LONG TKAT @ $.6954 for Chinese Internet (KWEB) UpsideTechnical Analysis:
1. KWEB (Chinese Internet ETF): Expect a relief bounce here for Chinese Internet stocks ( BABA BIDU JD ) with a Hong Kong ( HKDOW ) & Shanghai ( DJSH ) market rally.
a. Holding 200weekSMA and 50monthSMA support here at $44 with record volume twitter.com
b. Very oversold on weekly timeframe
c. Strong price support at $41.00
d. 4/24/18 gap filled at $43.53
e. Possible reversion to mean: 2018 Chinese Internet % Total Returns (negative) very divergent from US Internet % Total Returns (positive)
2. TKAT (Takung Art Co) showing strong correlation with KWEB with more volatility, conveying a higher beta to Chinese markets. This will result in exceeding KWEB’s % gains on upside price movement.
a. Potential price double bottom $.63-$.68
b. Extremely oversold on weekly/monthly timeframes
c. Daily RSI uptrend from 29 (8/9/18) to 34 (10/11/18)
d. Large accumulation volume on 10/2 and 10/12
e. Testing 10dayEMA @ $.75
Fundamental Analysis: TKAT - Takung Art Company:
1. Takung Art Company fundamentals convey undervaluation and thus provides great risk/reward for China Internet/Software market rally
a. Price to Book = .49
b. Price to Sales = .61
c. Net Current Asset Value = 1.24
d. Cash to Debt = 1.43 – Strong cash position to outlast market downturn
e. Poor 2018Q2 and 2018Q3 earnings coupled with an overall bearish Chinese investor sentiment already priced into stock price
f. Company is expected to resume Listing Revenue (primary revenue stream) end of October – temporarily loss of revenue could be short-lived
g. Company plans to reduce G&A expenses by 10% in 2018Q3
