Nzdusd4hrs
NZDUSD Techinical Analysis: Buying dips still prefferedAfter another impressive run last week the Kiwi has come under pressure around the 0.7300 level – failing to advance higher for the second time.
Looking at the 4h chart, next line of support comes in at 0.7215 followed by 0.7150 and the 0.7100 region.
The short term outlook continues to look bullish and buying dips is our preferred strategy unless price manages to fall below the 0.6964 area which has had solid support since June 14th.
Last week Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Deputy Governor Grant Spencer noted that further rate cuts could pose a risk to financial stability.
The RBNZ said it was concerned about a severe housing correction that would pose real risks to the financial system and the broader economy.
Retail Crowd
My Kiwi Strategy for the week.Im mostly looking to go long on this trade to ride its final 5th Wave up. But as for my aggresive trading nature I am keen on selling the breakout of the recent hourly trend which Im looking to get a 2:1 Return .
My TP for the Shorting trade will be 38.2% fib and thereon will be my Long setup for a 3:1 return with a TP at the recent highs or higher.
If you are more cautious I suggest you wait for the consolidation to take place and find a sutiable buy zone according to your RM. Again my buy zone is just above 38.2% fib with SL below 50% fib.
I wish myself and everyone the best of luck.
(4H) Structure Breakout // Eventual Bullish Harmonic / IF=THEN ®FX:NZDUSD
Bullish and Bearish structure breakouts. Wait the price to test previous structure, after breaking it, to enter the trade;
At this moment "we" are looking for sell opportunities;
CYPHER:
Point B:
38.2% to 61.8% XA
Point C:
127% to 141% ext XA
Point D:
78.6% XC
Target:
TP1 38.2% CD
TP2 61.8% CD
Safe Trades;
open.spotify.com
NZDUSD could go either waythe kiwi was able to break out of triangle based on last week's news and has since retraced right back into it, currently the pair could go either way, Entries are set on both sides to take advantage of whichever way price breaks. There should be some movement at least in the US afternoon session since the rate decision will be announced today
NZDUSD FEW REASONS TO SHORTOK I MUST START BY SAYING THAT WHEN A CHART IS POSTED BY ANYONE WITH A PARTICULAR TARGET, IT IS BASED ON THE REVERSAL POINT THAT WAS SET PRIOR. SO IF I SET MY REVERSAL TO 5 ON A SHORT WITH A 61.8 TARGET, AND THE MARKET GOES FURTHER DOWN TO 3, YOU MUST BE SMART ENOUGH TO KNOW THAT YOU MUST ADJUST YOUR RETRACEMENT TOOL TO 3 TO GET A MORE ACCURATE TARGET. IF YOU ARE NOT AWARE OF THAT I'D ADVICE YOU DO A BIT MORE TRAINING , AND THE BEST PLACE I CAN RECOMMEND FOR YOU TO BECOME A MORE PROFITABLE TRADER IN A VERY SHORT TIME, TRADEEMPOWERED.COM. (NOT GETTING PAID TO SAY THAT, NEITHER HAVE I DONE A COURSE WITH THEM, BUT I FOLLOW THEIR TRADE METHOD AND ITS SIMPLE STRAIGHT FORWARD AND VERY PROFITABLE)
BACK TO THE CHART. :)
THE FIRST THING I MUST MENTION IS THE FLAG THAT IS BASED ON THE MAJOR TREND. FLAGS ARE CONTINUATION PATTERNS, MEANING AFTER THE FLAG IS COMPLETED IT WILL BREAK OUT AND CONTINUE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MAJOR TREND, WHICH IN THIS CASE IS DOWNWARDS. THE CURRENT FLAG IS VERY MATURE AND READY FOR DELIVERY.
WE ARE STARTING AT 50/50 CHANCE OF UP AND DOWN AS ALL MARKETS ARE, SO WE ARE GOING TO ADD 10% FOR EACH TIME WE GET A DIRECTIONAL BIAS (A LITTLE TRICK I OBSERVE FROM TRADEEMPOWERED, IS WHY I HAVE TO GIVE A PLUS TO THEM). SO THE FLAG GIVES US A PLUS 10%.
THE NEXT STRUCTURE OF INTEREST IS THE H&S (HEAD AND SHOULDER) PATTERN THAT HAS FORMED AT THE END OF THE FLAG (OUR CURRENT STRUCTURE) AND AS MENTIONED BEFORE, H&S ARE REVERSAL PATTERNS. THIS H&S IS BASED ON THE UPWARD DIRECTION OF THE FLAG SO A REVERSAL WOULD MEAN A MOVE DOWNWARDS, WHICH PUTS US IN SYNC WITH THE FLAG, SO WE CAN ADD ANOTHER 10% DIRECTIONAL BIAS.
WE ALSO HAVE A PATTERN IN IN THE HEAD OF THE H&S WHICH WE ARE AWAITING COMPLETION BETWEEN 38.2 AND 50% BASE ON MOMENTUM. AND WE ALSO HAVE AN ABCD PATTERN WITHIN THIS STRUCTURE WHICH WE CAN GIVE A 5%DIRECTIONAL BIAS. BRINGS US TO A TOTAL OF 85% BIAS BEAR, 15% BULL.
ANOTHER METHOD I TEND TO USED TO GET A MORE ACCURATE REVERSAL POINT IS AN EMA. IT WORKS FOR ME DURING REVERSALS. I USE AN 8,13,21,34 FIB ADDED TOGETHER THEN I MULTIPLY THE TOTAL BY .382, .50, AND .618 TO GET A MOVING FIB TARGET, BECAUSE DURING REVERSALS, THE MARKET DON'T ALWAYS GO TO THE FIXED REVERSAL POINT, BUT YOU WILL NOTICE IT WILL TOUCH THE MOVING POINT. (THIS ONLY WORKS FOR ME DURING REVERSALS SUCH AS THIS).
THE MARKET IS CURRENTLY AT 38.2 AND APPEARS TO BE REVERSING BUT I WILL STILL WAIT FOR MY ENTRY, AS I SAID BEFORE, I PREFER TO GET MY ENTRY RATHER THAN JUMP IN TOO EARLY.
ALSO PLEASE, MY STOPS ARE MY STOPS, YOUR STOPS ARE YOUR STOPS :) IT'S BETTER TO AIM TO MAKE LESS AND HAVE A WIDE STOP THAN FOLLOW ME WITH TIGHT STOPS, SO PLEASE SET YOUR OWN.
FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHAT YOU THINK, I'VE BEEN TRYING TO FIND A REASON FOR A LONG BIAS, BUT NOT SEEING ANY.
I WISH YOU MUCH SUCCESS WITH YOUR TRADES HAVE A GREAT DAY!