Long-short
$BTC - Wait For $85,000 BuysRE: BTC Under $100k, Where Do I Buy?
Hello Friends,
For those of you looking to capitalize on Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time.
My ideal entry will be at $85,158.42
Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy:
XRP DAILY XRP close to retesting the 1D 200 EMA for the first time since the US election. For now I can see a few key levels that create a smaller mini range made up of the DAILY RESISTANCE as the top, KEY S/R as midpoint and BULLISH ORDERBLOCK as the low which will coincide with the 1D 200 EMA soon.
- Current price action is extremely volatile so directionally it's difficult to tell where we are goin in the short term, but I would become interested at the extremes of the mini range.
- A LONG entry would be a more gradual revisit of the Bullish Orderblock and the 1D 200 EMA, that would be a great place to go long because the directional bias would be more clear and uncertainty cleared up.
- A SHORT would be a sweep of the supply zone and drop back into the mini range which would aim to go towards the midpoint and then range low/ 1D 200 EMA.
In general the next few days will be volatile, FOMO will be huge but keeping rational is important.
17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86
Last weeks low: $94,093.81
Midpoint: $96,458.84
Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see.
Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this.
For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such.
Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.
NVDA - Back again, now down again?The pattern seems to repeat.
Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right.
Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading framework of the Medianlines.
That said, we either shoot up on earnings, or we definitely tank down. For now, there is no trade, only a Gamble. I rarely gamble, so I'll sit on the sidelines and let it happen whatever will come out on earnings.
As for a Lotto-Ticket, I would buy some Puts and just have fun to watch how they get burned, or how I get a Christmas Moment in the beginning of the new year §8-)
ETH Updated Building Blocks...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis, ETH broke below the $2,500 mark to enter long-term bearish territory.
Here is the updated Building Blocks:
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
ETH is currently trading within a short-term bullish block between $2,500 and $3,000.
📉 Long-Term Bearish:
If the $2,500 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $2,100 mark, is expected.
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
If ETH breaks above the short-term bullish block at $3,000, it will enter a short-term bullish block phase.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $3,500 resistance level is broken to the upside, ETH is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $4,000 mark.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC CPI 1H (Jan) CPI (YoY)-
PREVIOUS: 2.9%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Consumer price index data release rolls around once again, this time the forecast is no change (0.0%) remaining at the same December 2024 level of 2.9%. It is important to note that after this data release there isn't any further news events of note until next month so BTC no planned interference from data releases.
As we go into the data release volatility on the LTF is common and so maybe we'll see a break of this painful trend bitcoin has been stuck in since the sell-off event. With that in mind here are some entry ideas for longs and shorts:
Long:
- The safest option/ highest probability would be a breakout from the bearish downtrend, a retest as new support and begin the move up back towards RANGE HIGH.
- A sweep of the green bullish OB zone with a tag of the lower bearish trend line. A good R:R IMO with the first point of interest being the LOCAL RESISTANCE/ bearish trend high.
Short:
- The bearish scenario would be a loss of the $91K support level that has held for the last 10 weeks in a row and is the daily range low. If price accepts under that level things could get ugly as there is no support until $85K.
10/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $102,496.97
Last weeks low: $91,204.00
Midpoint: $96,850.48
Another week of Bitcoin within the range and another one begins. With a very familiar low of ~$91K holding for the 10th week running (since the end of NOV '24), with a weekly high of $102,500 (last weekly outlooks midpoint) capping off the highs, will this weeks midpoint also act as the pivatol level? So far the midpoint has been reclaimed, a retest should add confluence to this.
We have a midweek CPI data release with a forecast 0.0% change remaining at 2.9%. These data events often cause LTF volatility and so that should be taken into account, the same is true for PPI on Friday.
Currently the market sentiment is pretty dire, the fear & greed index is at 43, the lowest since before the US Presidential Election.
Altcoins are struggling across the board, with the exception of some CEX coins all large-midcaps are below the 4H 200 EMA. I think that will change if BTC has a strong rally back above the weekly high and reclaims it, that will give the bulls the chance to finally break the $106K brick wall and flip from a rangebound environment into a trending environment again, altcoins would rally very well if this were to happen.
On the other hand is the midpoint is lost then the weekly low will need to hold for the 11th week running.
Good luck traders!
SUI DAILY First retest of the 1D 200 EMA since September '24, and a fill of the FVG area. A very strong reaction off that level but the overall trend of Lower Highs and Lower Lows signals a bearish trend.
For that reason a golden pocket rejection could be the play if price reacts off that level, SUI would then target a move to fill the wick if breaking it can break under the 1D 200 EMA.
I would look to go long if the Lower High is taken out and 1D 200 EMA is confirmed as support.
MOCAUSDT: Oversold, Yet Ready to Explode? The Market Decides!Is the Bottom In? MOCAUSDT Flashes Buy Signals!
The crypto market never sleeps, and neither do opportunities. MOCAUSDT is currently hovering at $0.18582, down a staggering 62% from its all-time high of $0.48845 recorded just 39 days ago. But is this decline setting the stage for a major comeback?
Technical indicators suggest we are at a make-or-break moment. The RSI14 is at 33.2, approaching oversold territory, while MFI60 sits at 43.8, indicating potential buying momentum. Moreover, the price is struggling near the 200 MA (0.18844), a critical level that could dictate the next major move.
Interestingly, a series of VSA Buy Patterns have emerged over the past 48 hours, hinting at accumulation by smart money. Will this trigger the much-anticipated breakout, or is another dip inevitable?
One thing is certain—the next move will be decisive. Are you ready to take advantage of it?
MOCAUSDT Roadmap: Smart Money Moves and Key Market Reversals
Understanding the market is all about catching the right waves at the right time. Let’s break down how MOCAUSDT moved recently, which patterns played out, and what traders can learn from these price shifts.
January 29: VSA Buy Pattern 3 – The market showed signs of a manipulation buy, signaling the start of an upward move from $0.17241 to $0.1772. This pattern was validated as price continued rising, confirming the bulls were stepping in.
January 30: Buy Volumes Max → Sell Volumes – A massive buying volume spike from $0.17809 pushed the price up to $0.19745, but sellers quickly took control, leading to a sharp reversal. This switch from buy to sell dominance marked a critical liquidity grab before the next wave.
January 31: VSA Sell Pattern 1 & 3 – A textbook manipulation sell setup, where price hit $0.22752 before retracing. This was the first major rejection confirming that the bullish move had peaked. Following this, VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd appeared at a lower price point, signaling accumulation near $0.20923.
February 1: VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th – Smart money stepped back in, sending the price higher from $0.19388 to $0.19525, reinforcing the long bias. The key takeaway? Every strong dip in this cycle was met with aggressive buybacks.
February 2: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd – The latest signal showed another attempt at accumulation, with price stabilizing around $0.18867. However, the move lacked the aggressive momentum seen in previous buy setups, meaning traders should watch for confirmations before jumping in.
Conclusion: Reading the Tape
MOCAUSDT has been in a highly reactive accumulation-distribution cycle, where every liquidity grab led to a strong price reaction. The roadmap suggests smart money is accumulating, but not in a rush to push the price up aggressively. For traders, the key levels to watch are whether buyers step in at the recent $0.185 range, or if we see another liquidity grab before the real move.
Are we gearing up for a breakout, or is another shakeout on the horizon? Stay sharp, and trade smart.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
MOCAUSDT is playing the range game, bouncing between key levels. Here’s what traders need to keep on their radar:
Support Levels:
0.17241 – If buyers don’t defend this level, expect it to flip into resistance, trapping late longs.
0.16567 – A critical retest zone; failure to hold means lower bids will get tested.
0.16455 – The last line of defense before deeper corrections.
Resistance Levels:
0.25966 – The first real battle for bulls; if price rejects, expect a fade back into the range.
0.2951 – Major liquidity zone; breaking above could trigger a trend shift.
0.31409 – If bulls clear this, game on for the next leg up.
Powerful Support Levels:
0.2371 – Big money has been watching this level. If it doesn’t hold, sellers will start dictating the trend.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
0.08949 & 0.06603 – Levels that could cap any weak breakouts. If price stalls here, expect consolidation or a fakeout before the next real move.
Trade Logic: If support levels don’t hold, they flip into resistance, and every failed breakout becomes a new short opportunity. The market isn’t giving out free money—trade smart, wait for confirmations, and don’t get caught chasing weak moves.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: Navigating MOCAUSDT Moves with Precision
The market moves in waves, but instead of relying on static levels, we focus on Fibonacci Rays—dynamic price structures that outline the natural rhythm of movements. These rays, based on mathematical and geometric principles, give us a predictive roadmap where price reacts, either bouncing or breaking through.
Key takeaway? Trade after price interacts with a ray and confirms direction. The movement will continue from one ray to the next, forming the key targets of our trade.
Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control
If buyers step in at key Fibonacci ray intersections, we can expect a continuation to higher levels. The first confirmation will be the price breaking above MA200 (0.18844) and staying above.
Entry: Buy after price interacts with a ray at 0.17241, forming a reversal.
First target: 0.2371 – The next ray and powerful support turned resistance.
Second target: 0.25966 – A strong resistance level where a pullback could occur.
Final bullish target: 0.2951 – If momentum stays strong, this is the next major liquidity grab zone.
Pessimistic Scenario: Sellers in Control
If the price fails to hold MA200 (0.18844) and breaks below Fibonacci rays, expect a move lower to the next liquidity zone.
Entry: Sell after rejection at 0.18844 if price fails to reclaim it.
First target: 0.17241 – The closest ray where buyers might step in.
Second target: 0.16567 – If weakness persists, this is the next stop.
Final bearish target: 0.16455 – The ultimate support before deeper losses.
Trade Ideas: Key Setups to Watch
Ray-to-Ray Bullish Breakout: Buy above 0.18844, target 0.2371, stop-loss below 0.17241.
Ray-to-Ray Bearish Breakdown: Sell below 0.18844, target 0.17241, stop-loss above 0.19525.
Range Rebound Trade: Buy near 0.17241, take profits at 0.18844, stop-loss below 0.16567.
Momentum Scalping: If price bounces at 0.2371, buy and target 0.25966, stop-loss below 0.225.
All these setups are backed by VSA rays, which are already plotted on the chart—so stay patient, wait for interaction, and ride the move from ray to ray.
Your Move, Traders! 🚀
That’s the full breakdown—now it’s your turn! Got questions? Drop them right in the comments below, and let’s discuss the best trading setups together.
If you found this analysis useful, hit Boost and save this idea—you’ll want to check back and see how price respects these rays. Trading isn’t about guessing, it’s about understanding key reaction points, and now you have them.
My private strategy automatically plots all rays and levels, making trade setups clear and structured. If you’re interested in using it, shoot me a private message—it’s exclusive, but we can discuss how you can get access.
Need analysis on a different asset? I can chart any market with precision. Some ideas I share for free, while others can be done privately—depends on what you need. Let me know in the comments which asset you want covered next, and if there’s enough interest, I’ll make it happen!
And of course, if you’re serious about trading—follow me on TradingView. That’s where all the real-time updates and insights go first. See you in the next one! 🔥
XLM - Will XLM Find Strength or Stumble?XLM has been in a downtrend for the past 10 days after rejecting from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance. The price action shows lower highs and lower lows with no significant volume, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. Let’s identify the key support and resistance zones and possible trade setups.
Support Zone
A strong support zone lies between $0.3725 and $0.3695 based on multiple confluences:
Monthly Level: At $0.3725
Anchored VWAP: From the very low, the VWAP aligns with the monthly level
Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing the fib retracement from the year’s low to the recent high, the 0.75 Fibonacci level lies at $0.3695
Resistance Zone
Key Level: Price data highlights $0.435 as a significant S/R zone
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the current wave aligns with the key level
Short Trade Setup
Entry: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement/key level at around $0.435
Stop Loss: Above the previous high
Take Profit: Target the support zone at round $0.3725
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4.5
Long Trade Setup (on confirmation)
Entry: Long position between the support zone of $0.3725 and $0.3695
Stop Loss: 3% SL
Take Profit: around 0.39/0.4
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2 or better
theta long sell limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
US INAUGURATION & BTCAs the second Trump era begins, this is how Bitcoin looks:
- BTC new ATH in the run up to inauguration and highest ever weekly close. I believe this was in anticipation for Trumps acceptance speech to mention Bitcoin and or the strategic reserve. That did not happen and so we've seen a selloff wick down to Midpoint with price settling at 0.75 in the range.
Typically, wicks get filled and so I would like to see price steadily reach the midpoint and then begin to show some strength before looking to go LONG. That all changes if we see a crypto specific executive order signed in the coming hours/days we should then see a move back to the highs.
- 4H 200 EMA is always an important level for the Bullrun, the vast majority of altcoins are under the 4H 200 EMA thanks to liquidity being drawn out into BTC and Solana memecoin craze.
- Bitcoin is still leading the greater market but I do expect rotation into strong US based altcoins within the next few weeks going into the later part of Q1. Some key alts that fit that category are SOL, SUI, LINK, ONDO, XRP, ENS, and many more.
It's important to remember this is a marathon not a sprint and I fully expect progress to be made but it may not be linear, until we have broken out of the range in the chart and move into a clear trend environment BTC should be treated as such by trading instead of buying and holding.
13/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $102,745.89
Last weeks low: $91,200.80
Midpoint: $96,973.35
A shaky week for BTC and the broader crypto market, mostly due to stronger than expected PMI and unemployment numbers decreasing the likelihood of rate cuts or at least a less aggressive rate cut cycle than previously expected due to a stronger economy. This is bad news for risk-on assets as borrowing capital stays expensive, with the next FOMC minutes coming less than 10 days after Trumps inauguration, last weeks bearish PA is a move to price in a no cut interest rate decision IMO.
The weekly low is once again ~$91-92K which is a key area of support on the higher timeframes crating a rangebound environment so it should be treated as such, if weekly low is lost and price is accepted below then $85,000 comes into play as next support. This would be a capitulation wick IMO to trap the fearful before a very pro crypto administration begins in the US in a weeks time.
At the same time price acceptance above ~$102,000 would be a bullish breakout of this rangebound environment and would signal the move to ATH at $108,000. I do believe we make new highs this quarter, I'm not sure how soon we will do that I think there is caution in the market going into January 20th and so unless there is critical news (maybe CPI on Wednesday) before then that changes this dynamic, a choppy week is expected.
This week I'm cautiously optimistic about getting some good altcoin entries at key levels in strong fundamental plays. If BTC does hold above weekly low for the week I can see some very good opportunities presenting themselves.
bch sell midterm buy limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
sol buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
BTC CME Short Model and Long ModelNow Bitcoin is in the Premium zone, where it is better to consider short positions for a short-term movement to the Discount zone. If the Market Maker goes for equal lows, which is a good exit point, or if the Market Maker goes long, then the exact entry will be better in the Discount zone, return to where the accumulation was, and see what candles will be formed at this level.
If we look at TOTAL 1 2 3, we will see that these assets are also in the Premium zone, which can also be good support for short positions.
SUI TRADE IDEA SUI has performed remarkably this Bullrun and it doesn't look to be slowing down. This is just some thoughts on the low timeframe:
Bullish scenario -
A retest of the green zone which is a clear bullish orderblock and the last local high would be an ideal place to get into a Long to then fill the wick up to local high. The general rule of thumb is that wicks get filled and this move would be a near 20% with good R:R. A poor reaction/ no reaction in the green zone would void the trade idea and the Daily support is the next area of interest.
Bearish scenario -
A SFP once the wick gets filled would be a potential bearish trigger with the midpoint and green zone providing areas for the bulls to fight back. SUI is very overbought on the higher timeframes so a larger cool down could be triggered by this pattern playing out. I do also think BTC would have to pullback in order to drag SUI down with it as SUI is just so strong at the moment.
So far a strong start from the US market with the first meaningful day back since the holidays providing strong volume and a bullish bias.
06/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,987.05
Last weeks low: $91,544.67
Midpoint: $95,265.86
2024 is over, 2025 has begun...
Bitcoin ending the year at its highest point since its creation after an impressive rally mainly at both ends of the year with a cool off in the middle.
Now that 2025 has started Bitcoin is looking to break $100,000 once more and begin what many believe to be the final year of the bullmarket. With the holidays now over and year open window dressing now done I would expect volume to return to the markets. Last week we saw a steady climb from the $92,000, whipsaw PA at year end and then a move up to just under $100,000. All that on very low volume which does make me a little worried, similar to weekend moves it's hard to know if they are true moves or just the result of a thin orderblock, this week will answer that question.
Some important data releases for this week include:
Tuesday - Euro CPI
Wednesday - US ADP Nonfarm employment, FOMC minutes
Thursday - CNY CPI & PPI, US Jobless claims
Friday - US Unemployment rate
As we get closer to president Trumps inauguration and the shift in the US from an anti crypto approach to a pro crypto approach, this week should be in preparation for that and could be reactive to news of Trumps administration choices and updates on the "Strategic bitcoin reserve" etc. These reactions could be positive or negative so getting a read on the market in the opening few days maybe wise.
The chart shows and early break above weekly high, this opens up the opportunity for a SFP if the weekly high is lost, if that is the case a drawdown towards Midpoint is on the cads, however if the weekly high is held as support a move towards $100,000 once again is the bullish target. Increased volume would cement either move as the weekly bias.
Good luck to all this year!
HBAR TRADE IDEA Hedera HBAR has held up better than the majority of alts have since the peak of the Trump pump in early December '24, sitting above the 4H 200 EMA were most alts have now lost its support.
The chart is a simple one, we have a clear range marked out between $0.395 - $0.235 with price currently at the 0.25 line. Just below that is the 4H 200 EMA which coincides with the bullish OB creating what should be a strong level of support. Naturally the invalidation for a trade at the level would be acceptance under these key supports.
There is a clear LTF downtrend, a breakout of that range could be a good trigger for a long position with the range quarters acting as take profit levels. With alts still very much tied to BTC and as it stands the price action is stagnant due to end of year window dressing and lack of volume, this should change next week and if the ETFs continue inflows this will help HBAR and alts increasing the positive probability of the long. If BTC starts the year poorly then the SL comes in as the bullish trend is lost.
$BTC 1W Largest Scale Playing with Long Term Ideas #LongThis idea i made today for long term idea just as it is an idea some basic lines and formations were made but it was pretty simple using same red lines the decline lines are same angle as it states. showing prices and times as estimates i will come look at this and progression when iI m older and know more of this trading and chart mechanics etc!
I am not a Financial advisor or any way good with number.. sorry that's a lie I am very good with math but I haven't had to make financial gains on markets not crypto at least.! I have crypto but earned it all freely over short time last 2 years have over a few band only a couple,, but free earned and mostly passive about 70% passive :) anyway and so that makes it all gains but i do swap stuff at lows and highs and various coin swaps using special maths and tools no one else does a lot and take advantage of the "virtual arbitrage" between trading oone coin for another and then another .... if you get it you get it!
WHAT YOU THINK OF IDEA its one for me to come back to in years and look and go wow we were at 100k moment JUST like the 10k moment. Only I don't remember It so well!
hope you enjoy! let me know your opinion and what could be wrong or different! lets learn from one another and take over the markets!!!!