J-jpy
There is a very good potential for usdjpy to dropIn the daily time frame, the price has reached its resistance
In the 4-hour time frame, the price has broken its long-term uptrend line that started on July 14, 2023.
For better confirmation, it needs to break the price of 148.900, but in this current area, it is also a good signal for a sell position to the price of 145.900.
US Dollar Steadies as Market Awaits Economic Data, Yen SoftensIn early European trading, the US dollar steadied near a one-week high against a basket of currencies, holding at 103.559 on the Dollar Index. This stability follows a period of weakness in November, marked by traders anticipating significant rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming year. However, recent actions have seen a shift in sentiment as investors scaled back on dovish expectations, waiting for crucial economic indicators this week, including job openings, ISM services activity data, and the highly anticipated nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.
Amid this anticipation, the Japanese yen experienced a slight dip against the dollar, trading at 147.08, influenced by concerns over inflation. Tokyo's Core CPI for November showed a decrease to 2.3%, down from October's 2.7% and below the expected 2.4%. The Bank of Japan remains cautious about tightening its monetary policy despite persistent inflation above the 2% target, citing the need for sustained wage growth for long-term inflation sustainability. The BoJ's upcoming meeting in mid-December will be closely watched for any potential policy shifts.
As for the US, focus is on the imminent release of the ISM Services PMI, being for November hovering around 52.7 after October's decline to 51.8. Meanwhile, technical analysis for USD/JPY indicates resistance levels at 148.77 and 147.72, with support at 146.48 and 145.96
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GBPJPY D1 - Long SignalGBPJPY is flirting between this 185 support price and 188 region, a solid 300 point range, we are hopeful to see a pullback and another opportunity to enter long from this 185 psychological price zone. From here we can look to targets 1R, 3R, 6R respectively.
A lucrative setup, with lots of mileage upside, nothing to say we can't target 190.00.
USDJPY: Bottom of Channel Up. Time to decide.USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since the start of the year, with the 1D technical outlook just turning red (RSI = 40.803, MACD = -0.760, ADX = 32.756) as the price reached its bottom under the 1D MA100. The 1D RSI shows a rounded bottom, as it did on March 24th, so it is an optimal level to buy and target the R1 level (TP = 152.000).
Since though the November 13th top and rejection happaned on that R1 level itself, it is not impossible to see the Channel Up finally break and start a long term correction. Consequently if the price crosses under the dotted trendline, we will target the 1D MA200 initially (TP1 = 143.050) and following a relief rebound, eventually aim for the S1 level (TP2 = 138.085).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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NJ,trend still pushing for more upside?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
NJ on the higher timeframe of D1 and H4 still bullish to me. Decent pullback should be buying and good for swing long up.
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"JPY Surges to Three-Month High Against USD"The Japanese Yen extended its robust upward momentum against the US Dollar on Friday and kicked off the new week with a positive sign, pulling the USD/JPY pair to a nearly three-week low around the 146.25-146.20 range during the Asian trading session. The US Dollar is attempting to recover from its lowest point in two and a half months at 146.65, supported by a slight rebound in US Treasury yields, which is exerting pressure on the Japanese Yen.
On Thursday, New York Fed President John Williams suggested that interest rates could reach their highest point, supporting this perspective. In this context, the analysis of Fed Chairman Powell's conference later today will be closely scrutinized to evaluate the central bank's next steps.
On the other hand, growing expectations that the Bank of Japan may move away from its extremely accommodative monetary policy by 2024 are providing some support for the JPY.
From a broader perspective, this currency pair maintains a downward trend from its mid-November high near 152.00, with a resistance level at 148.75 likely to limit the upward movement before the late November peak at 149.75. Support levels are identified at 147.77 and 146.65.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 147.200 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 147.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY 3/12/23US dollar to the Japanese yen giving us some very clean movements within its bearish range we're looking for the swing load to be ran for this bearishness to continue unless we have a break off the swing high we will continue to be bearish on this pair as it stands no other entries until we break out of this swing low we'll be watching the first few sessions of the week to see your price would like to establish itself.
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 98.200 zone, AUDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 98.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/JPY Remains Bearish Trend: What Comes Next?After descending from a double top formation at 151.54, USD/JPY established a support level at 148.25. However, it has recently breached this support, indicating a potential move towards the next support level at 145.53.
Investor attention was captivated early on Friday by Japan's unemployment data. The unemployment rate saw a decline from 2.6% to 2.5% in October. Additionally, the jobs-to-applications ratio edged up from 1.29 to 1.30, reflecting further positive developments in the job market, despite expectations for these figures to remain steady.
The strengthening labor market in Japan may bolster consumer spending. Increased consumer activity could spur demand-driven inflation, which might lead to a shift in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy, particularly regarding the current negative interest rates.
AUDJPY SHORT(Did this publishing on my mobile app.) On the Daily timeframe, a potential ABC pattern has been spotted. If you look left, the ABC pattern from the past is what I’m referring to. The RSI is overbought at this level and there is also a potential divergence being created between price and RSI. Buyers seem to still want to push but the effort in action seems like it’s gassing. Took an initial entry with a 1:1 setup and may start planning for an additional entry depending on price movement down the road. This is a weekly/ daily trade and will take some time. Not advice. If stop loss gets hit, we will reassess.
AUDJPY: Holding Below the 21-SMA after a Bearish Shark RejectionThe AUDJPY has come up to test the PCZ of this Bearish Shark two times so far and it is now trying to come up for a third but has been slowed down by the 21SMA. If the 21 SMA manages to keep it down I think we can get an impulsive move down to around the 800EMA at 92.50
GBPJPY → The bullish trend will continue, but... FX:GBPJPY is forming a set-up within the ascending channel, which predicts the continuation of the trend, but for this the price needs to overcome the resistance at 188.28.
On D1 we can see that fundamentally and technically the national currency of Great Britain looks much stronger than the Japanese currency, although Tokyo has been trying hard to strengthen the currency lately, which technically works, but only against the background of the weakening of the dollar index.
From the point of view of technical analysis, the price is pushing away from the support of the ascending channel and continues to forge the ascending triangle, a false breakdown of the resistance was formed earlier, but there is no fall, which could change the trend. The price is returning to the resistance, which only confirms the target level: 188.28. A break of this resistance will continue to form an impulse, which will only continue the trend. The moving averages are supporting the trend.
Support levels: 186.8, 0.236 fibo, 0.382 fibo
Resistance levels: 187.13, 187.55 188.28
The market outlook is bullish, at least for the moment. There are no prerequisites for a possible breakout of support, so we stick to the realization of the bullish scenario.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDJPY ShortI usually publish daily charts but will now switch to 4 hour. There looks to be rsi divergence between the 4 hour, daily, and weekly timeframes (dotted line). Price has been rising on low decreasing buyer volume recently. Started a leg here and am looking for a 20% to 40% fib retracement of the previous macd low. Buyers seem to be staggering a bit at this resistance zone on this timeframe. Buyers are still fighting pretty good on the daily and weekly but im focusing on the rsi divergence with the 4 hour volume to price divergence. Not advice. What do you think?
GBPJPY Cyclical sell opportunityIt's been quite long since we had a short-term trade (see chart below) on the GBPJPY pair:
This time we found an excellent long-term sell opportunity on the 1W time-frame. As you can see it is cyclical in nature having emerged by the rejection of the price on the Higher Highs trend-line of the 4-month Ascending Triangle.
The cyclical characterization stems from the comparison with the October 18 2021 rejection on a similar Ascending Triangle Higher High trend-line. The whole structure of the two fractals looks very much alike as they both started off with an aggressive expansion phase that led to the Triangle. The Higher High rejection then, led to a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test. We are aiming for that same 1W MA50 test, expecting it to make contact with the bottom of the Ascending Triangle at 178.500.
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