JSE Where are we at?Starting 2021 we find that the recovery from the Covid lows is still in progress. After a pullback and low formed in October 2020 we are seeing another push higher. Resources are again showing the most strength with a nearly 40% rise. However, financials are also recovering well at this stage but industrials are lagging. Over the holiday period, we have seen a push higher on lower volume but now we are finding a shoring of the stride. Watch for the next pullback in 2021 for the next opportunities.
J211
JSE Industrial Index: Still in Long-term Range
The JSE Industrial Index ( J211 ) has been in a trading range since 2016 and has broken the upward trend in the process. The covid drop interestingly was not backed by volume as seen by the lack of movement in the volume RSI and low volume spike. Price has recovered back into the trading range but has shown little enthusiasm to break out. The bounce has been on low volume . The covid drop also showed relative strength compared to the overall JSE. It seems as if the range-bound conditions may continue and we will have to wait for volume to return to see if this can be broken. For now, we are stuck around 70000 ( J211 ). With the low volume there does not seem to be many opportunities in the underlying stock right now.
J211 INDI25JSE:J211
After false break lower in 2019, index run all the way to the top of the range.
Probably will consolidate now before it tries to break higher.
JSE:STXIND: JSE Industrial Stocks DistributionUpdating the previous post at the start of 2020 (see below) has not changed my evaluation that the JSE Industrial Stocks are being distributed. The relative strength to the Top 40 index is declining an we have seen some signs of weakness (SOW) and inability to rally. Will be watching the start of 2020 for the start of the markdown.
J211 - Indi 25JSE:J211
Stopped but resistance around 75000 and coming back towards 67000.
So we can assume it is range bound until 67000 or 75000 gave up.
J211 Industrial 25JSE:J211
Trading in well defined up channel. Break bellow will bring more weakness.
Resource Still Showing StrengthSince 2016 the JSE has been declining relative to the S&P 500 but December has shown a change in character with the JSE consolidating while the S&P 500 declined. The Resources sector has been leading the charge and trading in a strong upward channel. In December the resource has reacted to the demand line and is showing strength going into 2019. Resources are further the only sector above its January 2018 high.