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Nzdusdsignals

NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWith approximately 300pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); It appears we are at a juncture for a trading opportunity in the market as I suspect a risk of further decline for the Kiwi as Breakdown/Retest of Neckline which is also my Key level @ $0.71500 becomes imminent. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 559,000 in May and despite figures reported to be below expectations, the Greenback appears to be on the verge of soaring in the nearest future. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) Observation: i. The $0.7300 area appears to be a very strong supplication area since the beginning of the year 2021 as an attempt from buyers to break above this level in February was followed by an emphatic bearish run that lasted a whole month! ii. It is also obvious that the $0.73000 level became a stalling zone (approximately 61.8% retracement of AB leg) for the correction of the Impulse leg AB as it was met with multiple rejections hereby emphasizing the strength of sellers at this juncture. iii. In this regard, I shall look forward to a transition into an ABCD pattern with parameters explained below; a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is currently at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (with the possibility of a 78.6%) of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext . of the A-to-B move @ $0.67500. iv. The Breakdown of $0.71000 (Demand zone) in March 2021 reveals that sellers are beginning to creep in at this level for future investment in the Greenback. v. This critical observation led to the identification of a New Supply level of around $0.72000/0.71500 for a future selling opportunity. vi. Conscious trading shall anticipate a Breakdown/Retest of Key level @ $0.71500 in the coming week for confirmation. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week Kiwi clung to early gains during the Friday trading session which is represented on the chart with a Bullish engulfing candle from the $0.70100 level and it does not appear it is ready to let go in the nearest future considering the obvious - we are in a long term Bullish perspective (see weekly chart below)! The Greenback has been on a pedestal from mid-February 2021 till last month (March 2021) when it appears to have lost the momentum and found Bottom @ $0.69500 which was immediately followed by Higher Highs that resulted in a Breakout of my Key level @ $0.70250 during last week trading session; A feat that signifies the completion of a simple reversal set-up paving the way for possible gains in the coming week(s) amidst falling US Treasury bond yields. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. The appearance of a Double Bottom pattern on the chart describes the reversal or change in trend and momentum from prior leading price action. ii. Breakout of Key level @ $0.70250 during last week trading session is a clue that Buyers are gradually gaining momentum and strength at this juncture in the market. iii. A Bullish engulfing candle appearing at the $0.70250 zone (1st of April 2021) which has been a Supplication area in the last 10 days signals that market participants are tending towards changing preference to support the Kiwi. iv. There is a possibility that price might do a correction after the Neckline Breakout that might dip into $0.69850/0.70300 zone - a new Demand level for future buys. v. This been said, conscious traders might be patient to confirm sellers are no more viable at this juncture in the market by waiting for a Breakout/Retest of $0.70400 (Supplication area) to join the rally... Trade consciously :)! Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:8 Potential Duration: 7 to 12days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upPrice continues to play out in accordance with expectations as it moved over 300pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes). As the majority foretell a risk of further decline in the Kiwi in the coming week(s), I beg to take the opposite direction and maintain a Bullish bias on this pair. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Harmonic (AB = CD) pattern Observation: i. In the last 13 weeks, Buyers have found a niche around NZ$0.71000/0.70500 hereby making this area a strong Demand level. ii. We have experienced a sharp decline in price in the last two weeks after the Kiwi hit a peak of NZ$0.74650 in late Feb. 2021. iii. At this juncture in the market, it is impossible to ignore the pattern the decline has formed on its way down to the Demand zone - a Harmonic (AB = CD) structure. iv. ABCD pattern with parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B appears to be in harmony with the C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg falls at 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move @ NZ$0.71000/0.70500 area. iv. Considering the stronghold of NZ$0.71000/0.70500 area by buyers in the past, the AB = CD pattern makes a "good" reversal set-up at this juncture in the market as I anticipate a Breakout/Retest of my Key level @ NZ$0.71850 to join the rally (any area above Demand area is good for me). v. If the price moves as expected and reaches the Supply zone, It is advisable to lock in profit to avoid getting caught up with selling pressure and note that a further Breakout of NZ$0.73000 might confirm a rally continuation. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekWe did not get to see a rejection of our neckline in my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) as the price continues to find new highs. Since the beginning of the year 2021; price has consistently been dominant above the Key level with tendencies of finding new highs as price breaks out of Bearish trendline. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Trendline | Breakout | Supply & Demand Observation: i. A successful Breakout of Trendline (20th Jan 2021) followed by a rejection of this line 8 days after is a sign that we might be on to experience a temporary/permanent rally soon. ii. The rejection of Bearish trendline shall be a yardstick to look for buying opportunity in the coming week. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
2
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekIt is fascinating to see how the Key level @ $0.71600 appears to be a decision-maker for traders in the last 30days as Breakdown/Breakout of this level points at the prevailing direction of the price. Looking beyond this... We are now at a juncture in the market where the chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal becomes a unique tool for us to make a trading decision. On the chart is a baseline with three peaks, with the outside two close in height and the middle is highest (Head and Shoulder). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Reversal pattern (H & S) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. After making a peak @ $0.73100, Price have continue to risk further decline as it keeps finding Lower Lows. ii. A significant breakdown of my Key Level @ $0.71600 (Neckline) last week confirms the completion of a Head and Shoulder pattern. iii. My attention in the coming week shall be shifted to Selling opportunities and the Neckline area shall be the risk limit. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
3
Will NZD/USD Break the HurdleHere's the 1H chart of the NZD/USD. And it's moving downwards. Here, I have applied the indicators - Volume, Stoch RSI, and RSI. RSI and Stoch RSI both are showing a downtrend. It's falling in the uptrend. It will fall up to support. If the trend breaks the support, it will hit the hurdle( 0.7136 ). If it breaks the hurdle( 0.7136 ), then the target will be the following 0.7116 - 0.7088 . But, if NZD/USD takes a U-turn and starts to move upwards, it will hit 0.7216 .
by forextidings
NZDUSD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKThe dominant perspective that the Kiwi could suffer on new measures from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand brought forward on risk-off has a significant reflection on the chart as we experienced a Breakdown of Key level at $0.66000 after series of Bearish wave though the whole of last week. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Double Top | Breakdown Observation: i. The arising of a Reversal pattern after price action reaches a peak at two consecutive times ($0.68000) with a moderate decline between the two highs to $0.66000 (neckline) confirms my Double Top pattern. ii. Breakdown of Key level @ $0.66000 (neckline) incites expectation of retest of this level to signal trading opportunities. iii. Confirmations of Sell aims at a touch of the Bullish trendline. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKThe price moved over 110pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) as the pair came under renewed bearish pressure last week dropping to an all-time low of 0.65000 since price hits high at 0.67200 at the end of July 2020. Breakdown and retest of my Key zone insinuate a further risk of decline in the coming weeks(s). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. Breakdown and retest of Key zone nudges price for a further decline. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKThe NZD/USD pair is struggling to make a decisive move in either direction amid a lack of significant fundamental drivers in the latter part of the week. I am keeping a tab on a possible driver this week as we await Monetary Policy, RBNZD Rate and Interest rate decision on Wednesday for a possible headway. The NZD/USD pair closed the third straight day in the positive territory on Thursday but failed to preserve its bullish momentum on Friday which is a signal of a strong move coming in the following week(s). With over 80pips in our direction (see link below for reference purpose) before experiencing a decline later in the week; insinuates a weakness of Buyers to push the price to complete Harmonic expectations (AB =CD) hereby making 0.66000level my Key level again for this week as I shall be looking at price reaction at this juncture in the market. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Channel | Trendline | Breakdown Observation: i. A Breakdown (0.66375) and Re-test of Current Bullish Trendline (0.66900) on 4H gives a clue in the direction of a shift at the moment that drives towards a Bearish bias. ii. I was expecting the price to make a Harmonic move (AB = CD) last week but unfortunately, it didn't as the 0.66900 level appears to be a level packed with Selling Pressure driving price further down. iii. A significant Breakdown of my Key level in the following week(s) shall be a Bearish signal for me as I will be anticipating a hit of my Daily Trendline (seen on the chart) which also coincides with the nearest major Support @ 0.64000 (a psychological level). iv. It is worthy to note that the economic news coming up mid-week shall be a significant driver in the direction of market participants in the following week(s). Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
NZDUSD | WEEKLY FORECASTWith over 120pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purpose); Despite facing the action of Bearish pressure mid-week, it appears price is actually going through correction of Breakout (Impulse Leg AB) to continue the rally to complete a Harmonic move in the coming week(s). Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Harmonic (AB = CD) Observation: i. Breakout of my Key Level @ 0.66000 supports my Bullish bias as I anticipate a AB = CD Harmonic pattern in the nearest future. ii. ABCD pattern expectations: a. Impulse A-to-B expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 110 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:2.5 Potential Duration: 2 to 5 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
NZDUSD TRADE IDEANZDUSD - looks like short-term down (30-50 pips), then up, but let's see.. Price gets rejected from the H4 resistance level, which can send the price back to the H4 support level(s) - 0.6800, where I'll be looking for long opportunity. If price (directly) break above the resistance level, I'll be looking to take a long above 0.6850 with 1st target 0.6900, then I'll be make my setups to wait for TP2 0.6950 (moving stops and booking some profits) and 0.7050 as a main targets. Even I can took a small short on H4, not to make money, but for fun (pips hunting, and not for making money). NZDUSD SELL 0.6833 SL 0.6853 TP 0.6803 NZDUSD BUY AT 0.6800 (or earlier if price get rejected before hitting 0.6800 on H4/ H1) SL (probably) 0.6750 (I will set the SL when (if) I have clear buy on H4) TP 0.6840 TP2 0.6880 TP3 0.6950 (main target) NZUSD BUY ABOVE 0.6850 (if price goes directly up above the resistance) SL BELOW the candle that breaks the 0.6850 level TPs are the same It's my trading plan. I will make it more clear probably on Monday around London or US open, it depends :) www.trade-insider.com
Long
by Trade-Insider