Netflix - This Is A 100% Probability Setup!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will continue its parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With this monthly candle, Netflix finally broke above the previous all time high and it about to continue the reversal triangle pattern cycle. We saw the same breakout back in 2013, when Netflix broke above the all time high and then started an even stronger rally of about +50%.
Levels to watch: $750, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Netflix
#NFLX Targets for the Meltup in equitiesI have called a couple real big pattern moves on #Netflix
so on todays mega rally
I take a quick look at the potential price projections that may or may not end up occurring
I am not a guru or price forcaster
i just draw lines on charts like always
Your Risk
Your Reward
But i am someone who does highlight Risk i.e. downward prices when I feel/see that might be a possibility
Yes I know
this game is not easy.
Project Monday Strategy v2.0 gives a long signal on NetflixThis trading idea crated with Project Monday Strategy v2.0 (coming soon).
Entry Price: 757.58 USD
Preliminary Stop-Loss: 713.34 USDT
Preliminary Take-Profit: 870.79 USDT
The potential profit is 15%.
This strategy preset generates orders with following results during 6 years:
Net Profit in %: 5190%;
Percent Profitable: 49%;
Profit Factor: 3,16;
Max Drawdown: 18%.
NETFLIX’s Next Big Move: Massive Breakout Imminent?Technical Analysis:
NFLX (Netflix), on the 15-minute time frame, has set up a long trade with a strong entry at $744.60, supported by good volume. The breakout occurred above a consolidation phase, indicating market interest in a bullish move.
The price action is holding above the entry level, and the Risological Dotted Trendline is trending upward, providing a strong support foundation for the trade. This long setup points to a potential bullish continuation as Netflix approaches the following targets.
Key Levels:
Entry: $744.60
Stop Loss (SL): $715.10
Target 1 (TP1): $781.07
Target 2 (TP2): $840.08
Target 3 (TP3): $899.09
Target 4 (TP4): $935.56
Observations:
The breakout was backed by strong volume, reflecting confidence from the bulls.
Price is consolidating near TP1, suggesting momentum is building for further upside.
The Risological Dotted Trendline is trending upwards, giving strong support around $744, ensuring the trend stays intact.
Outlook:
Netflix's long trade setup shows strong potential for upward movement. With the support of the Risological Dotted Trendline and high volume backing, this trade is well-positioned to meet its targets. Watch for any pullback near $740, which could present another opportunity to re-enter or add to positions.
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NFLX before that massive selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 730usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $45.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NETFLIX Earnings is setting it up for $840.Netflix (NFLX) is already one of the big winners of the earnings season as it announced Q3 results that exceeded expectations and saw the price up by more than +11.00% on Friday. Even technically that is a big win as the rebound came from a Thursday test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the first in 2 months (since August 14).
The stock has been trading within a Channel Up for a whole year (since the October 18 2023 Low) and now has the perfect fundamental excuse to aim higher. The 1D RSI shows a similar pattern so all previous bottoms with the Channel Up (Aug 05 2024, April 22 2024, January 17 2024, October 18 2023) so either a 3.0 Fibonacci extension or a +25% rise is expected.
This time both happen to be just over $840.00, so we can claim that this is a reasonable target to aim for during this Bullish Leg.
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Trade Idea | NFLX | Bear Put Debit Spread StrategyI have been observing the price action of Netflix for the past days and it seems to me that it is showing some weaknesses at this level. Next earnings release will be on October 17, what ever the result is, in my opinion, profit taking can happen at this level.
Shorting this one will be expensive as NFLX trades at around $707.35 at last week close and the risk of loss will be uncertain if this will try to record a new high, while the risk in using the bear put debit strategy is only limited to the debit paid at entry, i.e. the amount I paid, is the maximum risk for this trade.
I will be looking at Oct25 575/570 Bear Put Debit Spreads and Oct25 600/595 and the contracts I will be trading will depends on where I am comfortable.
Why am I bearish?
Technically, I like fading the trade on top especially if I think the move already priced in the next earnings result. Fundamentally, the engagement growth in YouTube and other similar streaming platforms like Tubi, Pluto, Prime Video is increasing, even though some platform's content is not that great but sooner or later they'll catch up and eat the market share of Netflix.
-BB
Stan Weinstein Theory on NetflixThe 4 Market Phases
Stan Weinstein describes the evolution of stocks in four main phases:
- Phase 1: Accumulation
The market is flat after a prolonged decline. Smart investors start buying.
- Phase 2: Uptrend
The price breaks a key level and rises above the 30-week moving average, which is rising. This is the ideal phase to buy.
- Phase 3: Distribution
The market stabilizes after a rise. Big investors sell, and the moving average stabilizes. This is the beginning of the end of the uptrend.
- Phase 4: Downtrend
The price breaks a key support, the moving average goes down. Avoid buying or selling to limit losses.
Key Indicators
30-week moving average: In an uptrend, the price is above. In a downtrend, it is below.
Volume: Increasing volume during breakouts confirms the strength of the trend.
Weinstein advises buying early in Phase 2 and selling early in Phase 4 to follow major market trends.
Analysis made in collaboration with @Yannick1961
Netflix - Bullish Move Of +50% Ahead!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is trading at an important breakout level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Netflix is just another one of these stocks which is perfectly following cycles and market structure. After the recent drop of about -80%, Netflix perfectly tested the bottom of the reverse triangle pattern, created bullish confirmation and took off towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $700, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen:
Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate.
Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11.
Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology.
Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market.
Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR.
Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
Netflix: Upside Potential!About a year ago, in October 2023, NFLX stock hit a low of $345.87. The uptrend that startet then remains intact and has gained momentum since August this year. After surpassing its record high of $700.99 from November 2021 two months ago, the stock continued to climb and has recently stabilized above the $700 mark. While significant progress has already been made with the turquoise wave 3, we expect a further expansion beyond the $800 hurdle. In the subsequent wave 4, the $700 level should be tested again before the final leg of the larger wave (1) in magenta kicks in. Our alternative scenario (20%), however, anticipates a new low of the turquoise wave alt. 2 below the $345.87 mark.
SMART MONEY MAKING BIG MOVES! IS NFLX NEXT?
NFLX is shaping up into a great setup. I'm watching for the price to stabilize in the 720-723.5 range, and if we see buyers step in there, it could be on its way to new all-time highs.
We ran with the 715C 0DTE on Friday, and it's worth keeping an eye on heading into next week.
If the market pushes higher, NFLX has a higher probability of breaking new highs.
Bullish IQ , online video streaming in chinaIQ has been drowned and punished for a light q2 june earning report.
seasonally/historically q2 has been the lightest quarter for past 3 years.
the best quarters are toward the winter holidays.
Current valuation is very attractive low PE, low price to sales.
Balance sheet has some debt, so its not excessively cheap in the balance sheet. its all about the earnings growth potential.
This year forward earnings is expected to be .24 cents, which is fantastic for a once 2.00 stock recently. 5 year potential eps is over 1.00, so for me this is a keep for long time.
Hard to say what a growing online streamer could be worth when bullishness kicks in and future growth starts to be anticipated. 20 pe? 30 pe? one can never predict this. All we control is buying value when we get a lot of weight for money paid.
RISKs- continued deflation in china, more competition. Currency devaluation and geopolitics still a major cloud. Yuan is rising now, but if real estate remains a burden, currency devaluation and increased stimulus might hurt the currency and total net returns to foreign investors.
Not advice for you, but I like the stock for me. Stands out on my ranking sheets.
NFLX ( Netflix ) SELL TF M15 TP = 631.71On the M15 chart the trend started on Aug. 20 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 631.71
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
NETFLIX starting the 2nd bullish leg of its expansion phase.Netflix (NFLX) has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the August 20 High and is on the exact same level where during all previous Bullish Legs of the 2-year Channel Up, it ended the consolidation and moved to the 2nd rally of the expansion phase.
This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is about to start a Channel Down that in previous Legs it moved parallel with the price's 2nd rally. Our Target is $900.00 representing a +70.48% rise from April's low, which is the smallest rally recorded within the 2-year Channel Up, thus the more realistic target.
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Netflix Stock Gains as Evercore ISI Raises TargetNetflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) continues to capture the spotlight in the investment world, with Evercore ISI raising its price target from $710 to $750. The decision to increase the target stems from robust survey results and an optimistic outlook for the streaming giant, reaffirming Netflix's position as a dominant player in the entertainment industry.
Strength and Growth Potential
Evercore ISI’s decision is underpinned by comprehensive research, including detailed surveys conducted in the U.S. and Mexico. The results reveal that Netflix's core metrics—content selection, customer satisfaction, and churn rates—remain stable and strong. In Mexico, Netflix boasts an impressive 83% satisfaction rate, a testament to the platform's ability to deliver consistent, high-quality content.
Moreover, Netflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) is expanding its competitive lead over other streaming platforms. Evercore ISI emphasizes that the quality of Netflix's content is a significant factor driving its continued dominance. The firm’s surveys indicate that subscribers are particularly excited about upcoming content, such as "Squid Game II," which is expected to further enhance Netflix’s appeal.
The firm also highlights Netflix's foray into live events and gaming as key growth areas. With 60% of subscribers likely to remain loyal if more live content, like sports and stand-up comedy, is introduced, and 47% of U.S. subscribers already engaging with gaming offerings, Netflix is well-positioned to tap into these emerging markets.
A Bullish Yet Cautious Outlook
On the technical front, Netflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) shares are up 1.28% at the time of writing, continuing its upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 68, nearing the overbought territory. This suggests that while the stock has been on a steady rise, investors should exercise caution, as the momentum could reverse if bearish forces gain strength.
The stock has seen modest gains each day, pushing it closer to new highs. However, if the bullish momentum wanes, Netflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) could face a critical test of support. The major support level identified on April 19th, 2024, could serve as a key indicator of the stock’s direction. A break below this support might signal a potential correction, so traders should keep a close eye on this level.
Conclusion: A Strong Buy with Caution
Evercore ISI’s increased price target reflects a strong confidence in Netflix's fundamental and competitive position. The company's ability to consistently deliver high-quality content, coupled with its expansion into new areas like live events and gaming, positions it for continued growth. However, with the RSI approaching overbought levels, investors should remain vigilant for any signs of a potential pullback.
NTFLX - Waiting For Key Level TestAs the titles implies, NETFLIX is waiting for a KEY LEVEL TEST before making large moves.
It has recently broke through several ranges to the BUY SIDE, showing it has lots of BULLISH movement. This can be seen with the LARGE VOLUME BULLISH CANDLES that followed after hitting one of the SUPPORT LEVELS, where it created high volume with NO RANGES, further proving it's high volume of buys.
What I'm looking for now is a retest of the resistance level where i'd like to see large volume SELL SIDE, or a bounce off the SUPPORT level, where I would look to exercise buy positions
Netflix has recorded a new ATHNetflix has recorded a new ATH.
Netflix (NFLX) has been a powerhouse, reaching new all-time highs. After hitting an ATH of around $700 on November 15, 2021, the stock experienced a significant decline, bottoming out at approximately $162 on May 11, 2022.
However, it has since rallied impressively, culminating in a fresh all-time high of around $710 today.
For those who entered the market during the downturn, this has been a remarkable opportunity. Congratulations are certainly in order.
Looking ahead, the $697 zone appears to be a strong resistance level, while $679 is likely to act as support.
Netflix Shares Hit an All-time High Tuesday On Strong Ad SalesKey Takeaways:
- Netflix shares hit an all-time high on the back of a significant increase in upfront ad sales.
- The company reported a 150% surge in advertising commitments compared to 2023.
- Strategic moves in content, technology, and live events have bolstered investor confidence.
Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ), the streaming giant that once dominated the entertainment landscape through its pioneering subscription model, has now reached a new pinnacle in its market journey. On Tuesday, Netflix's shares soared to a record high, closing at $696.59 after touching an all-time high of $711.33 earlier in the day. This surge follows the company's impressive report of a substantial increase in upfront ad sales commitments, signaling a major shift in its business strategy.
A New Era of Advertising Success
Netflix's success in the advertising arena marks a significant turning point. The company announced that it had secured more than a 150% increase in upfront ad sales commitments over 2023, closing deals with all major holding companies and independent agencies. These partnerships are not just for any content, but for some of Netflix’s most anticipated upcoming releases, including global hits like "Squid Game," fan-favorite series "Outer Banks," and the much-anticipated "Happy Gilmore 2." Moreover, Netflix is tapping into the lucrative live event market, securing deals for high-profile broadcasts such as Christmas Day NFL games and "WWE Raw."
This strong performance in ad sales reflects Netflix's strategic decision to evolve beyond its traditional subscription model. For years, Netflix resisted the idea of incorporating ads into its platform, fearing it might alienate its user base. However, in an increasingly competitive streaming landscape, the company’s pivot to an ad-supported tier has proven to be a game-changer. This move not only attracted a new segment of budget-conscious consumers but also opened a new revenue stream that investors are now enthusiastically embracing.
Strategic Shifts Bolster Investor Confidence
Netflix’s surge in stock price is not solely due to its advertising success. The company has also been making strategic shifts to enhance profitability and sustain growth. These include cracking down on account sharing, which has long been a drain on potential revenue. By introducing stricter controls on password sharing, Netflix has effectively compelled many users to convert to paying subscribers, boosting its subscriber base and revenue.
In addition, Netflix has been judicious in its content spending, focusing on producing hits that resonate with global audiences. The success of series like "Bridgerton," surprise hits like "Baby Reindeer," and the French movie "Under Paris" underscore Netflix’s ability to create content that not only captures viewers’ attention but also drives subscriber growth.
Moreover, Netflix’s expansion into live events and sports broadcasting represents another avenue for growth. Live content is a highly sought-after commodity in the streaming world, and Netflix’s foray into this space with events like NFL games indicates its intent to compete on multiple fronts.
Financial Turnaround and Market Position
The financial landscape for Netflix has dramatically improved over the past few years. Once criticized for its heavy spending and negative free cash flow, Netflix has now become a model of profitability. The company’s disciplined approach to content spending, coupled with its new revenue streams from advertising and live events, has alleviated investor concerns about its financial health.
Netflix’s stock, which at one point had lost more than 75% of its value from its 2021 peak, has since rebounded, quadrupling in value. This remarkable turnaround is a testament to the company’s successful adaptation to market challenges and its ability to innovate within a highly competitive industry.
As of this year, Netflix shares have risen by 44%, far outpacing its competitors. While Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, and Paramount Global have struggled with declining stock prices, Netflix has solidified its position as a leader in the streaming industry. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio, now at 32 times estimated earnings, is significantly lower than its 10-year average, reflecting improved investor sentiment and confidence in its long-term strategy.
Technical Outlook
At the present time, Netflix stock ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) has experienced a 1.33% increase and is trading within the overbought region, displaying a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72 subsequent to reaching a historic peak. Despite the exuberance surrounding the all-time high, traders are advised to exercise vigilance. Notably, Netflix stock ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is overbought, and any potential reversal in trend could precipitate a decline to the 1-month low, which in turn may result in the breach of the structure established in proximity to the 100-day Moving Average.
Conclusion
Netflix’s recent achievements highlight the company’s ability to evolve and adapt in a rapidly changing entertainment landscape. By embracing advertising, cracking down on account sharing, and expanding into live events, Netflix has not only bolstered its financial performance but also reinvigorated investor confidence. As the company continues to refine its strategy, it appears well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the streaming industry and continue delivering value to its shareholders.
NFLX / NETFLIXMarket Insight: NFLX (Netflix, Inc.)
Our predictions have highlighted key moments for investors:
• First Green Line (August 12th, 2024): A potential buying opportunity, as market conditions stabilize.
• First Red Line (October 28th, 2024): Consider taking profits or reducing exposure before possible market downturns.
• Second Green Line (January 6th, 2025): A favorable time to re-enter or increase positions, with market optimism on the rise.
• Second Red Line (April 14th, 2025): Another signal to safeguard your investments, preparing for possible volatility.
These points serve as guiding lights, helping navigate the financial journey with both wisdom and discernment.
DIS - Disney: this is a buy in my opinion. Right now, right hereTrading at 30% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 21% per year
Earnings grew by 108% over the past year
Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29%
Disney Announces Massive Theme Parks, Cruise Expansion at D23
Notably, the company has committed to invest a cool $60 billion in its parks over the next decade as it tries to maintain its lead over competitors.
Wall Street analysts are quite bullish on Disney stock, despite its dismal price action. The stock has a consensus rating of “Strong Buy,” while its mean target price of $119.43 is almost 39% higher than yesterday’s closing prices. The stock even trades below its Street-low target price of $100, while the Street-high target price of $140 represents an upside potential of about 63%.