at
least, and potentially to 6165. A good short if we see it at any
point with stops above 6960.
Be Lucky
BITCOIN: BTCUSD Way more potential upside in storeBitcoin Update The Shape this is Throwing
So far, the parabolic shape Bitcoin is making remains very
encouraging for the future. If it can now hold up today
between the old high area at 7450 and the new parallel , now
at 7425 between now and Tokyo and China opening we could
see some spectacular gains...it just has to hold up now...
Stops for day-traders remain under the parallel by 20 points
or so for now and under 7330 for longer term holders for now.
The last massive surge from 6000 to 7350 came from the East.
They like break-outs - if we hold up today as above Bitcoin
could begin to fly higher, substantially higher. $15,000 looks
like the next big number: 2, 3, 5, 7.5, 15 - let's see.
But we still need to get through today: depends how involved
you want to get from here...it's still in corrective mode just
trading between the high and a recent low at 7474...but WOW
the shape here, if the highs get taken out later on here and
early in China. Suggest increasing holdings if and when
(hopefully) the high is broken again aat 7577 - whether that
happens soon or later. Use a stop under 7450 and it won't get
hit. Good Hunting, once more, with way more potential
upside once we see a break above the highs than yesterday.
Be Lucky.
Nasdaq 100: Pushing up against resistance: Caution hereNasdaq 100 Index: Now probing the main conrolling parallel that's been guiding this rally ever since Election day and likely to find it hard-going to penetrate. Caution required here with the possibility of shorts on any failure of nearest support at 5759.