Federal Interest Rate This video highlights interest rates dropping prior to Fed Meeting prior to March 2024 Meeting. Indicating a Strong correlation for Technical analysis over Market Media.
Interest-rates
Quick Technical Analysis of US Federal Interest Rate Come MarchIn this video, I'm overcoming a sinus infection. However, I am explaining the movement come March 24 the Federal Interest Rate. Concluding, that the interest rate will drop during the Fed Meeting.
✨ MODIFICATION: EURUSD ✨ THE BIG PICTURE (5D)TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
TP5 @ 1.2115 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP4 @ 1.17850 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 1.1250 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 1.1100 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 1.0933 (shaving 25%)
BLO1 @ 1.0820 ⏳
BLO2 @ 1.0800 ⏳
VIDEO TIMESTAMP:
00:00 ECB News
02:53 Where Do We Go From Here?
03:32 A Noisy Intermediate Time Frame (4H)
04:55 Key Support/Resistance Levels (4H)
06:01 Institutional Buying Targets
06:42 Safe Haven Currencies
05:52 Interest Rates and Safe Haven Currencies
08:47 Position Sizing with R:R @ 1:1
10:20 Best Buying Opportunities ⭐
11:04 The BIG PICTURE Analysis ⭐
13:28 BIG PICTURE Anticipatory Trend
16:31 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
During today's EUR News trading session, the EURUSD initially tried to rally or, as we call it, exhibited a false positive. Still, the market gave back gains as the European Central Bank raised its key interest rates as anticipated by 25 basis points up from 3.50% to 3.75%. So, considering this, where is Price Action going from here?
Since April 02, 2023, @ 18:00, it's been a very noisy range. This range is our current price curve analysis. It lands between the Pivot Low of 1.0788 and the Pivot High of 1.1095 and, therefore, places Support @ 1.0945 and Resistance @ 1.1086.
Based on the 4H chart, we should be clear for a downtrend breakout if price action opens and closes below our Support Level. A breakout pattern to the downside would also mean Price Action is pulling back from its BIG PICTURE uptrend pattern. Therefore, we should find Institutional Buying Targets around 1.0820 and 1.0800.
Considering the US dollar to "safe-haven" currencies like JPY or CHF, we need to be cautious about our position sizing because this will continue to be a volatile range. We're going to have to "ride the wave" professionally.
Right now, I see a lot of short-term buying and selling opportunities until Price Action reaches its 4-hour Demand Zone around 1..0800. Once we're there, the longer-term opportunity to buy will be ours.
What should I pay for the sp500 if inflation continues?Where is fair value and where is cheap? Price and value are not the same. Price is snapshot of opinion while value is a moving story that changes over time.
PE price to earnings is how we gauge value, at least one of the main ways. I like to think of PE in terms of years. How many years of earnings am I paying in advance for this underlying business?. It helps me realize that there's a big picture story in every asset that will take time to play out.
Everything has fair value as well as premium and discount values. If we dont do the homework, we are just guessing and gambling. A dollar today is worth more than a dollar in one year. The current market interest rates is how we price the cost of time difference of money flows. Using interest rates to discount is how we calculate if an assets is expensive, fair, or discounted.
SPY SPX QQQ NDX DIA DJI VT VTI
US Recession? We will Sink at least 50% For a Recession.Between the 2008 great financial housing crisis, the end of the dotcom bubble in the year 2000, the 1970s stagflation recession, and the great depression of 1929 all have one thing in common. The market retraced at least 50% from it's peak. I personally believe the US economy is in conditions for a recession that will at least sink 50% or more if we were to compare to past indicators and technical conditions of a recession.
Just my opinion take it with a grain of salt. At the end of the day past is no indicator of the future. However history doesn't repeat itself it often rhymes. There's been a lot of rhymes I'm seeing. Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
Mortgage Rates Back In An Uptrend Trend On 30 Year-Fixed Historically in America the interest rate for a 30 year fixed has been in a multi-decade down trend. As of January 2021 the rate for a 30 year fixed dropped to a historical low of around 2.65% and has since reversed in trend. This year we can potentially see rates continue to rise up to 3.75% as we're in secondary uptrend on the line chart. Currently we're at around 3.45% up 30% from 2.65% we seen last year.
Stocks To Watch This WeekThe Market's longer term uptrend still intact. Interest rates are driving the market.. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 21 total stocks on this list Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
