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Japanese Yen Nears 33-Year Low Amid Powell's Rate Hike SignalThe Japanese yen faced rapid depreciation today, approaching levels not seen in 33 years, following signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell that interest rate hikes may continue amid concerns about persistent inflation. The yen traded at 151.44 against the US dollar, showing a slight 0.06% increase from the previous session. On Thursday, Powell reiterated hawkish views on interest rates, challenging market expectations that had predicted rate cuts in 2024. His comments underscored doubts about achieving the Fed's 2% inflation target with the current policy framework, leading the market to reconsider the potential for rate cuts in mid-2024 from June to July. This stance contributed to the yen's worst performance since August, with a monthly decline of 1.42%. The currency's notable slide over the past month hit a one-year low of 151.72 against the dollar on October 31 and is now approaching levels not seen since 151.96. The sharp decline of the yen has drawn the attention of Japan's Ministry of Finance (MOF), raising growing concerns about the need for intervention in the currency market to stabilize the yen and minimize potential impacts on the Japanese economy. The MOF closely monitors these developments as currency exchange rates hover near a crucial level that previously prompted official action.
by Larissa-Trader
6
GBPJPY: Great sell opportunity approaching.GBPJPY is on a bullish technical outlook on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 66.035, MACD = 3.180, ADX = 33.852) but a great sell opportunity may be emerging as the 1W RSI Bearish Divergence crossed above the MA just like the on October 4th 2021. That was the third top on that pattern much like the one that is being formed now. Technically next week we should see the top. Our target is a little over the S1 level (TP = 178.500). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
2
USDJPY: Shorting NowNot sure if this is the big short or not yet, but looking at price action it's been a jog up to this point, rather than a sprint, this tells me we're fine to short until at least the ascending dynamic trendline that reversed the last short. We have an engulfing candle on the 1 hour, followed by a long-body doji, so I think we're going to see a push down. If we go below then that's my reversal sign for bigger lots. The problem is history tells us BoJ will intervene, this type of knowledge can force people to get in big too soon. Let's see what happens from here, SL above the last high.
Short
by Finchcliffe
USDJPY Analysis 10-11-23Yesterday, we were anticipating that the USDJPY could trade lower on further weakness of the DXY. However, as the DXY strengthened, we see the USDJPY trade higher to approach the key resistance level of 151.70. Expect to see choppy price action at this level, but the overall directional bias should see the USDJPY retest the resistance level and possibly even 152 before a possible reversal (either due to an intervention from the BoJ or just due to an accumulation of sell orders at the resistance level)
Short
by JinDao_Tai
1
NZDJPY to find buyers at market?NZDJPY - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 90.00 will confirm the bullish momentum. The RSI is trending higher. We look to Buy at 89.40 (stop at 89.00) Our profit targets will be 90.40 and 90.60 Resistance: 90.00 / 90.25 / 90.50 Support: 89.50 / 89.25 / 89.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
USDJPY: Start selling, Channel Up about to form its High.USDJPY is approaching the R1 level (152.000), which is the October 21 2022 High that caused an immediate bearish reversal. The 1D MA50 is supporting a steady technical uptrend on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.333, MACD = 0.530, ADX = 16.176) but the RSI is descending, showing a potential bearish divergence. We consider the current level good enough to start shorting for a correction to the Channel Up bottom (TP = 145.500). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
2
Celebrate the Yen's Historic Low Against Euro and Dollar Picture this: the yen, once a mighty force in the currency market, is now presenting us with an incredible chance to capitalize on its current weakness. It's time to put on your trading hats and consider going long on the yen! Now, you might be wondering, "Why should I care about the yen's historic low?" Well, my fellow traders, let me break it down for you. A weaker yen means that it takes more yen to purchase the same amount of euros or dollars. This situation can lead to potentially lucrative opportunities for those who are willing to take action. Here's where the excitement builds up: by going long on the yen, you have the chance to profit from its potential recovery against the euro and the dollar. As the yen gradually strengthens, you can ride the wave and watch your profits grow. It's like catching a rising star in the currency sky! So, how can you seize this golden opportunity? Here are a few steps to get you started: 1. Conduct thorough research: Dive into the current market trends, analyze historical data, and keep an eye on any relevant news or economic indicators that may impact the yen's future performance. 2. Develop a trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and trading goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your potential gains. 3. Stay informed: Continuously monitor the market and stay updated on any developments that may affect the yen's trajectory. Being aware of market sentiment and adapting your strategy accordingly will help you stay ahead of the game. 4. Utilize risk management tools: Remember, trading involves risks. Implement risk management techniques such as setting appropriate position sizes, using stop-loss orders, and diversifying your portfolio to protect your investments. 5. Seize the moment: When you feel confident in your analysis and strategy, take action! Execute your trades and keep a close eye on the yen's performance to make timely adjustments if needed. Remember, my fellow traders, fortune favors the bold! The yen's historic low against the euro and the dollar presents a unique opportunity for those who are willing to take action and ride the potential wave of yen appreciation. So, let's embrace this exciting moment and make the most of it!
by bryandowningqln
USDJPY: Still waiting for BoJ InterventionI don't believe the BoJ have gotten involved yet, or if they have it's going under the radar. I believe this pair has only slipped due to USD retracement following the NFP and softer labour market data last week. With retailers now net short I think that we'll see another push back up. We have broken my rising wedge line related idea, however unless we break below 1.487 then we're still in the uptrend. I now see it as unlikely we'll get to 154 and the BoJ intervention will surely come if necessary (it may not need to if USD keeps falling). Overall no confirmation of reversal so I'm long again when I et the LTF signal, but setting 151.65 as the target with tight SL (and will keep moving it up) as I don't want to get caught in a buy up here. Let's see what this week brings.
Long
by Finchcliffe
NZDJPY to continue in the upward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. A lower correction is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 89.50 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 90.00. We look to Buy at 89.00 (stop at 88.60) Our profit targets will be 90.00 and 90.20 Resistance: 89.50 / 89.75 / 90.00 Support: 89.25 / 89.00 / 88.75 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
CADJPY Bullish Cross signalling a buy.CADJPY it at the top of a short term Falling Wedge pattern inside a larger Channel Up. The 1day MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. Every time the price has been on the 1day MA50 while the MACD formed a Bullish Cross, the pair traded inside a similar Falling Wedge pattern. A break out followed with the price hitting at least the previous High (Resistance A). Buy now and target 111.245 (Resistance A). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Long
by TheCryptagon
1
USDJPY - Potential Bearish move comingOn Monday, the exchange rate of the Japanese Yen against the US Dollar showed a positive trend, reflecting a more optimistic market sentiment. Looking at the short-term picture, it's important to note that the current uptrend is getting close to a potential reversal point. If we see a break below the key level of 148.80, which was the low on October 30, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward the bearish side. This level represents the last major lower high in the short-term uptrend. When we examine the 4-hour chart from Monday, it appears to resemble a bear flag pattern, suggesting the possibility of a downward breakout and a challenge to those recent lows. On the daily chart, which provides a view of the medium-term trend, the pair is still in an uptrend, and we should continue to monitor the 148.80 level closely. If it holds, a recovery remains a plausible scenario. In the grand scheme of things, it's important to remember the saying, "the trend is your friend." For USD/JPY, the short, medium, and long-term trends are all still bullish, indicating that the odds favour further upside in the future. If the pair manages to break above the 151.93 level from October 2022, which marked a 32-year high, it would provide confirmation of the uptrend, and our next targets could be at round numbers like 153.00, 154.00, and 155.00, among others. However, at this moment, we believe this is unlikely to happen until we witness a significant drop or pullback, which could potentially begin this week. The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a decline against most other currencies on Monday, in line with the overall positive market sentiment that favours riskier currencies over safe havens like the Yen. This short-term weakness aligns with the broader trend. Since 2021, the Japanese Yen, as measured by the FXCM Index against a basket of peer currencies, has depreciated by more than 33%. The primary reason for this weakness was the Bank of Japan's policy of maintaining sub-zero interest rates, while many other central banks were raising rates to combat inflation. Global investors typically prefer to invest where they can get the highest risk-free returns, leading to a preference for other currencies at the expense of the Yen. More recently, with signs that many central banks have reached or are approaching peak interest rates, the interest rate differentials that worked against the Yen may be narrowing. If the Bank of Japan continues to normalise its policy and other central banks stop raising rates or even begin to reduce them, we could see a potential recovery in the Yen. We'll keep an eye on how this develops!
by financialflagship
GBPJPY to find support at previous swing high?GBPJPY - 24h expiry Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A lower correction is expected. Short term bias has turned positive. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Previous resistance at 184.29 now becomes support. We look to Buy at 184.30 (stop at 183.70) Our profit targets will be 185.80 and 186.30 Resistance: 186.75 / 189.15 / 190.40 Support: 184.90 / 183.40 / 182.40 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
NZDJPY to continue in the rally?NZDJPY - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 89.80 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 90.25. We look to Buy at 89.25 (stop at 88.85) Our profit targets will be 90.25 and 90.50 Resistance: 89.80 / 90.00 / 90.25 Support: 89.25 / 89.00 / 88.75 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
Riding the Waves: Anticipating GBP/JPY's Next Move Over the NextOver the past couple of weeks, I've been making a series of small long buys. Looking ahead, I've got my sights set on GBP/JPY for the next 3-5 weeks, with a target at 185.89477. Now, here's the deal - if you zoom in on the shorter time frames, things might seem a bit bearish, but when you zoom out using the weekly, there's this bullish wave that's still in motion. That 185.89477 level, well, it's like this zone of imbalance that needs to be hit to restore some balance in the markets. Sure, there might be some more downward pressure, but I'm thinking that over the next 3-5 weeks, this trade's going to unfold as planned. As for the risk management part, I'm going without a stop loss for now. Instead, I'm keeping an eye on the clock and the overall market structure. That's the game plan! 📈🕒 #ForexTrading #GBPJPY
Long
by GlobalHorns
2
CADJPY SELL | Day Trading Analysis Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CADJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
4
💡 USDJPY : Waiting for recoveryThe Bank of Japan has expanded the scope for adjusting short-term interest rates and has increased its inflation target for fiscal year 2024 to 2.8%. This means Japan's inflation will exceed the 2% target for three consecutive years and is closer to achieving sustainable price stability. If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) wants to have a clearer view of wage increases next year before making a decision on adjusting negative interest rates, it may need to postpone this decision until April/ 2024 or even longer. Regarding developments in the foreign exchange market, we see USD/JPY falling sharply after the release of non-farm payroll data in the US and it is currently running below the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. However, it appears the price has found support near 149.00. If inflation in Japan fails to meet expectations, it is likely that the US dollar will continue to recover against the Japanese Yen.
Long
by Stone_Haven
GBPJPY BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Long
by TheGrove
4
CHFJPY Low risk trades on the 1D MA50 closing.The CHFJPY pair is trading within a Bullish Megaphone for almost 4 months (since July 12) and is on a rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically it priced the Higher High of the Megaphone 2 weeks ago so this should be the bearish leg towards its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). Especially since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) broke last month for the first time since March 29th, the trend should start shifting more towards bearish on the long-term. Since however our focus is more on the short/ medium-term, we will continue to take it a step at a time and as long as the price is closing above the 1D MA50, we will be bullish, targeting the top of the Megaphone again at 169.100. If however we get a 1D candle close below the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and sell instead, targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (where the previous Higher Low was priced) at 161.900. Note that the 1D MACD is currently on a Bearish Cross, which favors selling. Still, our trading plan a low risk and high return approach. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
USDJPY possible expansionAfter consolidating for some time, price eventually broke structure to the upside where it preceded to retrace halfway in(forming the second point of our much needed liquidity) before breaking structure again with momentum. With this price has established the necessary requirements for us to consider a buying opportunity to catch the expansion upwards since the pair has been moving in a bullish orderflow for some time now. An established demand zone below liquidity could be price's most discounted point, so an expansion off it is possibly probable.
Long
by BlackTygaTrades