USDJPY Buy Set upUSDJPY buy set up, we'll maybe see a retest at previous resistance after a nice rejection at daily support area
J-jpy
Usdjpy if break higher ,crosses like GJ AJ will breakup too...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If we see a weaker jpy this week , and if UJ manage to break up higher. AJ GJ will see more break to the upside too. On the same note, index should be breaking its recent high too!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
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Downside Ahead for JPY - COT Strategy Sell DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
JPY (6J)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6J if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. Small Specs at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. All this is bearish.
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries & Gold
OI Analysis: Upmove since July has seen CM's quickly shift to strong short position = bearish.
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down into October.
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV & Stochastic Sell Signals
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
Nikkei to find buyers at market price?NIK225 - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
20 4hour EMA is at 38333.
We look to Buy at 38340 (stop at 38030)
Our profit targets will be 39010 and 39190
Resistance: 38817 / 39000 / 39200
Support: 38500 / 38300 / 38000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 146.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 142.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 143.750 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 143.750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Quick 60 pips 5 mins Intraday Scalp Hello everyone, trust we're all having a wonderful trading day !
This is a solid setup which I believe price win respect during the Asian session because price just sold to clear the liquidity below and gave a clean rejection which in every case like this, a retest win have to take place to that zone below as confirmation for the buy... Target - 60 pips
kindly do your own analysis and please, implement proper risk and money management,
USDJPY could reach 151 within second leg of correction (updated)Update of earlier idea
We've got the first leg up, then deep retracement (yellow).
Now, the second leg up kicked off.
Target 151, leg 2 = leg 1
Could price rise from here?AUD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 95.04
Why we like it
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 101.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 145.20
1st Support: 142.21
1st Resistance: 146.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY Pair Slips to 144.440: Are Bullish Opportunities Ahead?The USD/JPY currency pair experienced a decline to around 144.440 during Tuesday’s European session as the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure. Market participants appear increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is on track to begin reducing interest rates starting with its September meeting. This sentiment has kept the USD on the back foot, creating downward pressure on the pair.
However, a closer look at the current price action shows that USD/JPY is trading within a key demand zone. Analyzing JPY Futures reveals a notable divergence in positioning between different market players. While retail traders are predominantly bullish on the Yen, positioning data suggests that "smart money" — typically institutional traders and commercials — is heavily bearish. This positioning reflects an inverse pattern in the USD/JPY pair, where smart money is leaning long, and retail traders are skewed short.
Seasonality trends further bolster the case for a potential bullish reversal. Historical data over the past decade suggests that USD/JPY often embarks on a bullish trajectory around this time of year. This seasonal pattern, combined with current market positioning, could pave the way for a strong bullish impulse in the USD against the JPY.
With these factors in mind, traders should keep a close eye on upcoming price action for potential bullish opportunities in the USD/JPY pair.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
GBPJPY Confirmed long-term buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has recovered the late July sell-off and inserted again back within the 2-year Channel Up and even closed the last 2 weeks above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The latter technically confirmed the bottom and the start of the new Bullish Leg.
The first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, the second aimed even higher, so our 218.00 Target towards the peak of the Sine Wave appears to technically be a modest long-term Target.
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Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 146.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.15
Why we like it
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 142.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 145.20
1st Support: 142.21
1st Resistance: 146.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY Potential UpsideHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a buying opportunity around 189.700 zone, GBPJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 189.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDJPY for a buying opportunity around 89 zone, NZDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 145.20
1st Support: 144.16
1st Resistance: 147.93
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Is Approaching a decent support areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 145.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 145.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Strong buy opportunity long-term.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 17 2022 High. The recent 6-week correction below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is its technical Bearish Leg in order to price new Higher Low.
The pull-back even broke below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) but recovered as it didn't close a 1W candle below it and now the price action has settled within the 1W MA50 and MA100.
If we do get a 1W candle closing below the MA100, wait for a buy near the bottom of the Channel Up, with the least risky buy being after the 1W MACD makes a Bullish Cross (has confirmed the last 2 major long-term rallies).
If it breaks above the 1W MA50 first though, the 1W MACD will most likely also complete its Bullish Cross earlier, so we will buy nonetheless, even though the reward potential will be less. In either case, our Target is Resistance 1 (as it was on the rally that peaked on the week of November 13 2023) at 161.800.
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Bullish rise?GBP/JPY has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 189.50
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 185.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 195.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/JPY pick your side - Because this isn't easyI was asked to do an analysis on GBP/JPY
And It's like trying to get blood out of a stone.
It's premature right now and I just can't see any definitive direction.
By intuition, I would say I am more bullish than bearish.
There is a Potential Falling Flag and a Potential Cup and Handle forming on it and the price definitely needs to go higher to close above.
Then I'll have more leeway for doing a proper analysis.
The target I guess is at 205.86
Nature: MPT
Price<20 and <200
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 161.19
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 165.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 145.97
1st Support: 144.16
1st Resistance: 147.31
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
