S&P 500 - Why everyone is probably wrong.Popular YouTube channels, financial media, everyone is talking about the great big crash of 2023 to come.
Everyone is probably wrong. Why? The chart stupid.
The recent breakout of resistance is seen by many as a bull trap. Maybe. I see a backtest of past resistance and price action landing on the golden ratio. There’s something else, however. The Life cross. A life cross is defined as:
1) The 50-day SMA crossing up the 200-day SMA
AND
2) Price action above the 200-day SMA.
But WW this cross is a fake out! There’s no evidence to support that. Have studied the last 60 years of life crosses on the index. Do you know how many printed a false signal? 0. Nadda. Not one.
Ww
The last 20 years of life crosses..
July 8th, 2020
April 1st 2019
April 26th, 2016
February 1st, 2012
October 22nd, 2010
June 20th, 2009
September 12th 2006
November 10th, 2004
May 16th, 2003
Moving Averages
$SPY November 9, 2024AMEX:SPY November 9, 2024
60 Minutes.
Run-away gap in action.
Hence very strong uptrend.
Got weakened on Friday.
As we can see we had 2 lows. 568.44 and 567.89.
Oscillator divergence.
Hence if we draw extension now, we have first target 607 levels.
The consolidation I need is not happening.
Moving averages setting up nicely. In order.
9,21,50,100 and200 in that order.
It will be a good opportunity to buy around 588-592 levels. for the next uptrend.
As we can see in 60 minutes 580 is very strong support.
15 Minutes.
For the last rise 593.92 to 599.64 holding 596 is important.
If 596 is broken, we can probably see 592 as target.
I need a pull back for a buy.
Again, not a chart to short except for 3-4$ maximum. As of now.
in 15 minutes, big oscillator divergence.
SWING IDEA - MEGASOFTNSE:MEGASOFT 's stock price has been retesting around the 50 resistance level for approximately one and half years. Following multiple retest, the stock finally broke out above this level in December 2023 and has since established it as a key support.
The stock subsequently surged to a peak of 107, representing a 104% increase. However, it then experienced a sharp correction, plummeting 50% to revisit the 50 support level again. This pivotal point, formerly a resistance, has now become a robust support.
Currently, MEGASOFT is exhibiting an upward momentum, poised to retest its swing high at 107. The weekly MACD crossover, occurring after the establishment of support at 50, indicates a bullish trend reversal. Immediate Short Term Target as mentioned in the chart with a potential to reach 13% from current Price Point is also observed.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
- One year resistance level of 50 broken in December 2023
- Stock surged 104% to 107 before correcting 50%
- 50 level now serves as robust support
- Weekly MACD crossover indicates bullish momentum
- Upward momentum poised to retest swing high at 107
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, I would recommend holding MEGASOFT for a Long Term horizon. This could potentially yield:
- 37% returns from the current price (as of writing)
- 104% returns from the support point (50)
This analysis highlights a compelling buying opportunity in MEGASOFT, driven by its breakout and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Investors should be aware that there is a possibility that the stock may revisit this Support level at 50 in the near future before resuming its upward momentum towards the swing high at 107. This potential pullback should be monitored closely, and investors may consider adjusting their strategies accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This IDEA is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis presented is based on technical indicators and historical data but does not guarantee future performance. Please conduct thorough research based on financial goals and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Air Products Pulls BackAir Products & Chemicals jumped last month. Now some traders may see opportunities in its recent pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on October 7 amid reports that activist investor Mantle Ridge had taken a stake. The provider of industrial gases continued upward and made an all-time high two weeks later.
It then pulled back to hold roughly $302. That level was the peak on September 27 and near the low on October 7. Has old resistance become new support?
Next, prices are trying to stabilize at the 21-day exponential moving average. That may suggest its direction is still pointing higher.
Finally, stochastics have turned up from an oversold condition.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
EURJPY LongLooking to go long on EJ.
The pair has been in a decent uptrend since the beginning of October, I am expecting this to continue till around mid November.
Price of interest for a long is 163.412.
Confluences:
- Key Level
-38% Fibonacci
- Cluster of EMA's (Daily 50, 100 & 200)
SL is 1.5 times the size of the zone of interest so 45 pips
Targeting a higher high around 167.
Trade safe, and catch you later traders ▲
CHAINLINK ready for the RUN! On the 3D chart, we have:
Breakout on the Trendline.
Breakout on the RSI.
Breakout on the SMA 200.
And a Golden Cross.
You can´t get more bullish signals if you want, but it doesn´t mean that in the short term we can´t take a correction.
If we get it,The Pullback is a BUY.
Fundamentally as I think we are in the year 1999 for Internet but for crypto now, BINANCE:LINKUSDT is one of those that has value. There are not many of them.
Selling is a must during this Bull MKT top.
NVDA closing above resistanceNvidia closed above resistance yesterday and I've placed my buy stop above Mondays high for entry on a continuation of the move higher, both short term and medium term trends are up according to the EMA's and rising lows. My stop will be just below the red candle after the Shooting Star that indicated the double top was in place.
My stop will trail up as price moves higher and forms new support levels.
This is a third entry for me on Nvidia as i continue to build the position.
Trade well and profits follow!
BTC’s Big Crossover: Is October 2024 the Start of a New Rally?BTC's weekly close came in neutral.
The MACD just crossed over, the first time since October 2023. This crossover on the weekly chart comes after six months of a downward trend.(MACD crossed down on April 2024)
With the last rally starting in October 2023, could we be looking at a similar setup now in October 2024?
Let's watch and see!
Welcome back donald trumpIn this chart, I have conducted a technical analysis of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. The analysis highlights key areas of interest:
Supply Zone: Marked in purple, this region represents a potential area where selling pressure could resume. Historically, prices have shown resistance here, suggesting that traders should monitor this zone for possible reversals or selling activity.
Retracement Levels: I've used Fibonacci retracement levels to assess potential pullbacks. The 0.5 (2,696.90) and 0.382 (2,684.38) levels are particularly notable as possible points where the price may find support or resistance.
Target Area: Indicated by the arrow pointing downward, this is the level where I predict the price could head next if the supply zone holds and selling pressure intensifies. This represents a personal target based on my analysis and not a trade signal.
"Hope for the Best" Label: Positioned just below the supply zone, this label reflects the sentiment of uncertainty as the price approaches this resistance area. It serves as a reminder that market movements can be unpredictable.
Welcome Back Donald Trump: In a broader context, the market may also be impacted by political events. With Donald Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election, there could be shifts in economic policy, which might influence precious metal markets and investor sentiment in the coming months. Keep an eye on these macroeconomic factors as they may play a role in future price actions.
This analysis is shared solely as my interpretation of market data and is not financial advice or a trade recommendation.
Gold : A Perfect Buy Opportunity Amid Expected Pullback!Yesterday, gold prices surged above 2700, rising $60 from open to close. Following such a significant increase, some pullback is likely in today’s session. However, this does not signal the end of the uptrend but rather a natural price correction. After the pullback, gold is expected to resume its upward momentum, with potential to break above 2730.
Based on this analysis, today’s strategy is to continue buying gold. The ideal buying range is between 2688-2674, with a target set between 2725-2732. This pullback presents an excellent entry point for bullish positions, creating the potential for further profits!
High potential over the coming yearsPositioned to disrupt the medicinal industry with its wide range of products and significant stakes in other biotech companies like Compass. ATAI possess ample funds to quickly become a leader in a market that has not yet fully emerged. High Volatility I wouldn't be surprised to see the stock reach $20 next year, analysts predict $11.
Weekly RSI looks great and primed to run showing strength above 50 with key MA overhead
The daily is getting a little hot pullbacks will offer great opportunities.
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising- Positional Tradeisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think