USDJPY Potential DownsidesIn today's trading session, our primary focus is on USDJPY, where we are actively monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 142.500 zone. Presently entrenched in a downtrend, USDJPY demonstrates a sustained downward trajectory. Concurrently, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 142.500 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
Our strategic approach for today involves a meticulous assessment of optimal entry points within the identified 142.500 zone. Aligning our trading decisions with the ongoing downtrend and the potential market dynamics at the critical support and resistance area is crucial. Navigating the correction phase with precision is key as we aim to capitalize on the identified selling opportunity within the broader context of USDJPY's current trend.
J-jpy
CADJPY Confirmed buy signalThe CADJPY pair has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the March 2020 market bottom. The recent rejection on the 1.5 Fibonacci level back to the 0.5 show it test and hold an important Support, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has only broken once in 3 years (since November 2020) and that was during last year's inflation crisis.
As long as it holds, it is a strong buy opportunity and evidence for that is the 1W RSI which has printed the same pattern (Channel Down break into a rebound) as the September 26 2022 and August 16 2021 lows. Both initiated rebounds that hit their prior Resistance levels.
As a result, we are taking this opportunity to buy and target the previous Resistance (from the September 25 High) at 111.000.
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Japanese Yen Retreats on Soft Inflation, USD StrengthensFrom a technical standpoint, spot prices indicate a potential rebound below the 142.00 level, seemingly breaking the two-day downtrend. This suggests that the overnight break back below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is crucial support for bearish traders. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart remain firmly in negative territory, indicating minimal resistance for the USD/JPY pair on the downside. Therefore, any subsequent upward move may still be considered a selling opportunity and remains capped near the 142.75 level (200-day SMA). This implies that further buying activity, leading to a move beyond the 143.00 mark, could trigger short-covering actions and allow the bullish camp to reclaim the round figure of 144.00 in the short term.
On the flip side, weakness below the intraday low around the 141.90-141.85 region would reaffirm the short-term trend, making the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to a retest of the sub-141.00 level or the multi-month lows touched last week. The subsequent decline could potentially drive spot prices towards intermediate support at 140.45 on the way to the psychological milestone of 140.00.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesIn today's trading session, our attention is focused on USDJPY, as we actively monitor a potential selling opportunity around the 142.600 zone. Having previously traded in an uptrend, USDJPY has recently undergone a notable shift, successfully breaking out of the uptrend. Presently, the currency pair is in a correction phase, gradually approaching the retrace area at the crucial 142.600 support and resistance zone. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a pivotal juncture where the ongoing correction may encounter notable market forces.
Our strategic approach for today involves a careful assessment of optimal entry points within the identified 142.600 zone. Aligning our trading decisions with the recent trend reversal and the potential market dynamics at the critical support and resistance area is crucial. Navigating the correction phase with precision is key as we aim to capitalize on the identified selling opportunity within the broader context of USDJPY's current trend.
GBPJPY remains mixed and volatile.GBPJPY - 24h expiry
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 180.65 level.
We look to Buy at 180.65 (stop at 179.85)
Our profit targets will be 182.65 and 183.05
Resistance: 182.10 / 183.35 / 184.60
Support: 178.00 / 175.15 / 173.60
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURJPY: Buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel Up.EURJPY has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.011, MACD = -1.000, ADX = 41.208) as it held the 1D MA200 but remains restrained under the 1D MA50. This rebound however looks very much like the August 2nd 2022 1D MA200 rebound, which after it crossed over the 1D MA50, rallied to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. A 1D MACD Bullish Cross will confirm this signal and we turn bullish targeting under the 1.236 and the top of the Channel Up (TP = 168.000).
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USDJPY Potential DownsidesIn today's trading session, our primary focus is on USDJPY, as we carefully monitor a potential selling opportunity around the 145 zone. Presently entrenched in a downtrend, USDJPY demonstrates a sustained downward trajectory. Concurrently, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 145 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
Our strategic approach for today's session involves a thorough assessment of optimal entry points within the identified 145 zone. Aligning our trading decisions with the ongoing downtrend and the potential market dynamics at the critical support and resistance area is crucial. Navigating the correction phase with precision is key as we aim to capitalize on the identified selling opportunity within the broader context of USDJPY's current trend.
USDJPY: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇯🇵
We have spotted earlier a bearish trap on USDJPY.
As I predicted, the price nicely recovered.
We see one more bullish pattern now.
The pair formed an ascending triangle formation on a 4H time frame
and successfully violated its horizontal neckline.
The growth will most likely continue.
Goals will be: 144.0 / 144.7
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4 major currencies meltdownI see very much potential warning alert signal of 4 major currencies of the world.
4 major currencies that I am concerning are Dollar Japanese yen Euro & British Pound.
I was seeing major upgrade of dollar index and stronger dollar but after I hearing Fed's seminar last week and analyzed quadrople charts of yen euro dollar gbp and my decision to made to short all major 4 currencies.
rapidly decline of 4 major currencies occured by soverign debt dafults or major central bank policy mistakes. I will consider major mistake will be the troublemaker and trigger.
GBPJPY Strong rally if the MA50 (1d) breaks.GBPJPY is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone pattern with the price testing now for the 2nd time the MA50 (1d).
This test is coming only 3 days after the price hit the bottom of the Megaphone.
The previous bottom formations have been very similar to the current pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the pair closes a (1d) candle above the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 190.000 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has made a Double Bottom formation over the oversold level of 30.00.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
USDJPY: Detailed Structure Analysis 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY went up as I predicted.
Here are the important key structures to watch.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 140.9 - 141.9 area
Support 2: 137.2 - 138.1 area
Resistance 1: 146.2 - 146.8 area
Resistance 2: 148.2 - 148.6 area
Resistance 3: 149.6 - 150.4 area
Resistance 4: 151.7 - 152.0 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GBP/JPY Analysis – Moving Averages and Supply/Demand Bearish PerHello traders,
GBP/JPY has presented a potential bearish scenario amidst recent developments in the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA), coupled with supply and demand dynamics. Keep in mind that the upcoming Bank of England (BOE) interest rate decision on Thursday could influence the analysis, and traders should remain vigilant.
The 50 SMA has recently crossed below the 100 SMA, signaling a potential bearish momentum shift.
This crossover could indicate a trend reversal or the beginning of a downtrend.
Supply and Demand:
Entry Points:
Current Price (Market Entry): Given the recent bearish crossover, consider entering a short position at the current market price for potential continuation.
183.430 Level (Pending Entry): Another entry point could be around 183.430, aligning with a potential retracement to the moving average resistance.
Take Profit Points:
1st: Set the first take-profit point at 176.360, which aligns with a significant support level. This level could pose a challenge for further downward movement.
2nd: The second take-profit point is set at 180.400, considering potential resistance and supply in that region.
Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders above key resistance levels or recent swing high please.
Evaluate risk-reward ratios before entering trades and adjust position sizes accordingly.
CHFJPY Breaking above the 1D MA50 and confirming the buy.The CHFJPY pair hit our 169.100 bullish target, after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) held, as presented on our November 06 call (see chart below):
The current Bullish Megaphone that it has been trading in, has been very consistent. The recent Higher Low was made on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level such as the October 03. That was the first buy signal but now that the price is breaking above the 1D MA50 (needs to also close the candle above), we have the confirmation. On top of that, the 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
The previous Higher High was priced exactly on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension so as a result we will target the new -0.236 Fib at 172.500.
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GBPJPY Technical Analysis 19.12.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed small Bullish around 180.550 within the recent Daily range as price consolidates on the lower timeframe.
– Buys on close above 181.100 targeting 4h Resistance around 181.560, Leaving Runners to the 30min Resistance formed around 181.950.
– Sells on close below 180.070 targeting 1h previous Resistance formed on 14th December 2023 around 179.370, Leaving Runners to the 1h Support formed around 179.010.
– High Impact News ahead of the Asian session for the Japanese Yen for review on interest rates, Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, Monetary Policy Statement, Bank Of Japan Policy Rate followed by Bank Of Japan Press Conference, High Volatility expected
USDJPY The 4hour MA50 is the sell signal you wantUSDJPY is trading inside a Falling Megaphone pattern.
Every 4hour MA50 test since Nov 16th has been a sell signal, with the price action producing 5 so far.
Sell on the next near test. Target the dashed line at 140.000, which is also near the 1 year Rising Support.
Previous chart:
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GBP/JPY 1D I DONT LIKE THIS PAIR
trading areas, in my opinion, the price will bounce from them. I added a horizontal line to stop loss. As for the profit, it depends on the method of taking some of the profit and completing with the rest, and so on.
The analysis depends on the gaps between the tails of the candles from which the price bounced at least once.
warning . I do not know the unseen. This analysis may be correct or it may be wrong. Please be wise
USDJPY: Is That a Bearish Trap?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Feels like we have a bearish trap on USDJPY.
The pair looks very oversold after FOMC yesterday.
Testing the key daily structure, the price went below that
but then quickly recovered, making me think that the violation was false.
We can anticipate a pullback now to 142.76
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AUDJPY Our trading plan on this Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair gave us the pull-back we wanted last time (November 03) and delivered a buy opportunity that hit our 97.675 target (see chart below):
The price has since pull-back and rebounded just before testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though it is still restrained below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), as long as the 1D MA200 holds, we expect this sequence to be the new bullish leg of the Channel Up, similar to the post July 28 bottom. The Higher High that followed, peaked just above the 1.136 Fibonacci extension level and as a result, our current target is 99.300.
If however the price breaks and closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will take the loss and attempt to cover it by shorting towards 91.800 (Support 1).
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