Weekly FOREX Forecast Oct. 28: USDJPY Is a BUY This Week! The JPY has been weak and will continue to trend downward. The USD is supported by favoring fundamentals, and will likely continue its current bullish leg.
Patience will pay you this week. Wait for valid buy setups. Sells are countertrend and lower probability, imo.
Buy USDJPY. Sell JPY Futures.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
J-jpy
USDJPYaccording tecnical market is bullish for next week as well in my prediction jpy will reach back to 161 to its previus high till end of or before november. chart is clear to understand, dont forget to cheack weekly chart according to breakout. fvg is still valid for a spike. leave a comment for your thought.
CADJPY: Accumulating under the 1W MA50. Low risk buy.CADJPY is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.003, MACD = 0.700, ADX = 25.174) as it hit this week the 1W MA50 for the first time in 3 months. Rejection or not, historical price action shows that every time it tests it coming from a bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, the price breaks it and goes for a HH. The 1W MACD just made this week the new Bullish Cross and the last time it did so on such a low level, it was on April 3rd 2023, exactly at the start of the previous bullish wave. We expect initiallt the price to approach the R1 level, which is our Target (TP = 118.000), like the price did on June 26 2023.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EURJPY | MarketoutlookThe policy divergence between the US Fed and SNB supports the pair at lower levels.
Jobless claims dropped to 227,000 for the week ending October 19, down from 242,000 the week before, suggesting some stability in the labor market. The four-week moving average rose by 6,750, reaching 231,000, which indicates that jobless claims are still showing fluctuations despite the recent decline.
The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 47.8 in October, up from 47.3 in September. However, this still shows that manufacturing activity is contracting for the fourth month in a row. On the other hand, the Flash Services PMI rose to 51.5, indicating modest growth in the services sector, which is important since it makes up a large part of the U.S. economy.
USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout with Potential Buy Opportunity"USD/JPY has just broken out of a trendline resistance. I have identified a green zone as a support level below. My idea is that if the price pulls back to this support zone, we could see buyers step back in, offering a strong opportunity to go long and push the price higher. Waiting for confirmation of a bounce in this zone before entering a long position.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 195.64
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 193.68
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 198.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 152.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 154.94
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 150.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 621.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?CAD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 110.94
1st Support: 109.71
1st Resistance: 111.77
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The yen is losing strength due to the strong dollar.
The dollar continues to strengthen as a result of the robust US economy. Conversely, the yen's value is deteriorating due to uncertainty surrounding the BoJ's interest rate policy and the dovish stance of committee members. Last week's release of US September retail sales and unemployment claims data reaffirmed US’ strong spending power and solid job market conditions, eliminating any possibility of a 50bp cut. Fed Director Christopher Waller stressed the importance of exercising caution regarding additional rate cuts as the US economy continues to perform at a satisfactory level without any recession concerns.
USDJPY rose sharply to 152.30 following a rebound at EMA78. The price sustains an uptrend within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish momentum. If USDJPY breaches the channel’s upper bound and the resistance at 153.70, the price may gain upward momentum toward 157.00. Conversely, if USDJPY breaks the support at 151.00, the price may fall further to 148.50, where both EMAs coincide.
US bond bloodbath powers USD/JPY above key levelHigher US Treasury yields has propelled USD/JPY through the 200DMA and 151.95, the latter an important technical level corresponding with prior episodes of Bank of Japan intervention.
If it manages to hold above 151.95, traders could consider buying the break with a tight stop either below it or the 200DMA for protection. There's little visible resistance evident until above 155, and even then it's minor. 155.40 is one potential target.
Given yield differentials between the US and Japan, you could argue USD/JPY should be higher based on where it traded earlier this year when spreads sat at similar levels.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 152.59
1st Support: 150.36
1st Resistance: 154.71
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY: Medium term correction.GBPJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.018, MACD = 1.270, ADX = 45.334) but on a decreasing rate as the aggressive rise has taken a pause and the price, despite inside a Channel Up since August, has turned sideways since October 4th on the 4H MA50. We expect the bearish wave of the Channel Up to start any day now. Even though the previous targeted the 0.618 Fib, we will aim for the 0.5 this time (TP = 190.000) as the decline may start a little higher than the current price. Keep in mind that the best trigger to sell will be a 1D MACD Bearish Cross.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
GBPJPY H4 - Short Signal GBPJPY H4
We have made a slight adjustment to our trading zone here on GBPJPY. Moving the zone from 195 psychological price, up 60 points to around 195.600. Slight adjustments to accommodate for the recent high press attempts. Supply and resistance no doubt evident on this 195.600 price, stops now covering recent wick high prices of 196.100, with a breathing space of 5-10 points.
We are ranging really nicely here, whilst stops may seem quite large, this is a fast moving pair, and the profit target it also large. This pair has been moving 100’s of points in very quick succession over the past few weeks. The range measures a healthy 200-250 points until support price/TP target.
USDJPY moves sideways on positive conditionsAs the US presidential election is approaching, uncertainties will become the main focus of the market. Signs that former President Donald Trump's chances of winning the November election are increasing could contribute to the dollar's overall performance. can keep US interest rates high, thus increasing the appeal of the USD.
In the short term, the Bank of Japan's policy statement on October 31 is a notable factor in the near term for USD/JPY and the Bank of Japan's clear attitude towards the adjustment should be observed.
On the daily chart, OANDA:USDJPY continues to move sideways but in terms of the overall picture, the possibility of price increases still prevails.
The main uptrend is noted by the price channel with key support at EMA21, and as long as USD/JPY remains above EMA21 and within the price channel, it still has a technical upside prospect in the near term.
On the other hand, once USD/JPY breaks the confluence of the upper channel edge along with the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level it will have room to continue rising with a target then around 151.866 in the short term, more than Fibonacci level 0.618%.
The relative strength index is flat above 50 but has not yet reached the overbought area, showing that there is still room for price growth ahead.
The general assessment, trend and outlook of USD/JPY is technically bullish and notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 149.364 – 148.823 – 148.113
Resistance: 150,739 – 151,866
Usdjpy still seems upside but having zig zag moveHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Price actions still whips in a wedge, but general direction still up unless the structure fails. Let's watch this coming week for clearer picture!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
USDJPY ready to fly! FA: USDJPY
🏛 Pressure on the yen is exerted by data on inflation in Japan. Thus, the national consumer price index in September decreased from 3% to 2.5%, while the index excluding food and energy prices slightly increased from 2% to 2.1%. The current inflation dynamics is unlikely to contribute to the realization of the Bank of Japan's plans for further tightening of monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator has repeatedly noted that it will not change monetary parameters during the period of high volatility in the market.
📊 In turn, the dollar received additional support after the release of data on consumer activity in the United States. Thus, retail sales in September rose from 0.1% to 0.4%.
TA:
1. Uptrend on 1h time frame
2. Test ob on news in deep discount and nice bounce from it
4. Insane pin bar ( hammer ) on 1h time frame
3. liquidity sweep of Asian low
5. PDH as main target
AUD/JPY looks on the verge of a breakoutAnother strong employment report for Australia helped the Aussie dollar gain traction on Thursday. And with Wall Street stocks remaining supported amid a weak-yen environment, AUD/JPY could be nearing a bullish breakout.
AUD/JPY found support at the 200-day SMA on Wednesday and formed a bullish engulfing candle on Thursday. The 2-year AU-JP yield differential also appears set for another leg higher, which could help AUD/JPY break out of a potential bull flag.
The 102 handle sits near the monthly R1 pivot, making it an interim target. A break above which brings the June low and 103 handle into focus.
- Bulls could seek dips to the 100 handle and target the 102 and 103 handles
- A downside risk for this pair is if we enter a period of risk off
- A break beneath Wednesday's low invalidates the bullish bias
MS
USDJPY: 1H Rising Wedge approaching its top.USDJPY is almost overbought on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 69.322, MACD = 0.160, ADX = 19.927) as the price is approaching the top (HH) of the 10 day Rising Wedge. A 74.00 RSI has been the most optimal sell signal during the three past highs to start shorting. Wait for the opportunity and target the 0.5 Fib at least (TP = 149.645) as it has been the minimum target during the last two bearish waves.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 149.400 despite the US Dollar (USD) strengthening during Asian trading on Thursday. Later on Thursday, US retail sales data will come to the fore, which is estimated to rise to 0.3% in September from 0.1% in the previous reading.
The US economic data showed a resilient economy, with inflation rising slightly more than expected in September. This, in turn, could boost the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). LSEG calculations put the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November at nearly 100%, while the probability of the Fed pausing and keeping the federal funds rate in the target range of 4.75-5.0% is just 0.2%.
Nevertheless, ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election could strengthen safe-haven flows, which would favor the yen. A plan for Israel's response to an Iranian attack this month is ready, CNN reported. U.S. officials expect it to happen before the U.S. presidential election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said separately that Israel opposes a “unilateral ceasefire” in the war with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon.
On Friday, investors await national consumer price index (CPI) data for September for a fresh boost. The CPI excluding fresh food is expected to fall to 2.3% in September from 2.8% in August.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 150.000, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 90.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 91.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 90.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Pull back signalGBPJPY is trading on a Channel Up but has turne sideways recently, indicating a potential top.
The last major formation has been a Death Cross (1d) and last time we had one was on January 17 2023.
The similarities between the two patterns are strong.
The MA200 (1d) is holding for now, if it breaks it will be the sell trigger for the trade.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the MA200 (1d) breaks.
Targets:
1. 188.600 (above the 0.786 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading inside a Channel Up and also portrays similar attributes as the 2023 fractal.
Please like, follow and comment!!