OIL: Short above 77 today
Oil saw a high-volume drop below support near 78 yesterday, which turned the immediate position into a resistance level. As of now, there has not been a complete breakthrough and the trend has weakened, so in terms of trading, selling short positions is the main strategy for today, with buying long positions as a secondary strategy.
Specific trading strategies:
Sell short near 77.4-78.5, take profit near 76
Buy long near 75.7-74.2, take profit near 76.5
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Oilshort!
Will crude oil continue to rebound strongly? Long or short?In the crude oil market, due to the larger-than-expected decline in U.S. crude oil inventories and bullish expectations for Chinese demand, concerns that the Federal Reserve's more aggressive interest rate increases will slow economic growth and weaken oil consumption have limited the rebound in oil prices, so the crude oil market is still uncertain.
Judging from the trend, the current crude oil has rebounded strongly in the short term after fluctuating at a low level, but it is not enough to change the daily shorting situation, indicating that the overall trend of crude oil at a large level is still weak.Although the short-term rebound is shown on the 2-hour level chart, the short-term rebound is quite strong, but the pressure is heavy above, and the short-term continuity is a problem. It may continue slightly, but it is difficult to say how much room there is to continue without breaking the low range for the time being.Short-term may be accompanied by resistance loops, the market has returned to operate within the weak range.
In terms of strategy, yesterday's thinking was also high-level shorting, but today's thinking is still high-level, supplemented by low-level long-selling.
Crude oil is shorted near 77.8-78, and the first target is near 75.5
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OIL: Trade at these levels
Recently, the technical trend of crude oil has mainly been volatile, with support around 76.5-75.7 and short-term resistance around 78.1-78.8.
Trading is dominated by short positions, with long positions being secondary.
Specifically, short positions can be entered around 78.15, with a target around 77.5-77, while long positions can be entered around 76.5-76, with a target around 77.5-78.
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Oil prices have stopped falling, and the bulls are back?Crude oil was suppressed by fundamentals and high pressure. Yesterday, the daily line fell all the way, and finally the daily line closed the negative line. Crude oil currently continues to maintain a wide range of oscillations on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is also after a continuous decline. The current deviation rate is slightly too large, and the technical patterns on the small-cycle trend are also beginning to be gradually repaired, and there is a high probability that there will be some room for rebound and repair in the short-term trend.On the news side, short-term attention will be paid to Powell's further remarks and EIA data within the day.
Operationally, crude oil is recommended to be short at 78.3, below the target of 76.6.
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TVC:USOIL TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Oil: Go long on this range.
After analyzing the 4-hour chart of crude oil, it is found that yesterday's market first fell and then rose, rebounding after reaching support near 78. In the short term, it has broken through resistance at 79 and 80 and now support has formed around 78 and 79. If there is a substantial breakthrough and stabilization around 81.5, there is a high probability of further rising towards the strong resistance level near 83. However, the market currently needs further consolidation and momentum to complete the potential breakthrough, so we recommend shorting at higher levels and going long at lower levels.
The specific recommendations are as follows:
short around 81-80, long around 79-78, with a stop loss of 70 points and a take profit of 200 points for each.
OIL SELLWelcome . oil market. in a very negative state. With the price reaching strong support 77.50, and breaking the pattern. double bottom, there is a lot of pressure from sellers to downgrade the market. To 75 levels in the first stage. And level 74 good luck. Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be glad to share ideas Thank you
Sell OilOil looks bearish on the weekly timeframe and next month looks bearish with possible new lows to bottom area 60.
Oil on the weekly timeframe is in a descending downtrend channel and currently rebounding back from the upper channel of the downtrend at the resistance and supply zone at area 82 and already this week broke previous two weeks lows.
Crude oil💥1D -TIMEFRAME ANALYSISCrude oil💥1D -TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
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Exxon mobil and other oil stocks are boughtNYSE:XOM
PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS
Oil stocks usally follow natural gas and the price of oil pretty closly.
this makes sense since they sell oil and if the price of oil goes down then should the stock selling that oil.
recently this has not been true as the price of oil and Natural gas have fallen Oil companies are not falling but why??
i belive this is because of very high profits which they got when the price of oil was high
and also investors thinking that the price of oil will rebound
i think oil is over bought as the underlying asset is down but the Stocks selling those assets arent
Not Financial Advice just an opinon
fell free to Correct me on any of my points if i didnt see something
Volatile start to year for gold and oil In December, the price of gold moved through a volatile uptrend but did seemingly reject at $1,819. However, a daily candle managed to close above this resistance zone on the last day of 2022, which has been followed by a continuation to the upside at the start of the new year. Although the volatile uptrend pattern appears to remain intact.
Currently, XAU/USD is sitting in the green “buy zone” of the Investing Zone Indicator. The Alma Trend Ribbon included in this indicator is presently blue, further suggesting that gold is bullish at this point. If gold manages to sustain this bullish outlook, $1,900 might be an appropriate pivot point, with $1,940 perhaps as far as a price traders might like to target.
Meanwhile, Crude Oil appears to be in a downward trend, with the price below the pink (bearish) Alma Trend Ribbon. In 2023, the price cratered from ~$80.00 a barrel to as low as ~$73.00, in the first 4 days before consolidating near this low, but not without printing some impressive wicks. This week, crude oil has experienced a small rally to avoid moving deeper into the yellow sell-zone of the Investing Zone Indicator. $76.50 now appears to be a resistance level for oil, so traders might like to watch for further rejections, particularly at $74-$75, before looking for price targets below $73.00 in the days ahead.
USOIL 70The chart shows the downtrend.
After breaking for the second time the support of 78, it will test 74. We will see if it bounces towards 85 or we go to 70
Technical analysis: daily time frame The RSI is bearish .
DISCLAIMER: This review is not intended to encourage the buying or selling of any particular security. Furthermore, it should not be the basis of any trading action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly recommended before entering into a trade. TVC:USOIL
Brent crude bearish sentiment Commentary:
Despite the optimism around the reopening of China from COVID restrictions, oil prices remain vulnerable to fears of a global economic slowdown. The EU’s price cap at $60 per barrel while OPEC+ is expected to maintain existing production targets adds towards the bearish outlook on price.
Brent crude : Last weeks gains can be viewed as a “corrective” bounce off the $81 support; since price has pierced below the September 26th lows at $82.30 may serve to keep alive the bearish price sentiment; downside potential spotted near the $79.7s while upside seems limited to $89.2 in the short term (5-25 days).
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.