AUD/NZD in profit trade idea updateAUD/NZD Fundamental, Technical, and Signal ( NZD fundamentals and events, click link )
*AUD events will be the drivers during trade.
AUD Previous Important Economic Events:
- Consumer Confidence and Confidence Change ( Both actuals below forecast and previous supporting consumers low enthusiasm to spend in the future. )
- Business Confidence ( Below forecast and previous supporting businesses expectations of higher earnings )
- Unemployment Rate ( Lower than forecast and previous. Employment increase due to higher cost of living outweighing income, credit and savings accounts )
AUD Upcoming Important Economic Events:
- S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI Flash ( Manufacturing Forecast 56—.2 lower than previous — Services Forecast 52.3—.3 lower than previous. )
- Year over Year Inflation Rate ( Forecast 6.2%, 1.1% higher than previous. )
- Quarter over Quarter inflation rate ( 1.8%, .3% lower than previous. Short term inflation is cooling )
- Month over Month Retail Sales ( .9% previous )
- Quarter over Quarter PPI ( 1.6% previous )
Sentiment: Neutral
- Consumers and businesses are losing faith in spending and growth ( both result from higher prices for goods and services. Depleting credit, checking, savings accounts and income resources causing consumers to apply for jobs to earn additional income increasing AUD employment numbers. The RBA addressing inflation with hawkish interest rate hikes, lowering short term QoQ Inflation rates.
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Technical Analysis ( Click link for more signals )
Nzdsignals
NZDCHF Break-out signalPattern: Triangle on 1D.
Signal: (A) Bullish if the Lower Highs trend-line breaks, (B) Bearish if the Higher Lows trend-line breaks.
Target: (A) 0.6300 (the Resistance), (B) 0.6000 (the Symmetrical Support).
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Most recent NZDCHF signal:
NZDJPY Sell SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Sell as the Channel Up is on Lower Highs with the price near the 2 year Lower High trend-line and the RSI being rejected on its 2 year Resistance Zone.
Target: 64.000 (just above the Support).
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NZDUSD Golden Cross on 1D = Bearish SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Bearish as the pattern is about to print a Golden Cross, which even though is traditionally bullish, it has been bearish for NZDUSD on the last 3 occasions.
Target: 0.6300 (contact on the curve).
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NZDSGD Sell SignalPattern: Lower Highs on 1W since February 2017.
Signal: Bearish as the price is entering the Lower Highs Zone (red Rectangle) from March 2019.
Target: 0.85000 (just above the 0.8450 May 2020 Support).
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Previous NZDSGD signal:
NZDUSD Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: (A) Bullish as long as the pattern's bottom line holds, (B) Bearish if it breaks.
Target: (A) 0.61000 (just below the inter-pattern Lower Highs) and (B) 0.59100, 0.58450 (Support 1 and 2 respectively).
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Latest NZDUSD signal:
AUDNZD Sell SignalPattern: Channel Down since late 2017.
Signal: Bearish as 1) the price was rejected on the Lower High trend-line of the pattern, 2) the MACD made a bearish cross, 3) the rejection took place around the 0.786 Fibonacci.
Target: 1.0200 and 1.000 if you want to take higher risk.
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Previous AUDNZD signal: