After the Second World War, with the advance of modernism, humanity entered in a phase that I like to call "Say nice things, and should be fine". Even politics stopped being a pragmatic process and started to be more like sports crowds mixed with cheating feelings. We are still advancing into this delusional process of disconnection from reality. People are not...
I've been working for 5 hours to estimate the trend turns for the next six months. To gain the knowledge to do those five hours are countless. Now, it will not be 100 % accurate in timing. I still have a lot of cycle work to be completed to fine-tune. But it will be quite accurate as I have gone back in time and checked out what EWZ has done in the past. And...
PBR is correlated to oil prices, but that's not all. Out of a selection of other oil majors, PBR underperforms significantly when the starting month of August 2011 is chosen, a date I arbitrarily chose due to launch of a new industrial policy in Brasil (a proxy of changing economic policy). Note, however, work done by my friend, Raphael Geraldelli (related ideas),...