ORDER BLOCK CONFIRMATION ENTRY PART 2Sure! Here's another description of order block confirmation with a focus on practical application and detailed examples:
### Understanding Order Block Confirmation:
Order block confirmation is a technique used by traders to identify and validate significant price levels where large orders from institutional traders have been placed. These levels often act as strong support or resistance zones. Confirming an order block helps traders make informed decisions about entry and exit points in the market.
### Detailed Steps for Order Block Confirmation:
1. **Identify Potential Order Blocks:**
- **Bullish Order Block:** Look for a downtrend that ends with a strong bullish reversal, marked by one or more large bullish candlesticks.
- **Bearish Order Block:** Look for an uptrend that ends with a strong bearish reversal, identified by one or more large bearish candlesticks.
2. **Analyze Market Structure:**
- **Trend Context:** Determine whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement. This context helps in predicting the likelihood of the order block holding.
- **Key Levels:** Note the order block's alignment with significant support or resistance levels.
3. **Volume Analysis:**
- High volume during the formation of the order block is a strong indicator of institutional activity. Look for volume spikes that coincide with the large candlesticks forming the order block.
4. **Price Action Confirmation:**
- **Engulfing Patterns:** A bullish engulfing pattern at a potential bullish order block or a bearish engulfing pattern at a potential bearish order block can confirm the level.
- **Pin Bars and Rejection Candlesticks:** Candlesticks with long wicks (e.g., pin bars, hammers, shooting stars) at the order block level indicate strong rejection and confirm the presence of significant buying or selling interest.
- **Break and Retest:** Confirmation is stronger if the price breaks through the order block level and then retests it as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks).
5. **Indicator Confirmation:**
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** If the RSI shows overbought conditions at a bearish order block or oversold conditions at a bullish order block, it provides additional confirmation.
- **Moving Averages:** The interaction of price with moving averages (e.g., 50 EMA, 200 EMA) near the order block level can confirm its validity. A bounce off or crossover can be significant.
6. **Confluence of Factors:**
- Multiple confirmations such as Fibonacci retracement levels, pivot points, and trend lines aligning with the order block increase its reliability.
### Practical Examples:
1. **Bullish Order Block Confirmation:**
- Suppose the price of a stock is in a downtrend and reaches a level where it forms a large bullish candlestick, followed by increased volume.
- The RSI indicates oversold conditions.
- The price breaks above the identified order block and later retests this level, forming a bullish pin bar.
- This confluence of signals confirms the bullish order block, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position.
2. **Bearish Order Block Confirmation:**
- Consider a forex pair in an uptrend that hits a resistance level, forming a large bearish candlestick with a volume spike.
- The RSI shows overbought conditions.
- The price breaks below the identified order block and retests it, forming a bearish engulfing pattern.
- This setup confirms the bearish order block, indicating a potential entry point for a short position.
### Trade Execution and Management:
1. **Entry:** Based on the confirmed order block, place a buy order at the bullish order block or a sell order at the bearish order block.
2. **Stop-Loss:** Set stop-loss orders just below the bullish order block or above the bearish order block to manage risk.
3. **Take Profit:** Identify potential take-profit levels based on historical price action, nearby support/resistance levels, or using risk-reward ratios.
By following these detailed steps and examples, traders can effectively use order block confirmation to enhance their trading strategies and improve their chances of successful trades.
Orderblockanalysis
Bitcoin: Potential drop coming?Am I seeing a Bearish Pennant? Has price brokent structure to the downside, and now retracing to supply?
I see the argument for upside, but I believe the PA is showing further declines are imminent.
I would love to get some feedback on this analysis. Share your opinion and your ideas for BTC in the comments section.
Thank you.
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis and trade ideaGold is still in correction, ranging. I believe there is an opportunity setting up, as price has broken structure to the downside. The move that follows is where we we follow the footsteps of Institutions to profit.
This is the buy-to-sell move. Short term buy to a longer term sell.
Woah! GME closed above 213.52 Now what?Just a follow up to November's outlook. It is interesting to see the price playing out as anticipated. I could say "predicted", but don't want to sound like a D_ck! 😁 So let's see if price gives some clues as mentioned going forward. Dam! If I am right for a third time in a row I may just have to write a price action book or something 😅 Be well and happy and safe holidays my friends. Peace out!
Bitcoin: Update,correction, and trade idea!I misjudged the the Inverse H&S, the most recent evidence of price transitioning from bearish to bullish momentum. I am adjusting my analysis based on this update.
I do believe there is an opportunity about to present itself for a long position, for those not in the buy currently. It requires patience, but if we let price come to our POI without jumping the gun, we'll be in a good buy before the bullish run up.
US Oil (WTI Crude Oil) Analysis and trade Idea...UpdatePrice has invalidated the right shoulder OB I highlighted in the previous video. It has reacted off of the "head" OB, forming a double top, formed an engulfer, and is now retesting the base candle.
This may lead to the bearish PA I was hoping for.
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis and trade ideaGold had a recent break of structure to the upside.... so a return to impulse is expected. This would represent the HH, then the expected HL. Simple setup.
Watch out for the key level I highlighted, as that could turn price around, creating a higher HL, if you will.
Overall, I am looking for more Gold strength this week.
NZDJPY Analysis and Trade Idea... short-to-long!NZDJPY has been one of the strongest currencies for the last several days, while the JPY has been one of the weakest. This may change come with BoJ news on Monday. Rates may stay the same, but just be aware.
Price made a HH, and with a RTI (return to impulse) expected, we can short to the expected HL. There, we can take the more significant swing trade for a long position to the next HH.
The Short-to-Long, if you will.
USDCHF Analysis and Trade Idea... a long-to-short!USDCHF has entered a demand zone, and may potentially reverse here, as it returns to impulse.
USD is weak against CHF, so I do expect further declines in the upcoming week, at least for the short term.
There is a day trade for a long position to the bearish OB above.... then a more significant swing trade to the downside from there.
AUDCHF Analysis and Trade IdeaAUDCHF has broken structure to the upside. We can see the HTF structure is looking to make a HH.... but my team is looking for the "return to impulse" that comes after a BOS. We want to trade that short.... down to the demand... where price will make a HL.. Then the team will look for the buy there, and take it to the following HH.
Check out the vid if you're confused or intrigued!
CADJPY Analysis and Trade IdeaCADJPY has entered my POI. I am now waiting for it give indications of a reversal, so I may find a valid short.
If price stay strong, making the HH even higher, I wait. Patiently. It will pull back at some point, to make the HL. This is dictated by HTF market structure.
I wait, patiently, for confirmations. No confirmations, no trade.
NOTE: I didn't mention it in the video, but CAD gas CPI news on Wednesday. Banks may look to take profits and send the market to move unpredictably. Be very careful trading this pair with the news looming.
NZDCHF Analysis: Downtown...?NZDCHF has hit a HTF bearish order block, and may be indicating a bearish response. Price has formed a 1H OB here, and price dropped a bit, and is now returning for a retest of the OB. I expect further declines. If price breaks the high of the OB, this invalidates this short setup. 0.65500 is the area I am watching for signs of reversal.
Look for your confirmations before entering any trade. No confirmations, no trade!