EURO - Price can break support level and continue to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to flat, where it in a short time declined to $1.0810 level, after which bounced up.
Then price corrected $1.0810 level again and then rose almost to top part of flat, but then it started to fall.
Euro in a short time declined lower than $1.0810 level, breaking it and also exiting from flat, after which continued to decline.
Price at once rose to resistance line, after which it quickly fell to support level, which coincided with support area.
Next, EUR tried to grow but failed and fell back to $1.0690 level, where at the moment continues to trades near.
In my mind, price can make small movement up and then break support level and fall to $1.0600
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J-EUR
EURUSD 1h - Hourly Timeframe
We are also in a bearish context on the hourly timeframe, aligning with all other timeframes. The primary target below is the obvious 1.067 level. Given that the target was not reached on Friday, it is likely that Monday and Tuesday will be exclusively correctional days. This pattern is not uncommon for EURUSD, where the main target isn't hit on Friday, leading to a continuation of the correction for the first two days of the week.
! (your-chart-link)
Be cautious and observe how the price reacts to these levels.
EURUSD 1W - Weekly TimeframeAfter a shift to a bearish context, we saw a strong reaction aiming to cover the fractal liquidity above. This was followed by a continuation of the bearish order flow. The targets are marked on the chart below. The invalidation of this scenario would be a price close above 1.09.
Stay tuned for more detailed analysis throughout the week.
EUR/GBP Poised for Seasonal Upswing as July BeginsAs July kicks off, the EUR/GBP pair is entering a period of seasonal strength, supported by historical trends and favorable technical indicators. Historically, EUR/GBP has shown a tendency to perform well during this time of year, and this seasonality is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report. The report indicates that the Euro is currently the preferred asset among institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money."
Recently, the EUR/GBP pair rebounded from the 0.8400 support level, a critical area that has provided a strong base for price action. This rebound, coupled with the seasonal patterns and smart money positioning, presents a compelling case for a bullish setup.
Given these factors, we are now looking for opportunities to enter long positions on the EUR/GBP pair, anticipating continued strength in the Euro as the month progresses.
EURUSD: We are waiting for a breakHello traders,
The bearish channel is obvious in the chart! you can see that upward moves are weak but the downwards are so strong. I consider the trend to be bearish. However, while my total bias over the pair is still bearish I think any breaks over the zone might lead the price to reach the next strong zone which is around 1.0790
At the same time breaking the bullish yellow trend line down and the zone would alter our bearish scenario. Can't wait to the results.
Have fun and enjoy your life.
EURJPY Fool-Surprise Reverse Ok ?EURJPY direction.
Well, I am excited the algos pushed the price 0.2% higher in compariston to yesterday, we are still due to dump 1-2% to the downside.
Lets Go. Accumulate more and more shorts, this is the only direction.
THIS IS JUST MY PLAN - NOT AN ADVICE.
No stop loss at this point, after loosing crucial levels, we can expect JPY central bank interventionm at any point, and - I am surprised idiot traders are still pushing the price in wrong directon still.
Take profit: 168.13
Stop loss: NONE.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 50 - EURJPY - (21st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 2-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
EURAUD is approaching an important resistance zoneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a selling opportunity around 1.61700 zone, EURAUD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.61700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Euro can make correction to support level and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago started to grow from the support line and soon reached the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, after which made small movement down. Next, the price reached the resistance level again and then fell to the support line, after which EUR made an impulse from this line higher than the 1.0880 level, breaking it and some time trading between this level. After this, the EUR made an impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking the support line and also forming a gap. Then the price rebounded from the 1.0725 level and rose to 1.0850 points, after which started to decline inside a downward pennant, where it fell lower than the 1.0725 support level, breaking it. But a not long time ago, the price started to grow from the support line of this pattern and quickly backed up and even exited from the pennant. At the moment, I think that the price can make a correction movement to the support level and then start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0810 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURJPY to find sellers at market?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
We look to sell rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 169.90 (stop at 170.40)
Our profit targets will be 168.70 and 168.30
Resistance: 171.20 / 175.50 / 178.55
Support: 168.95 / 167.35 / 164.30
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0768
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0818
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0689
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURUSD / Bullish Trend Above 1.0740 with Key Levels to WatchEUR/USD Outlook
Current Outlook:
The price is expected to trade in the bullish zone, having reversed and stabilized above the pivot zone.
Bearish Scenario:
The price would need to reverse and stabilize below 1.0707 to initiate a bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 1.0740, the bullish trend is expected to continue, targeting 1.0796.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 1.0740
- Support Levels: 1.0680, 1.0620, 1.0505
- Resistance Levels: 1.0796, 1.0850, 1.0915
Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the resistance at 1.0796 and the support at 1.0707.
In summary, maintaining a position above 1.0740 supports a bullish outlook, aiming for higher resistance levels. Conversely, trading below 1.0707 indicates a bearish trend with potential support targets.
EUR/USD Trades Higher on Monday After Rebound from supportsThe EUR/USD currency pair experienced a notable upward movement on Monday, following a rebound from critical support levels around 1.0700 and 1.0640 during the early European session. This rebound marks a significant shift after a period of pressure, largely attributed to potential risks emerging from France's financial situation. The speculation that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) may form a new government has raised concerns over France's fiscal stability, thereby dampening the Euro's appeal.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair displayed a rejection at the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level derived from the major swing low, precisely within the support area identified last week. This rejection was further supported by a double divergence observed in both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators on the H4 timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
The Fibonacci retracement level is a crucial tool used by traders to identify potential reversal levels. The 78.60% retracement level, in particular, is considered a deep retracement and often indicates strong support or resistance. The fact that the price rejected this level suggests a strong bullish sentiment among traders.
Market Sentiment and Economic Factors
The broader market sentiment has been influenced by political developments in France. The potential ascendancy of Marine Le Pen's National Rally to government raises significant concerns over fiscal policy changes, which could impact the overall economic stability of France and, by extension, the Eurozone. Such political uncertainties often lead to increased volatility in currency markets, as investors adjust their positions based on perceived risks.
Despite the political uncertainties, no significant economic releases were scheduled for today, particularly concerning the Empire State Manufacturing Index for the USD. This absence of major economic data implies that the currency pair's movement is driven more by technical factors and geopolitical news rather than immediate economic indicators.
Outlook and Future Expectations
Looking ahead, traders and analysts are anticipating potential strong volatility in the EUR/USD pair as they await economic data releases in the coming days. The lack of significant economic news today leaves the pair susceptible to technical trading and news-driven volatility.
Given the current technical setup and market sentiment, a bullish impulse is expected in the EUR/USD pair. The rejection of the 78.60% Fibonacci level, coupled with the double divergence in the RSI and Stochastic indicators, points towards a potential continuation of the upward trend. Traders will be closely monitoring upcoming economic releases and political developments for further cues.
In summary, the EUR/USD pair's rise on Monday, following a rebound from crucial support levels, highlights the interplay between technical indicators and geopolitical factors. While the speculation surrounding France's political future weighs on the Euro, the technical rejection of key support levels suggests a potential bullish trend. As traders await more economic data, the pair is poised for further volatility, with a bullish outlook prevailing in the short term.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure, Eyes Potential Bullish RetracementFollowing Wednesday's surge, EUR/USD reversed course and experienced significant losses on Thursday. The pair remains under pressure on Friday, trading at its lowest level since early May, just below 1.0700. This downturn reflects the broader market sentiment and the evolving economic landscape.
The shift in risk sentiment helped the US Dollar (USD) gain strength during the American trading hours on Thursday. Additionally, the negative impact of soft inflation data on the USD began to dissipate as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's policy outlook in light of the hawkish revisions to the Summary of Economic Projections. The Fed's commitment to its current monetary policy stance has provided a boost to the USD, further pressuring the EUR/USD pair.
From a technical perspective, the price has reached a strong support area. Here, we observe a double divergence on both the RSI and Stochastic indicators, signaling potential bullish momentum. Furthermore, the price has touched the 78.6% retracement level from the previous swing low, adding to the likelihood of a reversal. These technical indicators suggest that the EUR/USD may be poised for a bullish retracement.
Despite the current downward pressure, the EUR/USD pair is showing signs of resilience. The technical indicators provide a hopeful outlook for traders looking for a recovery. The double divergence on the RSI and Stochastic indicators, coupled with the critical 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, points towards a potential rebound. Traders will be closely monitoring these indicators for confirmation of a bullish trend reversal in the coming sessions.
EURUSD:: IntradayBy taking a deeper look at Daily chart we could easily see a bearish move!
Latest reaction was to top of the channel an we are going to reach to bottom of the channel. However, We see the RSI is forming a trend line which seems hard to be broken down. I think we could see a reversal to MA of RSI. So we might have one or two range days. Therefore we are both ready for Bearish and range days.
By taking a look to 1h chart we could see that a great zone to short the pair is available!
However by breaking the 1.0770 we could consider the trend bullish.
What is obvious in the main chart is that today Fibonacci R1 is in coincide with yesterday Pivot and these two are perfectly in our zone!
I'm waiting to sell from there! the channel in 15m chart could be used as liquidity hunt! These are important levels of today you can search for more reasons or places to short the pair
Could EUR/USD rise from here?Price is has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0724
1st Support: 1.0685
1st Resistance: 1.0790
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EURUSD on a counter-trend rebound but still bearish long-term.The EURUSD pair isn't diverging from our original plan (June 04 idea, see chart below) and is extending the new Bearish Leg of the 6-month Channel Down:
Today it tested the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) of a counter-trend rebound, which has take place during both previous Bearish Legs. The 1st time was +1.12% and the 2nd +1.50% that even broke above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
Having formed the new 4H Bearish Cross last Friday (first since March 28), this rise is the final sell opportunity (technically) before a new Lower Low. Our Target remains more modest at 1.06040 (Support and previous Lower Low) but we will take profit earlier if the 1D RSI hits 30.00 first.
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EUR/USD Gains Momentum Ahead of US Core Retail Sales Data ReleasThe EUR/USD pair is trading higher on Tuesday, following a pullback to the support level at 1.06690, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement from the previous swing low. This support area has provided a strong foundation for the pair, allowing it to gain upward momentum.
Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming US Retail Sales data, particularly the Core Retail Sales m/m figures, which are expected to be a significant catalyst for further movement in the EUR/USD pair. Positive data could push the pair even higher, as it would indicate stronger consumer spending in the US, potentially leading to a stronger US Dollar. However, any signs of weaker data could bolster the Euro further, as traders anticipate a less aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to the bullish outlook, there is a noticeable divergence on the H4 timeframe's stochastic indicator. Divergence occurs when the price movement of the currency pair contrasts with the indicator, often signaling a potential reversal or strengthening of the current trend. In this case, the stochastic divergence suggests that the upward movement of the EUR/USD pair could gain more traction.
Institutional traders also seem to be favoring the Euro over the US Dollar. Reports indicate a significant increase in long positions on the Euro, reflecting a broader sentiment shift among large market participants. This institutional support adds further credibility to the potential for continued upward movement in the EUR/USD pair.
In summary, the EUR/USD pair is showing promising signs of a bullish continuation after rebounding from a key support level and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. With the upcoming US Retail Sales data and technical indicators aligning in favor of the Euro, traders have a reason to anticipate further gains. The increased long positions by institutional traders further reinforce this positive outlook, suggesting that the pair could see sustained upward momentum in the near term.
EURO - Price can make small movement up and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price entered to flat, where it at once bounced up to $1.0890 level from $1.0770 level.
Then it turned around and little declined, after which price some time traded in flat and then made upward impulse.
Price exited from flat, and then declined lower $1.0890 level, after which it tried to rise, but failed.
Euro made a fake breakout of $1.0890 level and continued to decline inside pennant, where it later broke $1.0770 level too.
At the moment, price rising near support line of pennant, and I think it can make small movement up first.
After this, Euro can bounce down, thereby exiting from pennant and continuing to fall to $1.0660
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️