BOIL (3X Natural Gas ) Overnight Trade RecapAs a triple leveraged ETF BOIL is highly volatility and typically has a good range
even if the overall price changes only a small amount from one day to the next.
While these overnight day trades are typically conducted on the 3 or 5 minute time
frame, here a 15- minute chart is shown. Because BOIL is tracking natural gas
futures and the futures markets are around the clock , BOIL often has movement
after-hours and in the pre-market while futures markets are active.
In this example, the chart is dressed with double Bollinger band setup with
deviations of 1.618 and 2 618 which are Fibonacci numbers. Relative volatility
and relative volumes are indicated as well to be better attentive to reversals
or trending amplitudes.
In this example at about 12N on yesterday 7/24, price dropped out of the bands
volume and volatility went red to green and the candlesticks formed a morning
star pattern. This is the entry. The stop loss is placed just below the lowest bottoming
wick in the pattern. Today, in the premarket, when the price rose to outside the upper
trade zone and green bars on the volatility and volume indicators fell quickly, the
trade was closed for a realized profit of 4.7%. About 90 minutes later, another
long trade was set up for a more than 4% five hour day trade.
Rinse and repeat DYODD !
Overnighttrade
Night MovesIs it wise for retail traders to hold trade positions open overnight or over the weekend if the profit target has not been met by the end of the trading day? Even if you have a stop loss in place, unless you are a position/swing trader, intra-day traders and scalpers should not get into the habit of holding any positions open overnight during the trading week or over the weekend (regular or long).
If your position has not hit your take profit target by the end of the trading day and you want to keep the position open until it does, you need to have decisive analysis indicating why that take profit target is likely to be hit when the market reopens after closing. Whenever the market closes and resumes on the next day and especially when it closes on a Friday and reopens after the weekend, market flow is disrupted and unless you have a wide stop loss in place, you may well end up with a loss because your previous analysis for that set up/trade idea may no longer be valid for the new market flow.
An open position held overnight can easily get stopped out if on the next trading day there is a geopolitical event that causes a gap on open, printing a big move. Geopolitical events unfortunately are not scheduled on any economic or news calendar in advance and indeed sometimes, bad news is deliberately released by governments over the weekend and can blindside novice traders with open positions. Another way that you might have your SL tripped is if an institutional algo activates a huge sell order, for example, without clear rhyme or reason on market open or soon after, creating a cascade of sells and printing a flash crash before the necessary correction.
Some retail traders will even hold positions open overnight without a stop loss with the intention of “tracking” the move using dynamic support and resistance and will consequently wait to see how those MAs move on the following trading day. This can play havoc with your psychology as you will be processing bias in favour of your open position whilst trying to analyse the market as objectively as possible. Also bear in mind that you may see eye watering swap charges incurred for holding trades overnight especially with larger lot sizes and this needs to be factored into your risk to reward for the trade.
At the time of writing this post, it is triple witching Friday. Any temptation to open and hold a trade just before market close today will run into another problem related to volume. This coming Monday is a U.S. federal holiday when the NYSE, Nasdaq and bond markets will be closed. Due to the thinner volume on Monday as a result, any open positions from today that get sucked into drawdown on this holiday will be that much more difficult to roll out of successfully during the day. The only exception to that might occur if the lack of volume creates an exaggerated move with a price spike due to heightened volatility. However, you’d need have your eyes on the chart at the time, have a quick trigger finger to exit and close out the trade and of course, the move has to be in your favour in terms of the direction for the exit in the first place.
Always close out a position before the end of the trading day and come back to the market in the new trading day with peace of mind and a relaxed attitude. An open position in drawdown on a new trading day will only create stress and interfere with your focus not just on dealing with that open position but also with regard to entering any other set up opportunities. Remember, whenever you go to market, please be careful out there.
$ADV can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced solutions to consumer goods companies and retailers in North America and internationally.
The demand for shares of the company looks higher than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a long position from $10,96;
stop-loss — $10,38.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
$SVRA can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
Savara Inc. operates as an orphan lung disease company.
The demand for shares of the company looks higher than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a long position from $1,77;
stop-loss — $1,54.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!