EUR/JPY looks ready to ripThe ECB are expected to cut their benchmark rate for the first time in 8 years in a few hours. Yet as it has been so well telegraphed and they seem unlikely to provide promise of further cuts just yet, we suspect upside potential for euro pairs once the dust has settled. And with Wall Street at new highs and appetite for risk on the rise, EUR/JPY looks good for long setups.
A bullish inside day formed on Wednesday, and whilst it met resistance at the 2008 high it has since found support at the 20-day EMA. The daily chart shows prices holding above the daily pivot point, and a bullish engulfing candle has formed with a bullish RSI divergence. A bullish flag also appears to be forming.
The bias remains bullish above 169, although the 20-day EMA or cycle lows can be used to aid with risk management if momentum turns higher. A break above 170 brings the daily R2 / 61.8% projection into focus, and the flag suggests a target just above the 170.72 highs.
J-jpy
Could USD/JPY bounce from here?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 154.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 153.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 156.38
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURJPY to remain mixed and volatile?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 169.95 (stop at 170.55)
Our profit targets will be 168.45 and 168.15
Resistance: 171.20 / 175.50 / 178.55
Support: 167.35 / 164.30 / 161.90
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Could GBP/JPY reverse from here?Price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 199.30
1st Support: 197.45
1st Resistance: 200.69
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot point which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 169.45
1st Support: 167.39
1st Resistance: 170.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?CAD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 113.02
1st Support: 111.66
1st Resistance: 114.23
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY (Bearish trend )USDJPY technical analyse
The price has a bearish pressure because can be stabilized under the strong barrier which is 155.445, so the bearish station is 154.700 and 154.260, and the next bearish station will be activated by breaking the support zone means under 154.260 to get 152.850
Pivot line: 155.400
Resistance line: 155.950, 156.590, 157.970
Support line: 154.260, 152.850, 150.770
The expected trading range is between support 152.850 and Resistance 155.500
USDJPY, short across transit levels to 156.64Hi, friend. Jena want to fall after bulls accumulated in golden ellipse zone i marked. We have powerful downward tendency for monday. All interesting market price in chart window.
Dont forget to support me. And have a nice trading week. 💪
Also remember that forex like another exchange tipes its a real time process with many "x" and "y" situations. Market situation is constantly changing. And an idea is relevant for some certain period until situation changes.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - CHFJPY - (4th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing CHFJPY, starting from the 12-Month chart.
- R2F
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.60
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 155.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 11 - SGDJPY - (1st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing SGDJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
NZDJPY Approaching the top of 3.5 years Channel Up. Strong sell.The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows trend-line).
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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 10 - EURJPY - (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 169.40
1st Support: 167.40
1st Resistance: 171.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 23.6% Fibonacci support?GBP/JPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 198.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 195.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 200.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY Buy signal initiated. Channel Up intact.The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below):
The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has bee the -0.382 Fib extension.
The 1D RSI is also posting that pre break-out consolidation. As a result we turn bullish again on this pair, targeting 116.500 (slightly below the -0.382 Fib).
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USDJPY Analysis. Swing trade signal.Hello everyone i want share my idea about USDJPY Price action.
After huge uptrend, we saw some strong sellers which active after strong downside movement of JPY index. Japan government said in 2024 they will change monetary policy which was signal for swing traders, JPY index had pretty bad 2 years, it was coming strong downside, after this statement of Japan government it was first strong buyers, who really show strong buyside interest.
If we will look at Dollar index, it how us 2 thing price is still in uptrend at the moment, but after bad economical news of US government we can see sellers has control price, also if we look at us20 bond index we will see price came into downtrend which is i think additional signal of Dollar index bearish movement.
About USDJPY index, at higher timeframe, we are still in uptrend, but at the chart sellers trying to take control at price, we saw rejection from 4h fair value gap, this zone has tested after huge downside movement. 4h fair value gap and Fibonacci high sell zone is in same place but lets see what price action we will have, how i mentioned about Dollar index and JPY index, i am bearish at the pair.
I have some scenes which actually will approve i am right or not.
Always make your own research!!!
USDJPY WEEKLY OUTLOOK### Weekly Market Outlook
Monday: The week begins quietly with a U.S. bank holiday in observance of Memorial Day, leading to subdued financial markets.
Tuesday: Focus shifts to Japan for the release of the BoJ core CPI y/y. In the United States, the CB Consumer Confidence data will be closely monitored.
Wednesday: Key inflation data from Australia will be released, offering insights into the RBA's upcoming monetary policy decisions.
Thursday: A series of significant U.S. economic indicators will be published, including preliminary GDP q/q figures, unemployment claims, and pending home sales. These data points are crucial for understanding the U.S. economic trajectory.
Friday: The week concludes with several important releases. Japan will report its Tokyo core CPI y/y and industrial production data. The eurozone will release its CPI figures, the final print before the next ECB meeting. In the United States, the core PCE price index m/m, personal income m/m, and personal spending m/m data will be released, providing a comprehensive view of recent consumer activity.
Throughout the week, several FOMC members are scheduled to speak, potentially offering insights into future monetary policy. Additionally, Barclays suggests that month-end rebalancing might signal strong dollar selling, a factor to consider in trading decisions.
In the U.S., CB Consumer Confidence is expected to decline from 97.0 to 96.1. Analysts at Wells Fargo highlight a discrepancy: consumer spending has recently increased, while consumer confidence has declined since the beginning of the year, reaching its lowest level since 2022. This decline in confidence may stem from persistent concerns about rising prices, despite a drop in inflation from its peak. Additionally, a slight rise in unemployment has contributed to a less optimistic economic outlook.
Technical Analysis:
The price continues to experience bullish pressure towards 157.970, with a potential further rise to 159.820 upon breaking this level.
A correction to 156.590 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. The bearish scenario will be triggered if the support line at 156.590 is broken, potentially leading to a drop to 155.940 and 155.445
Pivot line: 156.590
Resistance line: 157.970, 159.82, 161.820
Support line: 155.950, 155.450, 154.700
The expected trading range is between support 155.450 and Resistance 157.970
previous weekly idea:
USDJPY, growth must be. Long (in time) accumulation.Hi friend. I write this idea becouse we have difficult to analyse accumulation process on USDJPY market. For the first market formed medium bears accumulation zone "1" between 156.88 - 157.14 then bulls entering at zone "2" - 156.7 - 156.94. I put my SL at 156.6 and waiting growth to strong resist level 157.46. Suppport me;)