Must-know events for the trading week Must-know events for the trading week
The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data.
Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari revealed that he had anticipated two interest rate cuts this year. However, he noted that if inflation remains sluggish, no cuts may be necessary. This outcome would really surprise the market, which is mostly still expecting three cuts, starting in June.
Headline inflation is expected to rise for a second consecutive period to 3.4%, while the core rate is projected to decline to 3.7%, reaching its lowest level since April 2021.
In Europe, all eyes will be on the European Central Bank's meeting, where current interest rates are anticipated to be maintained. The likelihood of future rate cuts will be assessed by the market at the same time.
In Japan, investors will be monitoring potential intervention actions from the Bank of Japan to support the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda will also be speaking during the week regarding the central bank's future steps.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. The RBNZ's latest forecast from February suggests that the OCR will remain steady until early to mid-2025, despite expressing increased confidence based on recent data.
J-jpy
NZDJPY possible dropAfter price impulsed to the upside to take out previously formed trend line liquidity, it preceded to break structure to the downside to continue with its bearish trend. We see a similar impulse happening that takes out recently formed trend line liquidity. This impulse quickly reverses after tapping into an extreme supply zone that was formed during the bearish push. It then gave us a confirmed change of character on lower time frame. Zooming in, we find that price has currently formed liquidity that it could use to fuel its move further to the downside after filling in some imbalance, taking out our recently formed low and its liquidity.
NZDJPY, Bullish trend. NZDJPY / 1D
Greetings, traders! Welcome back to another market analysis.
The NZDJPY pair has been following a bullish trend, with the price indicating signs of strength in the last week. This breakout suggests the possibility of further upward movement. I intend to consider entering positions at lower prices following confirmation of the lower time frame during the next pull-back phase.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Eurjpy and Audjpy looking for looks if jpy continue weakensHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If Jpy is still showing weakness, then likely i am looking at both AJ and EJ to look for long opportunities
But do keep in mind if BOJ gonna dish out stuns on its interventions.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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❌we will soon have a correction❌It is very likely that we will soon have a correction to the targets of 149.420 and 148.000 in this currency pair. Pay attention that this analysis is in the daily time frame and the trigger to enter the trade is the breaking of the 150.00 level down in the 1-hour time frame.
CADJPY is approaching a significant zoneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring CADJPY for a buying opportunity around 112.300 zone, CADJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 112.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY to find support at previous resistance?GBPJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
A lower correction is expected.
Previous resistance level of 191.55 broken.
Bespoke support is located at 191.35.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 191.35 (stop at 190.85)
Our profit targets will be 192.55 and 192.85
Resistance: 192.35 / 193.00 / 193.50
Support: 191.35 / 190.85 / 190.25
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buy GBPJPY Channel BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 190.50. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the channel, now acting as potential support zones:
191.25: This represents the first level of resistance within the channel.
191.61: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 190.25. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
CADJPY: Riding the Bullish Wave Towards New HighsHi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of FX:CADJPY
CADJPY is currently trading above the EMA90 line, indicating a robust bullish trend . The formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern further supports this trend continuation. On March 28, 2024, the price broke out of the symmetrical triangle pattern with a bullish full-body candlestick , affirming the bullish sentiment. Subsequently, an inside bar pattern emerged, and the recent breakout above its high suggests a potential upward movement toward the first target area. A retracement to the previous resistance zone is anticipated after reaching the first target, followed by a potential push toward a new high or the second target.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY."
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EURJPY's Upward Momentum and Opportunities AheadThe EURJPY pair has shown promising strength after a corrective phase from its peak on March 21, 2024. Today, it successfully breached a significant resistance level at 163.322, providing a stronger confirmation of the existing bullish momentum. With this noteworthy breakout, the allure of a Long position becomes increasingly compelling.
Technical Analysis:
On the 4-hour timeframe, EURJPY is currently trading above several key moving averages, including the SMA 7, SMA 24, and SMA 150. This indicates clear bullish strength, especially after a prolonged correction period. The breakout from the resistance level at 163.322 adds confidence to further bullish momentum, with technical indicators suggesting potential for higher moves.
Fundamental Insights (JPY):
Despite the Bank of Japan's exit from negative interest rate policy, BOJ Governor Ueda has reiterated the commitment to continue purchasing Japan Bonds and refrain from raising interest rates. This monetary policy stance has triggered sustained weakness in the Japanese yen, evident from its recent depreciation. With supportive fundamental conditions, yen weakness adds impetus for the EURJPY pair to continue its bullish trend.
Trade Targets:
- Target 1: 164.414
- Target 2: 165.380
- Target 3: 167.252
These targets are calculated using Fibonacci ratios, with Target 3 reaching approximately 140% of the previous rally and the historical resistance. Each target offers potential for significant gains for traders entering Long positions.
Risks to Consider:
- Sudden shifts in market sentiment or unforeseen fundamental developments may impact the direction of EURJPY movements.
- Market volatility and the possibility of retracement during the journey towards the take profit targets should be duly noted.
With a strong confirmation of bullish breakout and support from both technical and fundamental analyses, Long positions in EURJPY present enticing profit opportunities. However, it is essential to remain vigilant of risks and manage them prudently with every trade executed.
EURJPY to find resistance at the current market level?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Our short term bias remains negative.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Weekly pivot is at 163.55.
We look to Sell at 163.55 (stop at 164.05)
Our profit targets will be 162.65 and 162.45
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDJPY: Your Trading Plan Ahead of FED 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is currently accumulating within a narrow horizontal range on a daily.
It looks like the market participants are waiting for some important fundamental data
to decide where to push the prices.
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish
151.70 - 152.00 is a key horizontal resistance.
Its bullish breakout - a daily candle close above, will be a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be anticipated at least to 153.0 level then.
Bearish
151.0 - 151.3 is the support of a daily range.
Its bearish breakout - a daily candle close below, will be a perfect signal to short.
The first goal for the sellers will be 150.3 support.
Wait for a breakout, it will give you a strong confirmation.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USD/JPY will break 152 soon(4/3/2024)USD/JPY is consolidating under the resistance zone. it's alarming that the 152 zones will be broken soon.
It has been 3 times when the price reached the 152 zone and every time we see the reaction becomes smaller and weaker.
This is not a buy signal because maybe BOJ is attempting to manipulate the market.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 163.500 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 163.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDJPY to form a lower high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 90.60.
We look to Sell at 90.60 (stop at 90.84)
Our profit targets will be 90.00 and 89.85
Resistance: 90.60 / 90.80 / 91.10
Support: 90.20 / 89.90 / 89.60
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
📈 CAD/JPY Review 📉📈 CAD/JPY Review 📉
CAD/JPY saw a notable rise last week, reaching the previous week's high before encountering resistance, forming a compelling setup in lower time frames. 🚀📉 Target levels are clearly outlined on the chart, with focus shifting towards last week's low. 🎯 Overall, a promising opportunity seems to be brewing in the CAD/JPY pair. Keep a close eye for potential entry points! 💼💰 #TradingView #ForexTrading 🌐
NZDJPY Channel Up Buy SignalThe NZDJPY pair is on a Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Up, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term support. In fact the latter has been holding since June 02 2023.
The minimum Bearish Leg decline within this pattern has been -3.77% so having almost completed this fall during the current pull-back, we now turn bullish on this pair, targeting 94.500 (+5.44% rise, which has been the minimum % increase of Bullish Legs within this pattern).
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CADJPY Triangle break-out buyThe CADJPY pair delivered us a very strong buy opportunity last time we made a buy call on it (December 22 2023, see chart below) :
Moving back to the 1D time-frame, the pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 07 2023 Low. Currently on its 2nd Bullish Leg, the price has entered a Triangle consolidation, similar to the pattern of January - February.
So far the fractals appear to be quite identical as following a +3.34%, the price pulled-back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is at the moment holding. As long as it continues to do so, we expect a bullish break-out similar to February's towards the -0.382 Fib extension, hence our Target is 113.500.
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Potential bearish drop from swing high resistancePrice is currently on the swing high resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 151.809
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Stop loss: 152.303
Why we like it:
There is an alignment of the 78.6% Fibonacci projection
Take profit: 151.032
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Wait for the 1day MA50 to break.GBPJPY is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone.
Every time the 1day MA50 broke downwards, the pattern gave a sell signal with the minimum decline on the Bearish Wave being -4.17%.
If the price does break under the 1day MA50, sell and target 185.500.
The 1day RSI is already on a Bearish Divergence.
Previous chart:
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AUDJPY to find buyers at market price?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 98.60.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 99.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 98.60 (stop at 98.32)
Our profit targets will be 99.30 and 99.50
Resistance: 99.00 / 99.10 / 99.25
Support: 98.60 / 98.50 / 98.35
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Potential reversal from overlap resistance levelPrice is currently at an overlap resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 163.446
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 164.364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 162.661
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.