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Ipo-trade

Shift Payments Strong Buy --> IPO Scheduled TomorrowFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, everything I say is on an opinion based basis. If anybody is excited for some potential IPO opportunities, Shift payments definitely looks like one of them. The price proposed at at $21, seems reasonable when looking at A) Competitors such as PayPal and Square B) Recent POS growth for restaurants post-Covid C) Financial expectancies. After missing the ZI IPO, I definitely think this one is one to watch out for + potentially hold. If it doubles, and I were to buy it than, I would sale and reinvest in the dip or hold depending on market activity. Either way, looks to be a strong buy.
NYSE:FOURLong
by gamer456148
Picking a Buy Point for Uber (UBER)The IPO for Uber (UBER) has fallen out the bed. The company priced its IPO at $45, opened at $42, and closed at $41.57. UBER’s one-day total loss in value from the IPO price was apparently the largest in history. For a moment, UBER looked like it could stabilize around its poor first day. Unfortunately, the next trading day a major market sell-off helped take UBER down another 11.0% to close at $37.00. {Uber (UBER) is two days old and has managed to sink 17.8% from its IPO price. This 15-minute chart shows the current persistence of selling.} I believe retail investors have typically been left out of the big IPO cash machine of 2019 (like most successful IPOs). Yet, with 207M shares put out to market (180M from the company and 27M from selling stockholders), I strongly suspect too many retail investors got caught up in the UBER slide. First of all, valuation is a tenuous metric for UBER. TechCrunch provided great coverage of the UBER S1 filing which threw into question the $90-$100B valuation at the time, down from a peak of around $120B. UBER is now valued at a $62B market cap. Here are some choice quotes which undermined any justification for premium pricing for UBER: “…Those figures say show Uber’s growth slowing as it scaled. Still, at Uber’s revenue scale, growing 42 percent is impressive. However, the pace of deceleration from 2017’s over 100 percent figure could provide pause to some investors looking at Uber’s results from a growth perspective. And, when examined quarterly, the company’s revenue deceleration is even starker…a closer look at those quarterly results indicates that the company is growing at a rate much slower than that yearly total.” “The company’s operating losses decreased year over year from $4.1 billion to $3.1 billion. Improving net loss is a positive for Uber, but $3.1 billion is still a huge figure, particularly within the context of slowing growth.” In other words, UBER is NOT the kind of stock investors should rush to grant a premium. Still, UBER is now priced at 5.5x sales, just above the 5.1x for Grub Hub (GRUB) which competes directly with Uber Eats and also strongly relies upon a flexible labor force of non-professional drivers. {Grubhub (GRUB) is well off its all-time highs but has not (yet?) reversed the big breakout from July, 2017.} Based on this admittedly simplistic valuation exercise, I am going to hazard a guess that buying Uber around current levels is a good long-term bet assuming it proves to be a viable business. My preferred spot to buy UBER is around 5x sales or $33-$34 to account for more of the risk in the business and the stock. Technicals should help refine the entry point. For technicals, I lean on my framework of stepping aside while sellers are getting busy and jumping in when buyers show strong interest: “Anatomy of A Bottom: Do Not Argue With Sellers – Celebrate With Buyers.” In Uber’s case, buyers prove nothing until they are able to at least breach Monday’s gap down. In the absolute best case scenario, I would buy at $39.50 and stop out below $36. I will be much more interested in applying the technical framework if (once?) UBER breaks $36. I will likely be slow to speculate on UBER because I got caught up using options to generate a lower entry price on Lyft (LYFT). At $48.15/share Lyft is well below the $55 strike price of the last put I sold (October expiration). Lyft is currently valued at 5.4x sales, but I used GRUB for UBER’s valuation yardstick because of its extended trading history. {Lyft (LYFT) closed at a fresh all-time low after freshly breaking down last week.} Options are not yet available for UBER. When they are trading, I will reach for selling puts before next picking a spot to buy shares. Be careful out there! Full disclosure: short LYFT puts and long calls
NYSE:UBERLong
by drduru
$LYFT - daily chart & trading analysis$LYFT - has been an awesome ticker to day trade the last week since its IPO on the 29th. Hit the short side the first couple days and nailed the red to green on day 4. Tickers like these that are moving irrelevant to the market conditions have had the most luck in follow through. Today we had another nice selling off action, with an ORB short setup at the open, along with nice follow throughs on the bear flags. Easy trades are coming to an end with it trading in its range now. Waiting for a break of consolidation of either highs or lows for some more movement. $LYFT has also put the pressure on Uber to pick up their socks and continue their expansion to other regions (India & Asia), will be interesting to see how these two big dogs go head to head over this year. Earnings season is approaching next week. For me, this signifies the market will be a little stale this week and have less follow through / momo names on our scans that previous weeks & months. Nonetheless, just taking smarter & cleaner setups, dialed down risk a bit as well as amount of day trades taken daily. Going to be looking to get hungry and aggressive next week for the remainder of the month. Have a great day!
NASDAQ:LYFT
by BullsOnWallStreet
SNAP-CHAT "HOT" IPO : SHOULD YOU BUY ? EVERYONE IS BUYING THIS..IPO stands for initial public offering but it also stands for: it's probably overpriced :Imaginary Profits :Insiders Private Opportunity : Idiotic, Preposterous, and Outrageous Buying IPO is a bad idea because it flagrantly violated one of the most fundamental rules: No matter how badly other people want to buy a stock, you should only buy if it's undervalued. In the example above, IPO VA Linux's shares were valued at a total of $12.7 billion while company total worth was only $44 million. That IPO fell from $293 to $1.19 Per share. Before Buying snap chat stock please do your analysis, look at their financial statements, their debt, earning etc. Do not jump in because it's a "hot" issue and everyone else in jumping. If your analysis shows that snap chat stock is undervalued then only buy it. While there was a chance to become a billionaire by buying IPO's of a couple of companies like Microsoft, Apple, Coke there's was also a huge chance to get broke by buying IPO of thousands of companies like VA Linux. References: "The intelligent investor" by Benjamin Graham (book) “Security Analysis” by Benjamin Graham (book)
NYSE:SNAP
by Wave-Expert
$BABA BABA staging a strong comeback like FB in 2012News from Alibaba ($BABA) spiked the stock higher. Some wonder if this is the time to short after all the stock has be up +140% since it's bottom back in 2016. However since the double bottom was put in last year, $BABA has been showing great signs of a stock ready to become the next big IPO that many will say in the future, "if only I had held on to my shares of ALIBABA back in 2017 when it first began going on. This is history in the market. Unless the stock closes below $120 in the next few months, this is a long term stock to add to any portfolio
NYSE:BABALong
by Rightsidetrading