Pound vs. Aussie - Short Term Swing Trading Idea - 7 May 2022FX:GBPAUD is at the end of the correction phase and start forming good price action for the next week. Potential is over 250 pips to the zone of 1.7680.
What is the supported thesis for the expected future uptrend on GBPAUD:
- By Elliot waves price correction formation is symmetrical A-B-C
- Symmetrical by a time A-C wave is a big indication that is corrective
- MACD goes into negative territory and once dig for dipper correction will start the attack in green territory
- Big bounce near 4.25 year low
If you have any questions related to this trading idea I will be happy to provide you with answers.
J-GPB
GBPUSD bottomed. 1 month of uptrend ahead.The GBPUSD pair is flashing a strong buy signal today, as it is rising on the 2nd straight green 1D candle following a Double Bottom on the 1D RSI. Monday's low happens to be exactly on the Lower Lows trend-line (based on the recent December 08 Low) of the Channel Down that started in mid 2021.
As a result, if the price closes above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), then we expect a roughly 1 month rise towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again, within 1.3500 - 1.3550. As you see on the chart, the 1D MA200 has been the natural Resistance since the pair broke below it on September 16 2021 with two rejections already.
On the other hand, if Monday's low is compromised with a 1D candle closing below it, we expect the price to seek the -0.382 Fibonacci extension instead at around 1.2750. Be ready to adapt and have your SLs accordingly.
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EURGBP It Will Correct DownwardWelcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
GBPCAD Potential Bullish ContinuationWelcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
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**Currently a daily bullish impulse with a correction/flag formation into support at 7093. Consider a long if price bulls back near the zone and continues to reject. Recommend conservative stop loss placement below the zone.
Keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
Outlook on GBPUSD: Bullish play seenPrices are facing bullish pressure from its ascending trend line and Ichimoku cloud and a pullback to test the support zone at 1.37400, which coincides with the 127.2%, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension, presents an opportunity to play the bounce to the next resistance target at 1.38500.
GBPUSD close to the Channel Down bottom. Buy signal.The pair has been trading within a Channel Down since April 30. Today it is rebounding after coming the closest to the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down since July 20. This is a short-term buy signal on its own with a 1.3750 Target (the short-term Resistance).
On a more longer term perspective though, we can see a similar fractal developing as in April-May 2020 (green shapes/ Fractal (A) and (B)). If it weren't for the March 2020 COVID market crash, then Fractal (A) would have also traded in the extension of a Channel Down, as Fractal (B) does. That fractal was the bottom of that pattern and GBPUSD started a 12 month bullish trend then. So if the current Channel Down breaks to the upside, our firm's thesis is that the pair can extend the rise to at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (1.4400) before the next major correction.
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WATCH OUT!!! GBPNZD Analysis!More setups coming in GBP pairs and others. Be sure to follow
Stop should be above the PH and ride this SHORT trade then we take profit at the bottom for some LONG play i will post that when the time comes. I will be actively posting some nice setups this week.
Prop traders stay turned...
NEVER TRADE AGAINST THE TREND - GBP USD BREAKOUT REVERSALThis summary of the recent rally on the GBP USD highlighted the important rule of never trading against the main direction of the trend. The only exceptions to this rule are
1. Reversals at Major Resistance/Support Consolidation Boundaries of the Monthly, Weekly or Daily Charts.
2. Reversals at Major Resistance/Support Price Points of the Monthly, Weekly or Daily Charts.
In the absence of any of these scenarios, trading in the general direction of the Daily Chart is always your better choice.
As you can see, there was a recent attempt by the market to start a Bearish Breakout from the Consolidation on the 4 Hour Chart overnight but this was short-lived. This movement was taken out by the Sharp Bullish Rally this morning in reaction to the sterling-positive outlook from the Bank of England. Essentially, the Bank of England stated that inflation was expected to rise to 2% which in the context of the current global pandemic and economic downturn is a very positive outlook for the British Economy. Statements like these are always positive for the currency in question and so the natural reaction of the market was to buy the sterling.
Even in the absence of this statement , the GBP USD was always going to rally because of the fact that the Outer Uptrend Line was still holding, despite the break of the Inner Uptrend Line.
So as long as the momentum of the market is still Bullish, trading in favour of the GBP is going to be the better option.
First Strategy.
Trade the False Breakout Reversal to Resistance of the 4 Hour Pennant. Exit and wait.
Second Strategy.
Trade the Breakout above the Resistance when the Uptrend is confirmed.
2am/8am GBP pairs significance I put together this educational post due to my poor analysis on some GBP pairs last night. Presented pair is GBPUSD. It is important to backtrack and figure out a future solution for a losing trade.
This is an extremely informative and effective time frame strategy especially for this currency. I have presented the major GBP pairs and results from the 2 am and 8 am marks.
2am is a universal pullback time depending on what the trend is. In the case of GBP pairs last night we were in a strong downtrend. As you can observe from the charts, when in a downtrend you can confirm a pullback into continuation by observing the pullback trend prior too 2 am. If we see a consolidating pullback with a 1 am candle that does not sentiment towards a trend reversal you can almost %100 confirm downward trend continuation at 2am. Now if we are in a strong uptrend, reverse the strategy and expect a pullback at at 2am.
* Important Rule: Whether the trend is bullish or bearish, if there is no consolidation prior to the 2 am mark we gauge a continuation to the next major rejection off support/rejection or in the case of GBP pairs, 8 am when the index opens. (I mapped this rule out on GBPUSD chart)
8 am is significant with GBP pairs due to gbpusd index opening. We may see a pullback against the trend depending on the strength of the index which will confirm a continuation or pivot. This strategy can be used nightly offering safer trading by following the trend pattern from these time points. The following charts are results from other GBP pairs.
GBPCAD
GBPNZD
GBPJPY
GBPCHF